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brewerguy71

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Everything posted by brewerguy71

  1. brewerguy71
    Wouldnt bother me. I would pay any amount of money to see Tim Lincecum pitch. I only hope he pitches in Milwaukee sometime this summer.
  2. brewerguy71
    You make a relevant point about McGehee's defense, but his obp #'s are as good in the minor leagues as Lambs are in mlb. You could also use Lamb at 2b in a pinch and he can fill in for Prince for a day off here and there at first. Julio is definitely on the downside of his career but DeFelice is approximately the same age and hasnt even had a career. I would have much rather had a Dillard/Littleton/Wright as the last 3 guys in the bullpen than anything involving Coffey and DeFelice. I may seem harsh at times when it comes to the evaluation end of things, but MLB baseball isnt a place for charity cases and "giving a guy a chance", and giving a mlb roster spot to DeFelice and McGehee a roster spot screams out that philosophy. Imo, id much rather have the experienced players taking that spot.
  3. brewerguy71
    Granted, the 24th and 25th roster spots arent all that important, but I just dont understand wasting those spots on guys like McGehee and DeFelice (or Nelson for that matter). All 3 of them are journeyman at best. If it were me I would much rather have experienced players in those spots. The only exception would be replacing Gwynn for Nelson and the only reason I see that as a better move is the speed and defense for late inning substitution. McGehee is hitting the cover off of the ball this spring, but its a small sample size in meaningless games, there is a reason he is 26 years old with only and handful of mlb games played (ditto Nelson and DeFelice). As for that last pitcher spot Littleton and Julio are both going to be better for the team than DeFelice could ever be.
  4. brewerguy71
    I really liked Pollack. He profiles as a decent 2b with s ceiling a little beneath that of Jemile Weeks. I think his main problem will be that he wont hit for much power and this will limit where he plays. CF works for him, but I dont know if he has the speed to be a great defensive CF. Gibson is definitely not disappointing. He is #1 of a group of 3 players from the area that we regard as top 5 rounders. Gibson is obviously a 1st rounder, but he is blowing everyone away so far. And to top it off he is facing the best competition of any player in the area. The slider is very good and his fastball is good for college too, but there I wonder if once he hits the higher levels of professional ball, they dont move him to a closer type role. His slider is plus plus, but his fastball doesnt really rate as a #1 starter type. He needs to get a little bit more velocity on it (a difficult task at this point of his baseball career) or some kind of great movement for him to move up to the top of the rotation type of starter. Being a #2 or #3 starter is nothing to be ashamed of of course, but his fastball only sits about 90, topping around 93 occasionally. I just wonder where he ends up. One guy that is starting to grow on me is Ben Carlson from MSU. Another big left handed power hitting 1b from Missour State, the possibilities are up there. Probably wont be able to hit like Ryan Howard, but not many players can. Has the chance to go rounds 5 through 7.
  5. brewerguy71
    The Best place to sit when watching a Twins game is in the comfort of a hotel room, or your own home. The Metrodome is a toilet. I have been on the field there and seen games from the stands and there isnt anywhere worth sitting in that place that involves paying admission.
  6. brewerguy71
    I would not be surprised at all to see a big drop off from Suppan this year. Somewhere in the 6-12 area with 5+ERA and a batting average against in the .280 range if not higher. McClung would be a better option, but not by much long term. If this all happens the team is headed for a sub .500 year. Add to it the possible collapse statistically by Kendall and Cameron there is the potential for a long season.
  7. brewerguy71
    Yeah, good pick up for them, nothing spectacular though. Hes a definite upgrade over Towles/Quintero and it maybe allows Towles to mature more, become the guy they needed him to be last year. I would be shocked if he caught more than 120 games for them. On Ausmus though, he is regarded as one of the smartest people in the game along with Greg Maddux. He will probably replace Cooper at some point soon as the manager of that team. He would have been a great guy to pick up for the Brewers last year, if only for that same purpose.
  8. brewerguy71
    Carlos Beltran anyone? Apart from a forward looking perspective and current age, you cant really say that Braun is a better outfielder, or projects to be a better one than Beltran is now or could be this year.
  9. brewerguy71
    Dont forget that power from a shortstop is not only a luxury, but its entirely possible to have a very good shortstop with little offensive production at all and still be a valuable asset to the team. The trade off is what the Brewers have right now, power coming from the position with defense that isnt really an asset at all. (I know, I know, Hardy has great defensive metrics...he fields what is hit to him and he has a good arm, so his defense is not a detriment, but it isnt adding value where you want value defensively.) The ceiling for Escobar's power, if it develops fully, is a 15 - 18 HR type of year. I could care less if he hits 10 HR a year, as long as he plays the type of defense he is capable of. If he can hit .270/.330/whatever but make the pitching staff that much better because of his defense, he will already be more valuable than Hardy ever was in my book. Teams strong up the middle defensively are championship level types of teams. Your corner guys can hit the HR's and drive in the runs and have average to bad defense. I have no problems with the comments made by Hardy. If Escobar starts AAA on fire offensively its time to bring him up and deal Hardy for a good prospect package or that #2 starter they desperately need.
