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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    They are actually in first place though, you've used this logic multiple times but it really makes no sense. It would make sense with say 5 games left or something where the team could realistically win out but there are still 63 games to be played by the Cubs. If we both play to the same exact winning percentage the rest of the season we end up in 1st. No team in baseball is taking the Cubs record over the Brewers if given the choice today.
  2. Ennder
    He is in the lineup and batting 7th tonight.
  3. Ennder
    He made a mechanical change like 2 starts ago and has looked better in those starts. They were both against the Royals who aren't a patient team so could just be that at play too.
  4. Ennder
    Saw this in a tweet Cordell in Colorado Springs: 1.059 OPS Cordell not in Colorado Springs: .673 OPS So given our depth in the OF and that Miller Park is not one mile above sea level I have absolutely no problem with the trade. You do have to be careful with this. Assuming it is anything like pre humidor Coors the reality was usually in between the new numbers, not closer to the away OPS. Hitters tend to play better at home to begin with even in pitchers parks and when you get used to a goofy park it affects you when you go on the road.
  5. Ennder
    I would hope they do this because we really need 3 or 4 more arms in the bullpen and we can't expect them to all come from the farm system.
  6. Ennder
    Yes 0.6 when 2 is league average is way above replacement level. Baseball reference WAR is terrible so of course I don't use it. Even if you average them it has him above replacement level. You said easily. He would need to be approx. 4x better to be league average. He is way closer to replacement level than he is to average. Yes .6 is easily above 0 on a scale of 0 to 2. Lets move this to a scale people are more used to. Pick a number between 0 (replacement) and 10 (average) with 5 being the mid point. His number would be 3. You could call 1 or 2 near replacement since it is closer to the end point than the mid point, but once you get into the 3 and 4 range it is closer to the mid point than the end point so it is easily above the end point. Broxton has been just a guy, he isn't hurting the team, he isn't really helping it. If you add in his full major league stats he has been closer to average than replacement level. I don't mind trading him at all because I don't think he is capable of fixing his biggest flaw, but it just isn't fair to call him replacement level. In 572 PA in his career he has put up 2.5 WAR, that is a player with value. The issue here is still that people fixate on avg and ERA way too much and assign player value based on those two numbers, two numbers which really don't matter all that much in the big picture.
  7. Ennder
    Yes 0.6 when 2 is league average is way above replacement level. Baseball reference WAR is terrible so of course I don't use it. Even if you average them it has him above replacement level.
  8. Ennder
    I thought the process was to add talent to the major league team without handcuffing the prospects. Cordell was not a significant part of our future and we got a RP who is better than other guys who have been traded this season for him.
  9. Ennder
    Broxton was on pace for roughly 0.6 WAR which is easily above replacement level. Average for a major league player is a huge asset, saying someone is average is a pretty big compliment.
  10. Ennder
    I think people are way underrating Cahill here. It will not surprise me if he is better than Quintana the rest of the season.
  11. Ennder
    Look at his stats for 10 seconds and you'll realize he is no longer the guy who pitched for the Twins. He went from a 6.5 K/9 to consistently around 9. He has changed from someone who relies heavily on his fastball to one that is over 50% sliders. It probably doesn't bode well for his long term health but I'd say anything you saw with the Twins doesn't really matter at this point. I am going to assume he is the 2nd or 3rd best RP on the team from today on just looking at the raw stats.
  12. Ennder
    This is o surprise. It is why it didn't bother me too much that they traded him. The problem is they traded him one year too early. The power is legit and he is bad at everything else.
  13. Ennder
    The Brewers have had a lot of .500ish teams. When you are that level of talent you sometimes outpay your talent to the point where you look like a playoff team and then it corrects itself. They also have had a good number of years where it feels like the first half derailed a potential playoff run where they got hot late. That is just how 50/50 win chance teams work, they look amazing for stretches and then useless for stretches.
