CC could easily turn into the next Livan Hernandez so I'd look out in giving him 7 years. Here are Livan Hernandez's ERA+s by year: 127, 85, 93, 114, 77, 88, 141, 126, 102, 91, 80, 125, 95, 71, 76 Sabathia: 102, 100, 122, 106, 104, 140, 143, 162 I don't think it's a fair comparison to CC. I want no part of 7 years, either, but Hernandez had one exceptional year and a bunch of mediocre ones while CC has put up three straight spectacular years after five solid ones. CC's also more reliant on the K to get outs and that's a trait that tends to stay pretty constant.