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brewerguy71

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Everything posted by brewerguy71

  1. brewerguy71
    You can get all of that information from baseball-reference.com as well.
  2. brewerguy71
    There wont ever be a cap in baseball. Its not a captive audience like with the NFL. The joke will be on the Yankees in the end. I can still see them easily missing the playoffs. An injured Burnett, no viable CF or RF and an aging LF and SS, no catcher, Sabathia disappointing....even if they add Manny, its realistic that they finish 3rd in that division next year.
  3. brewerguy71
    I guess I dont have too much of a problem with that. Baseball is the only sport where you get compensated for a player desiring to leave your city so any pick at all should be considered a gift. As far as the difference between the 37th or 48th pick, it really doesnt matter in my book. The Brewers have had great success with the draft under Jack Z, but the new SD may not be as savvy or fortunate, so you shouldnt lose any sleep over this issue.
  4. brewerguy71
    Yes. I would sign him in a heartbeat to that amount. Despite his age, he has proven his durabilty and value. He would instantaneously become the best pitcher on the Brewer staff if they picked him up. Unfortunately, he wouldnt come here. The coasts are his fit. Doesnt seem like Boras likes to send his clients to places like Milwaukee, or Cleveland, or St. Louis as free agents.
  5. brewerguy71
    Ive never seen the kid play myself, but he is on a few lists, including BA. I would assume his body type and the fact that he can already play great D as you say, makes him a prime candidate to be high on peoples lists. I guess he is committed to Miami next, and the Brewers dont like taking kids who have solid committments in place (espcially U of Miami). But I would be interested to see what kind of season this kid has, and if a first round pick is made, if he can be pried away from UM.
  6. brewerguy71
    No Stephen Perez, SS, from Miami?
  7. brewerguy71
    I think that McLouth had just as good of a year as Braun did this year. And to top it off he won a Gold Glove. He doesnt quite have the history offensively that Braun does, but this past season puts him on a pretty good level. I dont think the Brewers have what it would take to get him. They maybe have 5 players in the entire system that would bring him in, only one of which would be a one for one deal. The rest of them would require the Brewers to add a prospect.
  8. brewerguy71
    I am surprised that Derek Lowe is being overlooked. Sure, he is 35 but for the past 7 years he has averaged over 33 starts a year, over 200 IP and has only had one bad season. He has great WHIP numbers, good ERA + numbers and the fact that he is a sinkerball pitcher as opposed to a power pitcher gives me less concern about tiring out. I'm not sure what he is asking for, but the Brewers could get him for half of what they were offering Sabathia. He would be a nice pressure release for Gallardo being a young #1, and would be a great buffer between two power pitchers in Gallardo and Parra and a very solid #2 starter.
  9. brewerguy71
    Excellent point. The balls that Hardy does get to are near certain outs.
  10. brewerguy71
    Im glad you added the "fwiw" to that statement, because it is true that Hardy had good defensive "numbers", those numbers from last year were very misleading. In watching many Brewer games last year I was amazed at how many balls that were sure singles up the middle, were hit right at Hardy and turned for outs. Thats not range or ability, its defensive positioning, coaching and scouting. So although his metrics and numbers say he was near that top, ability wise he is average to below average defensively.
  11. brewerguy71
    I dont think Escobar could bring Anderson or Cahill. Anderson is Oakland's top prospect and one of the top 10 in the game perhaps. Escobar will be a top 100 prospect going into the year, but he definitely couldnt bring top quality pitching by himself. I would go the complete opposite direction on this. I think Escobar's defense is premier and Hardy is the one who is overvalued. I feel that Hardy's trade value will never be higher than what it is right now. Hardy could probably bring at least Cahill or Inoa and a bat such as Cardenas and another mid level prospect.
  12. brewerguy71
    I dont think this deal one for one is a good one for the Brewers, but its not an awful one. The reality is that if it is one for one or even Cabrera + lower level prospect, the Brewers get younger and cheaper, they dump $10mm off of the payroll, they pick up a LH bat and pick up decent CF defense. Cameron was nice, but he wasnt a world beater, and Melvin is insane if he thinks he can get a top pitching prospect along with Cabrera in this deal. If Cameron were still 30 he could. As far as Hughes goes, he may not be going anywhere, but to the top of the Yankee rotation also isnt one of the places he is going. His velocity is down, he is injury prone and he is had an unspectacular AFL stint. I wouldnt want him anyway.