  14. Ennder
    Out of qualified hitters Dee Gordon is 147th out of 168 players in wOBA. He is among the top 21 worst hitters in baseball. He shockingly has been worse than Broxton. If we traded for him the only player on our team who would not have out hit him this season that isn't a pitcher is Villar. Dee Gordon is a really bad major league baseball player outside of playing above average defense at 2B. He is not worth a $7M a year contract yet he is getting way more than that going on. Unlike Villar this isn't a fluke either, he did the same exact thing last year, he is one of the worst regular offensive players in baseball.
  15. Ennder
    If the Brewers were losing their core this off season and had next to nothing in the minors I'm sure Stearns would make a move too. It just makes very little sense giving our teams situation.
  16. Ennder
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/07/royals-to-acquire-cahill-maurer-buchter-from-padres-for-strahm-wood-ruiz.html Makes sense. The Royals are going to lose most of their core this off season.
  17. Ennder
    Not entirely true. If the Brewers can trade for someone who can help for the next 3+ years they should trade for them. Someone like Dee Gordon would be a good trade target kind of a win now and is signed through 2022 I believe at a fairly friendly contract. I would eliminate Gray and Verlander from the list along with a few others. Definitely no to relief pitchers. Dee Gordon is 29 already and can't hit. His contract is really not very friendly either, you are probably paying over 7M per win by 2019. He would bring some value on defense but not enough to actually give players up for him. I mean I get the idea but that would be a really poor target.
  18. Ennder
    I sure hope not. The product that has been on the field since the all star break does not look 1 player away from competing for the playoffs. We need a 4 or 5 guys.
  19. Ennder
    We are in year 2 of what was likely to be a 4 or 5 year rebuild, so yeah it may well be. And it would be a horrible choice to just go for it for one year and have to start it all over again. Cubs signing Quintana will help the Brewers in the long term, not hurt them. Outbidding the Cubs would have just shown us that Stearns is a bad GM.
  20. Ennder
    Ok well even if you buy what this guy is writing this quote should suggest it really isn't some big deal and certainly isn't a "battle". Sounds like Mark would like to push in and Stearns said no and it was over.
  21. Ennder
    To be fair that 5.5 game lead was really built in one and a half weeks too. They were like 1 game up before they suddenly went 8-2 to finish out the first half.
  22. Ennder
    And in his entire career before this year he has never played under 135 games without being suspended or missing time due to being in the minors. Your numbers are just ridiculously pessimistic.
  23. Ennder
    Hope you weren't in Vegas Great job Corey Yeah while JohnBriggs12's post is silly as usual I agree that the bunt is a bad idea. Giving away an out for a small chance to score a run on a BIP just isn't worth it. I don't really see how the run expectancy was increased by bunting in that situation.
  24. Ennder
    Anyone can cherry pick numbers to make someone look good. Or bad: .218 AVG 124 Ks His wRC+ is 83 second to last among qualified CFers. The long brutal slumps aren't worth the hot streaks. His defense also isn't anything to write home about. About time the Brewers stop trotting out a replacement level CFer. Maybe he can go figure something out in AAA. I still think there is some upside to him, but we can't be wasting time right now trying to find it as we compete. Anyone can not understand stats and use the wrong ones to evaluate a player. Broxton has been an above replacement level player this season. If he were playing the same defense he played last year he might even be close to average. But he has a huge flaw and it is a flaw that has not improved at all this season and in fact has gone the wrong way. I would send him down and tell him he has to lower his K% to keep his job in the organization and if he can't do it then so be it, we get rid of him. You just can't K at 38% and survive in the majors unless you are the best defensive player in the game and he isn't that. Even if that means choking up and hitting for less power he simply has to reduce those strike outs.
  25. Ennder
    I didn't say die, I said start to fade. I gave a time frame of 2020 to 2022. They have no real prospects in their system so they are going to have to throw money at the pitching next season and to replace Lester. In 2021 Rizzo will be 31 and likely starting to fade. Any of their players who don't excel will need cash replacements. The older core of the team will be going away without a lot replacing them. They can fix a little of that with this years and next years draft but not all of it. Teams usually have a 5 to 7 year window with a group of prospects. The Cubs started in 2015 so they likely have a window into 2020-2022 before they struggle to keep said window open.
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