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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. Except you were complaining about him swinging at a strike that was right down the freaking middle of the plate. Here are all of the PA's for Chourio in today's game. Tell me which one where he swung at a ball and tell me the result. Here is Chourio's O-Swing%. He is swinging outside of the zone a bit too much this season but I think as the season goes on he will be closer to that 30% mark that he was in last year. So yeah he does swing out of the zone a bit but it is not at an alarming rate. He definitely doesn't need to be more selective probably just a little bit more selective but not much. As for his OBP it will always be more on the hitting side than it will be on the walk side. If you look at his MiLB numbers he has never been a big walk guy. His highest BB% has been 7.4% in a full year not including the DSL. So he is not going to walk all that much and he is going to swing so his OBP is going to be heavily towards hitting than it will be towards walking. A better swinging at pitches that are in the zone and very hittable pitches are what you want regardless of the outcome. Sometimes the ball just finds a fielders glove when you put the ball in play even if the ball is hit perfectly. There is a reason why there are very few players who have had a .400 average for a season. Heck an average north of .300 is becoming more and more rare. In the past 10 seasons there have been a max of 25 players to hit .300 more in two of the past 10 seasons not including 2020. So from 2014-2024 on average you are looking at about 12 players a season hitting .300 or better. Hitting has become far more difficult today than in the past. If a hitter has an advantage then they need to be swinging at that pitch. If it is 0-0 or 1-0 or 2-0 the hitter should be swinging at pitches that go straight down the middle of the plate. Chourio swung at 3 of them this game and went 0-3 on them sometimes that is going to happen and then on the pitch that is low and in off the plate you get a hit off of it. That is just baseball you are swinging a roundish bat at a round ball. There are just too many random outcomes to say swinging at pitches that go down the middle of the plate are a bad idea.
  2. To expand on the seeing more pitches per PA does absolutely nothing. From a Fangraphs article in 2015. https://community.fangraphs.com/does-seeing-more-pitches-lead-to-more-runs/ There is no evidence that seeing more pitches is good. In fact it is probably going to lead to more strikeouts. So seeing more pitches is just dumb. If you are just seeing more pitches to see more pitches as your strategy then you are a dumb hitter. There is no other way to put it. It is just dumb to watch pitches just to watch pitches. If a pitch is splitting the middle of the plate and it is 0-0 or 1-0 or 2-0 or even 3-0 the hitter should be swinging at it. This is the pitch you are waiting for you are getting a pitch put on a tee for you to swing at and you are more than likely not going to get a better pitch in the AB to swing at. A hitter should always be swinging at pitches they can do damage on not watching them just because it is the first pitch in the AB.
  3. I see you are finally coming around to swinging at the first pitch this is a good first step.
  4. MLB outcomes when the count is 0-0 So yeah it is a good idea to swing at the first pitch as hitters are hitting about .340 on 0-0. Watching a pitch go right down the middle of the plate is dumb no matter what the count is. This stupid you have to see as many pitches as you can and working the count needs to die. It is just a horrible strategy. It was a bad strategy then and it is a bad strategy now. Hitters should be swinging at pitches they can put a good swing on not watch the ball and hope for a better pitch that may never come. Also that previous PA by Chourio he got 2 pitches over the plate so swinging at the first pitch did absolutely nothing it was going to be a strike regardless. The second pitch was actually a bit worse than the first pitch. Here is that PA where the first pitch was a far better pitch to swing at and the second being a good pitch to swing at but not as good as the first one.
  5. When you get two pitches over the plate watching one doesn’t really do anything. Great you are down 0-1 and now you may not get a better pitch to swing at. Watching just to get more than 1 pitch an ab is just dumb.
  6. Chourio just barely missing tonight. That last one if he is able to center a bit more on the ball that is an extra base hit.
  7. You can make a case for Turang and Frelick but I don’t think either make it. I think Peralta will be the lone Brewer who makes it maybe Contreras as the 3rd catcher. Frelick is deserving but the NL OF is just stacked. Turang has a better chance at 2B than Frelick does in the OF.
  8. This is why signing FA’s especially pitchers to a long term deal is just a dumb idea for small market teams. Though the Dbacks are not a small market team. The Brewers should never play in FA for pitchers unless it is a short term deal. I also believe this is true for positional players also unless they are a once in a generation talent.
  9. Probably the best outcome the NHL could have hoped for happened in game 1. One of the better hockey games in a long time. This looks to be a great series and probably won’t get the viewership it deserves.
  10. A financial planner is not necessary. You can do it on your own and if you are worried about the risk then you can just go the ETF route. It is really simple to setup an account. You can even setup one where AI will pick your investments for you based on risk categories and what you are using the account for. Like financial planners you will have to pay a fee for this.
  11. Looks like Turner should have charged the ball as it hopped up at the last moment and hit the thumb of his glove. Will take it though.
  12. Yes that is it. The top third of the strike zone became Keston’s kryptonite. Not just fastballs but anything in the upper part of the strike zone he has problems hitting. It is all due to his upper cut swing. Perfect for pitches low but absolutely horrible on anything high in the strike zone. Once pitchers figured out that hole in his swing he just never adjusted to it. He tried one off season to level out his swing more but it never stuck and he was back to the massive upper cut swing.
  13. It helps when your better hitters actually start hitting. For awhile Chourio, Yelich and Hoskins were nearly automatic outs. Contreras for a bit was also in the automatic out category. When you have a third of your lineup just being absolutely horrible you are not going to win many games especially when those are hitters in the top half of the lineup.
  14. This is the type of game where you let Patrick go through the lineup three times as long as the Phillies are not within striking distance you let him go as long as he can.
  15. Luzardo having one of those games. One of the better pitchers in the NL this year. Extremely impressive to put up 11 runs against one of the better lefties in the NL.
  16. Basically this. Late or early timing can tell you if the batter is looking for a fastball (early timing) or an off speed pitch (late timing). Also how the ball is hit did the batter get on top of the ball or under the ball? If under the ball you could go up a bit higher and get the batter to completely miss the pitch. If they are over the ball go a bit further down and watch the batter swing over it. Did the ball hit the end of the bat or closer to the handle? If closer to the handle go in closer and induce a weak pop up or a ground ball. If at the end of the bat go a bit further out and watch the batter miss the pitch. Foul balls can tell a pitcher a lot about the batter and what they are trying to do.
  17. Not sure why there is so much angst against having Mears out there for a second inning. He cruised through the first two batters and then struggled against the third and then easily got the next batter out. I am not seeing an issue with that decision. This feels more like an illogical and nonsensical issue being brought up in this game.
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