BrewCrewball has a good article on the SP plans. Davies is neck-and-neck with Nelson for the lowest Steamer projections, though none of those are pretty: 1. Jimmy Nelson (27) - 4.28 ERA, 188 IP, 20.2 K%, 8.1 BB%, 2.4 fWAR 2. Matt Garza (32) - 4.49 ERA, 163 IP, 17.6 K%, 7.4 BB%, 1.4 fWAR 3. Wily Peralta (27) - 4.50 ERA, 173 IP, 16.2 K%, 7.5 BB%, 1.6 fWAR 4. Taylor Jungmann (26) - 4.68 ERA, 138 IP, 19.3 K%, 9.8 BB%, 1.1 fWAR 5. Zach Davies (23) - 4.30 ERA, 120 IP, 18.1 K%, 8.5 BB%, 1.3 fWAR Edit: Added Lopez's steamer projections for comparison's sake: Jorge Lopez (23 - Feb 10) - 4.47 ERA, 64.0 IP, 19.1 K%, 9.3 BB%, 0.6 fWAR