nate82
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Everything posted by nate82
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From a few economists that I have read from they are predicting a 4.3 CPI for tomorrow. Which if true probably means more rate hikes.
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You are looking at it incorrectly. It is not the net gain/loss but the probability of the outcomes.- 15 replies
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- aaron ashby
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You can mitigate risk with your 401k also. The closer you get to retirement start switching over to safer investments. So at 55-60 start allocating more towards bonds and cash. Once at your retirement and withdrawal age go completely cash and bonds and then cash out. Also removing your 401k wouldn't be a good idea if your employer is matching. I am not sure with government jobs if that is an option. But you would be losing money if there is a match. I wouldn't draw from social security until you are at the age of retirement for social security. You lose a lot per month if you draw early.
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Getting Portis back is key. Then picking up a C and a PG/SG from the buyout market. They don't even need to be big minutes bench players either just someone in case of an emergency who can fill in to give some minutes off the bench.
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Branch fits the Packers defensive scheme almost perfectly. QB probably not in the 1st round but third or fourth I think the Packers have to think about it. The only way I see the Packers taking a QB in the first is if they trade Rodgers and they get a top 10 pick for him. Jaxon I don’t believe will be a good NFL WR. It would be foolish to take Mayer in the 1st where the Packers are picking. Van Ness could be a sleeper at the Packers pick.
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I have given up on washing my car in Arizona. I would have to go every weekend to get it washed just to keep it clean. Now I just do it after each oil change. It is impossible to keep a car clean in Arizona.
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Beverly/Burk and Noel would be perfect.
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I am not sure if there is a top of the rotation arm in the first round to look at. Maybe if Waldrep or Skenes drop then you have a top of the rotation pitcher but otherwise I think the Brewers will have to go the risky route out of HS or believe that the Brewers could get someone like Teddy McGraw to be more consistent with his pitches. They would need to be able to get him to harness his stuff more and be more accurate with them. I mentioned him previously but someone like Will Sanders is probably a safer bet at least in the 1st round. Sanders profiles more like a #3 than a #1 or #2. Sanders does have a solid changeup which can make a fastball that only sits 92-94 look more like 95-98.
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This is probably the best film I have seen in years. Now if only someone would make a more recent Korean War film that is worth watching.
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Trading 2nd round picks in the NBA is the equivalent of trading 6th or 7th round picks in the NFL. I am not all that worried about losing 2nd round picks. Majority of the time the players taken in the 2nd round depending on where they are picked don't even see minor minutes. Best case scenario you get a rotational piece maybe in the 2nd round.
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John Wall is reportedly either will be traded or will be bought out. If he is bought out I think that might be where the Bucks go. He could be a good bench scoring option and fill the spot that Hill was occupying. That still gives Carter enough time as the backup PG and Wall being a rotational player. I don't think it will happen though as Wall is a horrible shooter. He would have to take minutes from Allen also. I still think Allen will be traded so Wall could take some of Allen's minutes if Allen is traded.
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Where in my post did I compare them to the Brewers? You were the one who said they don't have these situations when they do. Also Darvish is not a #1 or #2 type pitcher anymore he just isn't. He is a #3 type pitcher and on most of the playoff teams that is where he would be. The only team where Darvish would be the #1 would be the Cardinals. The Cardinals do not currently have a #1 type pitcher on their staff and Darvish would be a clear upgrade. The Mets have Verlander and Scherzer, Braves have Fried and Wright, Dodgers have Urias and Kershaw, Phillies have Nola and Wheeler. So yeah Darvish is a #3 or #4 on most of the playoff teams. ERA- is also a better stat to use than WAR for pitchers. Darvish was the 20th ranked player in 2022 with an ERA- of 80. The same as Nola so maybe he is the Phillies #2 so a coin flip there. The only team where Darvish is a clear better #1 are the Cardinals.
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Full deal for Crowder: Quick edit: Bucks receive: Jae Crowder Nets receive: Five second-round picks Pacers receive: Jordan Nwora Two second-round picks
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Not really surprising as the Bucks have been rumored to be getting Crowder for a few months now. The five second round picks though. Not really all that needed for the Bucks. At least the Bucks are keeping Allen though I am not sure how there could be another trade in the works that involves Allen, Hill and Ibaka.
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The Cardinals are not relying on Flaherty who is coming off an injury or a 40 year old Wainwright who pitched poorly when not throwing to a now retired Molina? The Dodgers have a lot of starting rotation question marks along with can Lux replace Trea Turner's production? Will JD Martinez bounce back from a bad year in Boston? The Mets are relying on old pitchers being effective as their #1 and #2 pitchers. If either Scherzer or Verlander start showing their age that could be an ugly mess for the Mets. The Padres don't have a strong starting rotation. They have a good offense but their best pitcher would be a #3 or #4 on most of the playoff teams. Braves will be relying on Acuna who is coming back from injury and will also be relying on Arcia or gasp a rookie Grissom at SS to replace Swanson. Then at DH will Ozuna be able to give the Braves anything? Is Harris really the hitter he was or will he regress? Is Murphy an improvement at C over what they had in '22? The Phillies bullpen could be an absolute mess if Kimbrel is not effective. Will Castellanos bounce back from a poor season? How healthy is Harper?
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I didn't really think they were going to do it as the players they got back for Kyrie were good. Not superstar good but decent players to plug in with Durant. I like this trade more for the Nets than I do the Suns. It makes the Suns better in the West but that team is completely dysfunctional with or without Durant. The Suns are currently the #5 seed in the West and I am not sure if this really makes them the favorites in the West. I don't think they will catch Denver for the #1 seed but they are within striking distance for the #2 but so are a bunch of other teams in the West.
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I LOVE THOSE BURGERS!!!!!! I will not stop ordering them in fact I will now order more of them now! Maybe you should get bigger hands or a bigger mouth! Did you think about doing that instead?
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I think letting Boxberger, Suter and Gott go were fine. Suter wasn't a high leverage arm in the bullpen. He was a good bullpen piece but not someone you would want to count on late in the game. Boxberger seemed to look like he has regressed a lot last year. Gott was always interesting but he was never consistent in the bullpen and seemed to be always hurt or unavailable for awhile. The Brewers do need to add to the bullpen and there are plenty of useful options still available.
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One Less Complex League Team in 2023?
nate82 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Yes there is a player cap which includes the complex leagues. So max of two with the current cap on how many players can be stateside. The DSL doesn't count towards a teams minor league roster number. -
I don't think Durant gets traded as the players the Nets got back are decent. This is probably a better team without Kyrie on it.
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One Less Complex League Team in 2023?
nate82 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
The one team per level is only applicable to A-AAA. The teams can have as many as they want at the complexes and in the DSL. -
Irving to the Mavericks. I wonder if the Nets now have a Durant trade in the works?
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I would put Tim Johnson over Yuni at SS or over Schoop at 2B depending on where you want to put him at.
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I would even put Suter below someone like Jesse Orosco, Graeme Lloyd and Carlos Villanueva.
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I am just trying to figure out who Doug Wickman is.....
