Shouldn't they be? Who's going to sit around at the end of the season and say "Well, we're 74 -88, but it was a lot of bad luck!" At some point, the results have to outweigh everything else. Sure, DD and Hoffman have had horrible luck. I agree that the useful metrics would indicate that they haven't pitched as poorly as the numbers seem to show on the surface. But the end result is.......they're 15-24 and sliding. The season's a quarter of the way over. Is it over for them? No, but they're in a pretty deep hole at this point. Baseball, as with any business, is results oriented. As it should be. The stats are great predictive tools, but being able to predict something, and seeing it happen are two different things. I don't care if DD has a 4.5-ish FIP at the end of the season if he has a 6 ERA and a 7-14 record, the results say he had a bad season. An unlucky season, but I'm less concerned *at this moment* about what the peripherals suggest DD *should* do based on what he's actually doing. Think of the stats as an explanation of what has been happening. If we dig a little deeper than ERA, which may not explain the whole story in mid-May, it appears Davis has had some bad luck. The prediction would be he reverts to his mean of a mid 4's ERA. Yes you are right, Davis is having a bad season although with Hoffman it appears to be more than luck. Should we start bailing on all guys having a rough patch yet appear to be doing better than their results? The opposite criticism has been leveled that we didn't "sell high" on guys like Hardy or Hall when they had value. Process > outcome won't always work, but is the key to long term success.