  10. brewerguy71
    I would not consider Nelson being cut and being picked up by another team, or Green not making the opening day roster a major loss. We are talking about a couple of players here that will occupy the last two roster spots on about half of the teams in baseball, and its not the playoff caliber half. Nelson has one skill, hitting for power and that is all that he does. He is a liability in the outfield and the only place worth putting him in the field is at first base. Prince should easily be able to play 150 to 162 games barring injury. On his days off you can use Rivera or Lamb as his backup. He is definitely not the guy you want as your last option in the outfield. I would much rather have a player with versatility take his place like Iribarren. Nelson is scrap heap material for many major league clubs. He is Russell Branyon 2.0 without the ability to play 3b. As for Green, he is a bottom of the rotation guy, with average stuff, at his very best. And he blew his chance to prove he could be a bottom of the rotation guy last year in AAA. He pitches to contact and his only plus pitch is his change up. The Brewers already have 2 pitchers exactly like him in their starting rotation. And the spot where he may be most useful, is already occupied by Carlos Villanueva. Heck, if youre going to use that 24th spot on a pitcher like him, they might as well utilite a lefty like Wright instead.
  11. brewerguy71
    I dont see Nelson or Green making the team. Heres my 25mr: Kendall Fielder Weeks Hall Hardy Braun Cameron Hart Rivera Counsell Lamb Duffy ???? Gallardo Bush Parra Looper Suppan Hoffman Riske Julio Villanueva McClung Dillard Stetter That last outfield spot is a tough one. Gwynn is already hurting and doesnt have the skills to stick, Nixon is not really making his case, and guys like Cain wont benefit from sitting on the bench in the show when he could be getting more experience in AAA. I just dont know if Nelson can fill that spot rolling around like a big bowling ball in the OF. As for Green, he is barely a AAA 5th starter. He gets hit, a lot, everywhere he has been. Id say there is also the possibility of holding onto Chase Wright as another left hander in the BP.
  12. brewerguy71
    As much as Kennedy would be a nice young, bottom of the rotation type of guy for the Brewers, I have to agree that the Yankees would want no part of that type of deal. Hall pretty much has a negative value right now. We would have to throw in a guy like Cole Gillespe for them to even consider taking on Halls contract and giving Kennedy in return.
  13. brewerguy71
    This is the best I know of: http://www.ncaa-baseball.com/conferences/ And I think the NCAA site has stuff on it to, but they might only show leaders.
  14. brewerguy71
    Way too early to start speculating on this for sure. A guy can have an awful spring and throw 6 shutout innings on opening day. You just never know. As far as a Brewer vs Giants pitching match up goes, clear edge goes to the Giants. The Giants have one of the best rotations in all of baseball, the Brewers have one of the most questionable. The only guy I would give Gallardo an edge over on the Giants staff would be Zito. Yo has the potential to be one of the best young pitchers in the game. Lincecum and Cain are already there at that point. Sanchez has the benefit of having a full season under his belt where he performed well and Johnson has experience. Gallardo definitely has the stuff and the potential to be a top pitcher, but I need to see a full, solid season out of him before I am a buyer. The most fun one to watch imo would be a Parra Sanchez matchup. Both young, early in their career, with upside potential still.
  15. brewerguy71
    The "2 second" quote is hyperbole. He isnt fast, its as simple as that, and given his body size that is how much speed he would need. Hitting .350 in AA or AAA for that matter doesnt translate to MLB ready tools. He just doesnt have the tools, size or projectability to be a Major League star. This is why BA doesnt give him love, and why a majority of teams didnt give him any when he was drafted. He just doesnt have anywhere to play. He is too short to play anywhere but catcher (he's even too short to play there) and absent other skills that might let that size play, he doesnt really have a place on a championship level, or .500 level type of team. At best he is a novelty.
  16. brewerguy71
    For me, its not a question of their bat, but about body size/type. If a guy is in the draft pool for a given year, I figure he can hit. Heck, even great fielding/bad hitting catchers/SS/CF have value in their bats. I would love to have a guy who is 6'0" - 6'2", 190 to 210, with quick feet and quick hands, who bats right handed and has at the very least gap power and can hit to all fields with good strike zone discipline. This way, the body can fill out, the player can add power, and with that quickness in the feet and hands can play anywhere from SS to 3B to any outfield position depending on speed and arm strength. I think one of the weaknesses of recent Brewer drafts is that they have tended to focus a ton of time on power and power potential and forgotten everything else like speed and defense and strike zone discipline. As for Lawrie, I had thought all along that he wouldnt materialze as a catcher, and am indifferent on him as a second baseman as well. I think he is best suited for 3B or RF, and his bat plays well at both positions.
  17. brewerguy71
    I am no Salome fan. I would agree with where he was on BP's list, but also have no problem with him not in BA's top 100. He needs about 6 inches of height and 2 seconds of speed to be regarded as a viable prospect in my book. I wouldnt take him over Perez though. Perez has nasty stuff and will most likely be the Cardinal closer by year end with the job his to lose from that point on. The Brewers could use a closer prospect like him in their system (maybe Jeffress...but his breaking stuff cant match Perez's slider).
