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Brewer Fanatic

SoCal Brew Crew Fan

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Everything posted by SoCal Brew Crew Fan

  1. With lefities going the next two days, he probably waits until Minnesota for a day off. The way he's scuffling, he'll be lucky to be above the Mendoza line by then. The guy is coming back from a significant injury, the same one he struggled mightily to recover from last time. For gosh sakes Macha take it easy on the guy!
  2. To be clear markedman, I agree...with Hoffman, it's not luck. His change up location is way off. I was referring to Davis.
  3. I thought TH was spot on. It doesn't mean Macha is being held hostage. He's just saying Trevor should as they say in the corporate world, "decide he wants to spend more time with his family" to save the indignity of being canned. At least he should volunteer to prove he has his act together before he retakes that role.
  4. Shouldn't they be? Who's going to sit around at the end of the season and say "Well, we're 74 -88, but it was a lot of bad luck!" At some point, the results have to outweigh everything else. Sure, DD and Hoffman have had horrible luck. I agree that the useful metrics would indicate that they haven't pitched as poorly as the numbers seem to show on the surface. But the end result is.......they're 15-24 and sliding. The season's a quarter of the way over. Is it over for them? No, but they're in a pretty deep hole at this point. Baseball, as with any business, is results oriented. As it should be. The stats are great predictive tools, but being able to predict something, and seeing it happen are two different things. I don't care if DD has a 4.5-ish FIP at the end of the season if he has a 6 ERA and a 7-14 record, the results say he had a bad season. An unlucky season, but I'm less concerned *at this moment* about what the peripherals suggest DD *should* do based on what he's actually doing. Think of the stats as an explanation of what has been happening. If we dig a little deeper than ERA, which may not explain the whole story in mid-May, it appears Davis has had some bad luck. The prediction would be he reverts to his mean of a mid 4's ERA. Yes you are right, Davis is having a bad season although with Hoffman it appears to be more than luck. Should we start bailing on all guys having a rough patch yet appear to be doing better than their results? The opposite criticism has been leveled that we didn't "sell high" on guys like Hardy or Hall when they had value. Process > outcome won't always work, but is the key to long term success.
  5. I feel horrible for you guys back in the homeland...I'm 2-0 catching the first 2 in LA. I've got my tickets in Anaheim so there's still time to catch up to everyone. Hang in there.
  6. I know it's bad when the Cubs losing brings me no joy...yeah, I'm demoralized.
  7. I'm with you TLB. I've been a defender. I would have put him out there today. I really thought he turned it around after Sunday, but he is a human gas can right now. He simply does not deserve to be in that role right now.
  8. 5 blown saves by mid-May...just for reference, Gagne had 7 in 2008. Hate to say it Trevor, but you just lost your job.
  9. You are nuts (just because you asked http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif)
  10. Wow...how about the day for Parra/Estrada...that was quite unexpected and very good to see. Let's see if Trevor can put it in the can. He looked good on Sunday. The time before that he got rocked, but TH had speculated not to read anything into it since he was trying to work on his change in the blowout, which was why he threw all changes. He mixed his pitches well on Sunday.
  11. Funny comment from Davey on McG's steal & why he was smiling..."he knows it might be his last one"
  12. Gameday showed ball 3 as a strike...same as last night Gomes is killing us...every year there is some Red that just owns us.
  13. Melvin era is generally a failure? The Bando era was a failure. I'm not happy either right now, but this era has been generally successful for a small market team. Step away from the ledge people.
  14. Oh yeah it was...Gomes was doing a little sightseeing on the homer, but mostly it was frustration. I miss the days when they were plunking us for showing off.
  15. Good Lord...I'm a glass half full guy, but it's really getting hard to see a way out with this team
  16. You could argue the difference in the game has been the play of the two CFs
  17. ...and this is our best reliever YTD... edit: Thank you Brandon...what an idiot
  18. Wow Jody...dude looked lost out there. At least if it was Edmonds he'd have given up on it earlier and not looked so bad.
  19. The Phillies won the series 2 years ago with one decent power arm. Bush was arguably our most consistent starter the last few years prior to his injury. I'd love to have a big power arm at the top of the rotation too, but they are hard to come by, often blow their arm out or can fail to execute just like anyone (see Parra, Manny). I would agree that pitch to contact guys and a crummy defense are a bad match (see Brewers, Milwaukee circa 2010). I thought our defense would be better than it has been.
  20. That makes Hart an upgraded Kevin Mench...that's fine for $1-2mm/year, not $4.5+. Hopefully he keeps this up and they may actually have someone to trade.
  21. This is the right move. At this point they need to gamble a little bit. If Parra pitches like he did in 2008, they will have upgraded that rotation. If he throws like last year, well he's not that much worse than you'd expect from Suppan and they can use him as the designated backup for Manny's starts. At this point its only 2 or 3 starts, but who knows. They need to find out what they have in Manny and it's going to take more than 2 or 3 starts.
  22. Now you are talking TLB...c'mon you Wisconsin folk...we took 2/3 out here in LA...step it up!!! I can't wait for the Anaheim trip to do this on my own!!! In truth, I am a little worried that the fans will be firing themselves and stop turning out...not good for a team that needs those revenues.
  23. I have no deep love for Macha, but I fail to see how firing him is the magic bullet. We've had a fair amount of movement in manager and coaches in the last two years. I'm more a fan of consistency, especially with younger players. That we are on our fourth pitching coach over the last two calendar years and our young pitchers have either stalled or regressed is of particular concern. I don't know if the group we have is the answer, but going all Steinbrenner-esque and whipping around managers and coaches seems like a giant distraction.
  24. Are Weeks struggles correlated to the rest of the team, the cause or just coincidental? Tough to know, but I think somewhat of a case can be made that when Weeks is hitting and getting on base it creates more opportunities for the big boppers. Doesn't explain everything, but may explain some...including some of the big difference in Braun at home and on the road. Rightly or wrongly I view him as The Ignitor 2.0. As far as pitching, they had 10 games in a few cavernous ballparks out west. They also caught the Pirates in a three game death spiral. Still early so all of this is pure conjecture.
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