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brettac1

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Everything posted by brettac1

  1. brettac1
    He just might do it, finally. The man deserves a pension.
  2. brettac1
    BABIP kind of gives you an idea how lucky/unlucky a pitcher has been in regards to hits. Since hits are half of WHIP, it has an influence on them. I think a stat like WHIP (or any that uses hits allowed) is kind of shaky. Like end said earlier, the best way to gauge a pitcher is K/9, BB/9, and HR/9. Any other ball in play, most pitchers have very little influence over. Some guys (like Wise, knuckleballers, trick pitch guys) have more influence.
  3. brettac1
    This game will also be on DirecTV, channel 643, Fox Sports Southwest.
  4. brettac1
    also, in a pinch can he play a passable SS? He seems at least offensively capable to be better than many backups. I doubt it. I don't think he'd be that much better than a guy like Helms at 3B, judging from the few times I've seen him.
  5. brettac1
    If he can catch, he'll be in the bigs for a long time. If he can't, not so much probably.
  6. brettac1
    That's kind of what I was saying when I said maybe he can't adjust to getting pitched around. Maybe he'll just flail at everything like he has in the past, but maybe when that pitcher makes a mistake, it will get crushed by Rivera - if he hits .210 and has a SLG of .425 or so, then he's still a decent improvement over Moeller, and at least he'd have to be someone to worry about a little bit.
  7. brettac1
    I actually really prefer to look at all three "slash stats" (AVG/OBP/SLG) because it helps provide context. I like to subtract the AVG from the OBP to see how patient a guy is, because just like not all .800 OPS's are equal, neither are all .380 OBP's. OPS is really a nice number, and I use it a bunch, but I think seeing all three seperate gives a truer, more complete picture of what kind of hitter a guy is - like if he's AVG dependent, for instance, or if he draws a bunch of walks, or hits a lot of homers and not much else, or a bunch of singles, etc.
  8. brettac1
    I think it's similar to where Branyan kind of helped out - he got walked a ton and helped cycle through the order. I don't know that Rivera will get that much respect, though, at least not right away. He'd probably start off hot and hit a couple bombs in April, then get figured out. It'd be a matter of him adjusting, which maybe he can't, to being pitched around. Mark Johnson might be overly patient, but I wouldn't mind him getting a shot at the backup spot, either.
  9. brettac1
    He bats right. Rivera is actually younger than Moeller. Part of it just might be the desire to see the unknown over the known all to well that is Chad Moeller.
  10. brettac1
    Yeah, but I still feel more confident in Rivera's power. Moeller only hit five the year before, in more AB's. I think Rivera can really mash.
  11. brettac1
    Interesting and totally worthless spring training stat: Mike Rivera has a lower OBP (.263) than AVG (.278 ) . He's also slugging .833. I think even if he doesn't walk, if he can pop the occasional homer or 10, he's still more valuable than Moeller.
  12. brettac1
    OXS is just on-base times slugging times AB's. It gives you a (very) rough estimate of what a teams runs scored (RS) should be, it weights OBP and SLG equally, whereas OPS generally gives more weight to SLG, because it is nearly always higher, that's why not all .800 OPS's are created equal. You use it more for teams than individual players, though. I was just using it to show how a higher OBP would result in more runs scored than the higher SLG, even if both had that very same .800 OPS, or to demonstrate that the OBP is more important.
  13. brettac1
    The .300 OBP is low, the .500 SLG is nice. The league is littered with guys like that, like Wily Mo Pena, Soriano, Carlos Lee to a degree, etc. It'd be better because the guy made less outs. For instance, a high OBP guy like a Giambi (.535 SLG) made only 312 outs last year. A low OBP guy like Soriano (.512 SLG) made 479. That's huge. A .380/.420 wouldn't be incredible, that's somewhere around what Brady Clark hit - he made 399 outs. That's a nice year. Using simple OXS (OBP*SLG*AB) with the Brewers total AB's last year (5448 AB's), the .300/.500 line would have resulted in 817 RS, the .380/.420 would have been about 870 RS. The Red Sox hit .357/.454 and scored 910.
  14. brettac1
    I'd also say that the O is more important than the S. When I try to explain to someone why OBP is the most important, I just ask - "how many runs would you score if you never made an out?". They then say "infinite" - and I say "correct, so doesn't it just make sense to build a team full of the guys who make the least outs?". That seems to be the simplest way to understand the importance of OBP, and I guess in part, OPS. SLG is important, too, because that's the advancement of runners, but a guy can put up an .800 OPS with a .300 OBP and .500 SLG, and that guy's still not that great of a player because he consumes too many outs.
  15. brettac1
    I think the general opinion of myself is that K's suck, so do groundouts. Outs altogether suck. If you have a team that doesn't make an out, say 37% of the time, it doesn't much matter what the other 63% of that consists of. A higher volume of runners on base means the outs carry less weight. I'd still rather have the guy that, even if he makes less consistent contact, has a higher chance of hitting the ball for extra bases and advancing that runner a couple bases, over the guy that specializes in "productive out-making" and generally hits a lot of groundballs.
  16. brettac1
    LaRussa guys would seem to be a real good idea - Tavarez in Boston probably won't rack up the same total, because they manage the pen a little unorthadox. I'd pencil in Looper for Tavarez's holds.
  17. brettac1
    Here's the leaders in the category last year: sports.espn.go.com/mlb/st...=a&pos=all
  18. brettac1
    Yeah, those Twins guys like Rincon, maybe Crain. Obviously Scot Shields.
  19. brettac1
    How has Woodard been doing this year? He just kind of gives me the feeling that he's going to be good, maybe it's just my gut saying so, though.
  20. brettac1
    Too bad that Paz guy never got a shot. Maybe he walked so much because he was only 5'8" - kind of like Crabbe does, they look pretty similar.
  21. brettac1
    Brian, I think Abernathy's a better hitter, though. I don't think either of them belong in the bigs, though, heck, I'd rather have one of Johnson or Rivera as a third catcher than one of those guys.
  22. brettac1
    If so what would his era be now? 14 IP 2 ER About 1.29 or so.
  23. brettac1
    This game will be on Comcast on DirecTV, as well, channel 640, I believe, provided it isn't blacked out.
  24. brettac1
    Did Barton start the game? I think you're harping on Bill Schroeder just a bit because I don't think you like his style, and are perhaps still peeved about the Fielder interview. I think you're wrong. I'm harping on him because he was basically the only person saying that Eveland was competing for a spot on the MLB roster. He hasn't even seen AAA yet.
  25. brettac1
    Yeah, I have no idea why Schroeder kept insisting the other day that Eveland came into camp in competition for the 5th spot, or for a spot as a LH reliever. He's apparently completely unaware that Dana's future is as a starter.
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