I think Nelson could reach that ERA mark or be very close to it. Somewhere near a 4 ERA is basically what Nelson is. I don't think Anderson will continue to pitch the way he has but who knows maybe he does. I think Anderson is going to be the one who regresses the most the rest of the season. This season has been weird so far as there is only one team that is on pace for 90+ losses the Phillies and the rest of the league looks like a bunch of 75-80 win teams. The NL East is the weakest division in all of baseball record wise with only a total of 116 wins so far. The AL East and the NL West look to be the most competitive divisions in baseball. The AL and NL Central look completely flat at some point one of the better teams in the AL and NL Central are going to put it together (the Indians look like they are on track now). The Cubs look horrible and the shell of the team they were last year but at some point they are going to put a winning streak together and will put the Brewers, Cardinals, Reds, and Pirates behind them. As of right now I think the Brewers could win 85 games and finish 2nd in the NL Central as I believe 88 wins as of right now looks like it wins the NL Central.