Ennder
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Everything posted by Ennder
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I think they don't think it is likely but it is possible. They also mentioned how difficult the rest of the Cubs schedule is compared to the Brewers. Plus they said on paper the pitching probably lines up the way we hope it would but that just looking at the names nobody really believes they can beat a team like the Cubs in a big game, so the pitchers could prove something.
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He had 33.3% hard contact and 57.1% medium contact. He got hit hard that game. They also elevated the ball on him a lot. If he throws like that game every game of his career he is over a 4 ERA guy and probably over a 4.50 ERA. No hitting teams for small stretches like this is way more about luck than anything about, it just doesn't mean anything.
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Eh, he struck out 4, gave up a ton of hard contact and got lucky nothing found a hole for 8 innings, not impressed at all by that game.
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Peralta will not be a great pitcher with the arsenal he has right now, something needs to change with him. He needs to have one of his secondary pitches develop or he needs to learn how to pitch effectively out of the stretch where he loses some of his length and deception. Both of those things can happen as easily in the minors as the majors.
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Just depends on what the Yankee's guys do the final month if he gets shut down. It is a volume award so he may just not have the full volume needed.
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2018 Standings and Playoff Race Discussion
Ennder replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It feels like we are finally close to the point of the season where looking at the loss column makes some sense, though it is still probably a few games too early. You all have my permission to start adding in the loss column to everything you post without me judging you. -
I can't find a pitcher who consistently lives outside of all of the models though. The best he scores on any of the models is in the 3.50 range. ERA takes 500 IP to become a useful measurement of player skill, it is just a really bad stat to judge a pitcher by.
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This isn't in any way sustainable though. This is still at best a 3.5 era guy right now, just one with about 50 points of BABIP luck according to xStats. They think the HR suppression has been for real though which is very nice, that would be a completely new skill for him.
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I don't mean to single you out here but this is patently a false statement and this is the issue with what Hamels said in a nutshell. Brewer fans buy just as many tickets to these games as they do to any other game of the season. Cubs games are not a bigger draw than any other game on the schedule as I showed with my data above This is completely a case of Brewer fans selling their season tickets for 3+ times face value to Cubs fans. The Cubs fans are not in any way shape or form driving the attendance of these games, they are directly taking the place of Brewer fans who sold them their tickets. I know multiple families that buy season passes and just sell the Cubs game and they end up even overall. All it takes is selling 3 or 4 games to pay for a full season. The only real negative impact to Brewers ticket sales for these games is how obnoxious Cubs fans are and how you don't want your family around them. The biggest draw for home Brewer games are the Cardinals. They actually have a nice stadium and are farther away so they don't travel quite as well to our stadium but they also are a pretty nice and knowledgeable fanbase so people don't avoid games against them. That is why the majority of our highest in division attendance games are against the Cardinals.
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Just to add a data point to all this, looking at highest attended games at Miller Park this season, the Cubs only have 1 game in the top 10, 2 in the top 15 and 3 in the top 20. They aren't driving sales at all.
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Yep this is exactly what I was going to say. The Brewers attendance today did not depend on the Cubs traveling well at all. Brewer fans just like to take a bunch of money from Cubs fans and the Cubs fans are desperate to see a game in a real stadium.
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Its never a double play home to first though, by the time he shifts his body and throws home Yelich is safe at 1st easily. Its probably an out at home because of the bad jump though.
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It is in hindsight for sure but I understand it. He knows Broxton is very fast and he knows that he is towards the line so isn't going to have a good throwing lane home. He was moving towards the third base line before the ball was even hit and his head is also pointed away from home so to get a good throw he is going to have to reposition his feet. I think that decision is a lot more difficult than people are going to give it credit for. For Broxton's part he got a bad jump on the play so I think Bryant probably does get him at home, but I'm not 100% sure Bryant knows he got that bad jump in real time.
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Keeping the bunt sign on with 2 strikes there was worse than any bullpen move Counsell has made all season and it isn't even close. Surprised more people aren't complaining about it.
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I said offensive player, not hitter. Villar's has produced a lot more value for his career on the bases than Schoop has. Their season to season numbers both jump all over the place but they have been relatively close in overall offensive value over their times in the majors. The big separation happens on the defense.
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Schoop hasn't been a better offensive player than Villar in his career so not sure why you would expect him to be now. He is a much better defensive 2B and to be honest a better defensive SS most likely. That is where the value is coming if it comes.
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Peralta is a fantastic arm to have in the minors for depth as the #6 or #7 guy though. I would keep trying him as a starter and get him to really work on being effective out of the stretch.
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2018 Standings and Playoff Race Discussion
Ennder replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't think this is about tanking as much as it is about teams not realizing they are getting old and bad. The Blue Jays and Orioles thought they were competing this season. The AL Central is the clearest tanking division as you could say 3 of the teams were tanking. Every team in the AL West considered themselves competitors. In the NL you have the Marlins as the only real tanking team. The Reds haven't really sold anything off, they just can't find pitching. The rest of the NL all went into this year hoping to compete or at least trying to get better (Padres). -
The only thing I don't like is Guerra pitching. Hope they have a really quick hook with him.
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If you go by the stat cast stats Granderson also comes out just awful. Granderson's catch probabilities are 10 of 12 on 91%+ 8 of 10 on 76-90% 4 of 10 on 51-75% 1 of 5 on 26-50% 1 of 9 on 24% and harder. Only 9 players in baseball have a worse outs above average than he does. He has below average sprint speed on the season as well. His range is just awful at this point. Granderson was never considered a very good fielder and then he lost speed on top of it.
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I like that Stearns has added a lot of fringe value to the roster this month without really giving up anyone who is likely to make the majors much less be impactful. The team is a win or so better than at the start of the month and those wins have a ton of value with a team like this that is on the playoff bubble. The added depth is very nice as well in case of a couple of injuries.
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Granderson is the worst defensive OF on the team, he is even worse than Thames. I would bet on them keeping Broxton just to fill in for someone late in games if nothing else. Only Granderson or Thames can make it imo, you can't have two completely worthless defensive players who fill the same role.
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Brewers acquire Curtis Granderson for CF Demi Orimoloye
Ennder replied to Brewcrewin07's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'm ok with this since Thames seems to be losing it again. As the above poster mentioned though, this is a downgrade defensively. Granderson has been one of the worst defensive OF in baseball this season, even worse than Thames. He's down there with Schwarber and Hoskins. I hope the team realizes this and is getting him out of games in the late innings. -
mlb network also said the Brewers were the ones who got the slot money.
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I guess this helps the team. Really hard to get too excited about him though. Really hope we didn't give up anything good.