  18. brewerguy71
    I cant help but bring up the Braun comparison again on this comment..... As has been mentioned here, defensive metrics are not perfect, in fact they are deeply flawed. These same metrics allow the thought that JJ Hardy is a good defensive shortstop, when he is merely adequate. I just tend to get really annoyed when people say things like "buying high" on a guy who in many respects is just a tad lower in ability and performance to Braun, who has the sky for the limit on his future. Did he deserve a gold glove or the contract? I believe he is a good fielder, I believe he is a good player. He won the gold glove and if he had the pieces around him that Braun does, and played in a more hitter friendly park, would we even be making statements like "buying high" or give him the same benefit of the doubt that Braun is given?
  19. brewerguy71
    He did win a Gold Glove last year.... I dont get the "buying high" feeling here on him. He has progressed nicely over the course of his career and is still a couple years away from peak. I would attribute a lot of his success of last year to getting a better understanding of the strike zone and better discipline at the plate. That type of thing tends to only get better with time. In this respect, as well as the defense, he is a better player than Braun (and thats with playing in a pitchers park). Nice deal for the Pirates, but I wonder what they are going to do with McCutcheon now. They must be getting ready to move one of these guys to RF. (fixed code --1992)
  20. brewerguy71
    I think that the over/under on attendance this year will be more like 2,000,000. Its a bad bad economy out there, the team is not nearly as good as it was last year, and if they are a .500 team or so by the time summer rolls around, families are not going to drop the $100 to take in a game. By the time June/July/August roll around the job market will be at or near the very bottom and people just arent going to be able to afford to go to games like they did last year. This number regarding already sold tickets is very misleading because of the packages sold to get playoff tickets last year. I think they will do very respectfully for their market size and considering the economy, but there is no way they will even be close to 3,000,000 again this year.
  21. brewerguy71
    Of the Brewers on the list, Escobar is highest at 51, followed by Lawrie 57, Gamel 58, Jeffress 72 and Salome 79. The top 10 is pretty obvious leading off with Weiters and Price, then followed by Madison Bumgarner, Pedro Alvarez, Travis Snyder, Neftali Feliz, Rick Porcello, Colby Rasmus, Buster Posey and Jason Heyward. I dont have too much of a problem putting the Brewer players that low on the list. Given that Escobar would have to greatly increase his offensive numbers to climb higher, Gamel would have to put in a full season's worth of the production he has shown glimpses of and that his tools are not quite "the real deal" but simply "good". Lawrie definitely has the chance to move up this list as he matures and gets some playing time in as a pro.
  22. brewerguy71
    Theyve got the Brewers going 89-73 tied for first and also tied for best record in the NL. Wow! I love THT, but what is the person smoking who wrote this preview? To give the guy the benefit of the doubt, he does still list guys like Sabathia and Sheets as being a part of the Brewers. One other "homer" type of thing I noticed is that when they list their "favorite Brewer blogs" the top one listed is where the guy who wrote the article is coming from (brewcrewball.com). Sadly Brewerfan.net is not listed. Without fulling diving into the numbers yet, I would give the Brewers a record of 83 to 85 wins, but 89 wins and tied for the division, and best record in the NL? Come on.
  23. brewerguy71
    Drew and Weaver were both Boras clients. Both were considered the top talents in the draft but dropped over bonus/signability issues. Definitely not the type of players the Jack Z Brewers liked to draft. You have to wonder what the difference is between drafting Jeffress and paying less and waiting longer and drafting one of those two guys and paying more up front but having a quicker mlb impact is.
  24. brewerguy71
    Drew and Weaver were both Boras clients. Both were considered the top talents in the draft but dropped over bonus/signability issues. Definitely not the type of players the Jack Z Brewers liked to draft. You have to wonder what the difference is between drafting Jeffress and paying less and waiting longer and drafting one of those two guys and paying more up front but having a quicker mlb impact is.
  25. brewerguy71
    My reasoning on the defensive issue is not reflected in the numbers, because the numbers arent measured. Hardy had many balls hit right at him last year when he was cheating up the middle. This is a coaching effect, not ability. The main reason this was done was because of his limited range. Hardy's defensive "numbers" had a great boost last year because Brewer coaches and scouts had him positioned in exactly the right place many times last year. I guess the one number you could use to show this would be the huge number of OOZ plays he made than other SS (15% more in fact than the 2nd place SS, Escobar, who by the way, go to those balls because he is a great shortstop defensively). As for him peaking, its just a personal opinion and its just as valid as any other opinion. I just feel that he has played out of his league the last two years. I do believe that he has made strides and has gotten better at going the other way with pitches on the outside part of the plate. I feel that he benefits from playing in Miller Park offensively as well. If I were going to take a stab in the dark ranking for SS in all of baseball I would say that Hardy did have a top 5 year last year, but overall he is a mid range shortstop. I would put Reyes, Rollins, Tulowitzki, Ramirez, Drew, Tejada and Escobar all in front of Hardy.
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