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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. I said feels like. Dunn was just an example of the type of player you would want to trade from your other posts.
  2. This is not having a very good year? A 3.48 ERA and a WAR of 1.9 already for a pitcher qualifies as a very good year. Also Brown is hitting .158 in AA. I don't think he has much value at all and it wouldn't be all that big of a loss for Kikuchi. Blalock is having a good year but he isn't a top tier prospect. So not really an insane deal. It feels like you want to give up Dunn and that is about it for anyone. Blalock and Brown is probably not enough for Kikuchi.
  3. Check out Anderson's advanced stats. His ERA is a mirage.
  4. You are not going to get Rogers for cheaper than Fedde.
  5. Without a good exit velocity you are going to be hitting below .200 for a season. It really is everything. There are not many players who are successful regardless of where they hit the ball having a low exit velocity. Exit velocity is basically the same thing as saying squaring up with the baseball it just now has something to measure it by. If you listen to any of the great hitters talk about hitting like Tony Gwynn and Ted Williams they will talk about this. We now just have evidence to back up what they were saying. Gwynn always talked about how important it was to drive through the ball. When you drive through the ball you will get high EV. It is literally what every hitter is trying to do. You now have a stat that tells you how successful a player is at driving through the baseball or squaring up on the ball or whatever saying you want to use here. It is the single most important thing a hitter can do. A higher exit velocity will allow you to get more hits. This is why it is so important and why it is the single most important thing for a hitter. Exit velocity basically tells you how well the batter hit the ball. If it is a pulled ball or going the other way. A higher EV on a ball going away more than likely means a base hit. Now there are other parts of the hit that matter to like launch angle which can tell you where the ball was hit for the most part. But everything starts with exit velocity if you don't have a high exit velocity then you are not going to be getting a base hit. Look at all of the poor hitters in the league and you will find a common issue. They have poor exit velocity and extreme launch angles both negative and positive. It is far easier to fix launch angle issues than it is to fix poor exit velocity issues. This is why exit velocity is everything. Without good exit velocity the hitter is just not going to be all that good regardless of what the hitter does or doesn't do.
  6. But those are not low EV hits either. You are confusing exit velocity with pulling a ball. You can actually get less exit velocity by trying to pull a bull than if the hitter goes to the opposite side of the field. Adames AB that inning is a perfect example of that. It had a 48.8 EV and it was pulled.
  7. It is though. You will get a base hit more than likely with a higher EV than you will with a low EV. The Canha hit was at 98 EV and Kelly's was at 98.3 EV. So neither of them would qualify. The two low EV's in that inning all were outs with one high EV being an out. The lowest EV for a hit was by Baez at 83.6.
  8. Edit Canha not Greene was out by a lot but Frelick has a worse arm than Yelich and is playing in RF.......
  9. I believe the Blue Jays will be out of it by mid July and should start selling. While they won't be selling Bichette or Vlad I think the Brewers could get someone like Kikuchi who would be a solid add to the rotation. Kikuchi is only signed for this season so the Brewers wouldn't have to trade any of their top prospects. Something like Brown and Blalock for Kikuchi could work. Kikuchi would fit in nicely behind Peralta in the rotation. Another rotation option could be Tyler Anderson and he has another year of control yet at a fairly reasonable price of $13mm. His ERA is deceiving at 2.37 right now as his FIP 4.67 and xFIP 5.07 suggest he is getting a bit lucky and he has a .210 BABIP right now with a very low K/9 at 5.92. With an almost 90% LOB% also. I don't think it would take much to get him from the Angels. I would prefer Kikuchi over Anderson. If the Dbacks are out of it I think either Joc Pederson or Christian Walker would be good targets. This is what I would do. Trade #1: Kikuchi to the Brewers for Brown and Blalock Trade #2: Severino to the Brewers for Bauers and the Brewers comp B pick. Trade #3: Walker to the Brewers for Adams and Juan Baez This gives the Brewers two good starting pitchers to put behind Peralta and a better defensive 1B in Walker over Hoskins. Hoskins moves permanently to DH. You could change Pederson for Walker but then you will have to live with the poor defense from Hoskins at 1B. I don't think Pederson can play 1B.
  10. He has a career 124 wRC+. When he is on the field he has lived up to his hype.
  11. Bad news today for anyone who was holding out hope for 2+ rate reductions this year. Currently the market only has about a 10% chance for a rate cut in July and only a 50% chance in September. July was closer to 30% only a few months ago and September was around 70%. I still don't expect a rate decrease this year or at least not until after the election.
  12. Yes financials matter. Crypto is far more complicated and are more like fiat currencies. Also looking at the future GameStop is in a dying industry. Majority of video games are going digital. Which cuts into GameStop’s profits. A lot of their profits come from the reselling of games. Since these are going from a disk to digital this is going to cut their profits. They were making something around 200% on their used games. This has been drying up and their sales have been dropping because of this.
  13. I would do this trade as quickly as possible if that is what the White Sox wanted. The only pain would be losing Boeve but I fine with that though I would maybe flip Wilken instead of Boeve. Wilken hasn't looked all that good in AA so far and that is the biggest test for a prospect and Boeve has looked really good in AA so far. I would prefer to trade Brown over all of them but he may not have the value or what the White Sox are looking for. I think Misio and Quero wouldn't be on the table for a Robert trade. If they are then I think that is all the White Sox would get other than some lower level prospects like Adams or O'Rae.
  14. No, it would take too many good prospects and I don't want to get in a bidding war with the Padres who will just dump all of their prospects and won't care about it. I am also not sure Crochet will even make it to the end of the season as a starter. He could have a serious arm or shoulder issue if he stays on the pace he is at.
  15. I put Alonso as far better as I believe he will be able to stay healthy and you know actually play 1B unlike Hoskins. Health to me gives Alonso a notch above Hoskins thus being far better.
  16. Your buckets don't make any logical sense that is why. This is not to pick on you just that your hypothesis is faulty because of your buckets. You are making them lean to where you want them to lean. To make it more logical if you move the buckets it actually makes your hypothesis a bit stronger. Though what you are suggesting basically puts you at the same conclusion as sveumrules. Regardless of the highs and lows the middle numbers are about on par with the others you are comparing them to. Only two teams in your list out rank them and the others are within the margin of error.
  17. -72.3 career total Def for Hoskins and -65.2 for Alonso. Both suck but Hoskins sucks more.
  18. LOL not surprised Ham was canned. He was never going to be able to get a team that fit him with Lebron in LA.
  19. If you are going to do that then you need to change the middle to 4-5 and high be 6+ otherwise your curve is not going to match your high and low.
  20. Not sure what resigning anyone the Brewers trade for even matters. Hoskins is a horrible 1B and probably will go in the IL again at some point this season. Hoskins is basically the DH for the Brewers when Yelich or Contreras don't need a day off. Alonso is also a far better 1B than Hoskins is right now and you don't have the injury concern with Alonso like you have with Hoskins. Hoskins is a DH not a 1B. The money is not a problem. Mark A has said he would increase the payroll if needed in the past. So I don't see that as being a problem.
  21. That one has rallied also recently. Yes I know it was a good meme stock in 2020 but now not so much. It is so over priced right now compared to its financials. If anyone is in it I would suggest to get out and take your gains or minimize your losses as soon as possible. That stock should be trading below $5 a share. It's revenue just doesn't support the $40 it is currently at.
  22. It is probably another year where the Brewers are rumored to be interested in Joc Pederson just saying. He is having a really good year with the Dbacks though he is mostly a DH now. I would put Tyler O'Neill as another possibility but he is always injured and is currently on and off the IL nearly every month. I have mentioned Kikuchi before and I still think he would be a solid target if Toronto makes him available which they should. Another Dback that I am not really fond of is Christian Walker who maybe available if the Dbacks continue to flounder. I have mentioned Alonso before. If the Brewers get aggressive I think they could get him early before anyone else gets on him. I would do a Frelick, Bauers and a minor prospect for him or something like Brown/Lara, Bauers and a lower end prospect. I think Alonso would allow the Brewers to put Adames at 5 and then Hoskins at 6. Turang, Contreras, Yelich, Alonso, Adames and then Hoskins would be a really good 1-6. You could even substitute Ortiz in for Turang.
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