  13. brewerguy71
    The deal reportedly also has the Mariners getting gold glover Gutierrez and the Indians getting Jeremy Reed and Joe Smith. Nice trade for the M's and Mets but kind of crummy for the Indians. Unless they are planning on replacing defense with the offense of Matt LaPorta.
  14. brewerguy71
    There is only one player on the Brewer roster that could net us Kevin Youkilis (the true 2009 AL MVP). And that player isnt going anywhere for another 6 years. And they dont have a prospect package to net him either. Another idea could be to send Fielder there to be their DH, but then they have the trouble of unloading an expensive Big Papi, and we still have to throw in something very good to even it out for the Red Sox. Imo, a Fielder deal to the Red Sox died when they traded away Coco Crisp and left Jacoby Ellsbury at their only CF option. Lets not forget that even with a Teixiera signing by the Sox, they have one of the top hitting prospects in baseball ready to step in at 1B for them in Lars Anderson.
  15. brewerguy71
    Escobar playing SS would make the Brewers better there, and there is a bit of a loss defensively with Blanco in CF, but the gap is closed a little with his obp.
  16. brewerguy71
    Kelly Johnson one for one is a pretty fair trade involving Hart.
  17. brewerguy71
    The Braves would be getting the short end of the deal in a Heyward for Hardy trade. I think if the Braves are really interested, they could offer up a deal I proposed here about a month ago where they get Hardy and the Brewers get Kelly Johnson and Gregor Blanco and one of either Cole Rohrbough or Kris Medlin. I think its time to move Hardy. His stock is not going to go any higher than it is now. A trade like the one mentioned above solves three problems for the Brewers 1) young and cheap, Blanco allows the Brewers to trade Cameron to the Yankees for pitching prospects, 2) top of the order batters, and 3) good obp guys. Whatever value Hardy does have a a power hitting, low range SS is cant match up with the latter.
  18. brewerguy71
    Hughes had a horrible year all around. Add to it that he cant stay healthy, and has lost 4 to 5 mph off of his fastball, I wouldnt want him. Yankees may be talking like they wont deal him, but they would be foolish to hold onto him. Big story on him and Clay Bucholz in the recent Baseball America.
  19. brewerguy71
    I would go with Blyleven, Henderson, Murphy and Rice. I would also add Lee Smith but make him wait a few years like Sutter and Gossage did, he was just as good as those two guys were, and then the guys who as time goes on should get more and more consideration and eventually get in: Dawson, Morris, Parker, and McGwire would be in there too if not for the steroids issue.
  20. brewerguy71
    I think there are two valid options out there for the Brewers in the way of a closer, and they could also pick up a starting pitcher if they did the right deal. Both of them involve JJ Hardy and the prospect of signing Felipe Lopez to play SS in case Escobar isnt ready yet. 1) Hardy to San Francisco for Jonathan Sanchez, Brian Wilson and an A level prospect or 2) Hardy to the Dodgers for Broxton and Kuo Both teams need a SS, and both teams have an abundance of starting pitchers and a closer type that they could afford to unload.
  21. brewerguy71
    Jim Edmonds is only looking for a one year contract. Still can play good CF and could maybe create a platoon with Cameron or allow the Brewers to deal Cameron to the Yankees, get Cabrera in the deal, and not have to worry so much about Cabrera's production.
  22. brewerguy71
    I wonder if the Brewers have explored signing Felipe Lopez as a back up for the coming season(s)... After being released by the Nationals last year he went on to hit over .380 for the Cardinals, with an obp of .426 and an OPS+ of 153. His Runs Created during that time would translate into a year better than Braun or Fielder had and would put him in the top 10 in the NL. He will only be 29 years old this year, he will probably come cheaply, he could fill in for Weeks, and could be insurance behind Escobar if they decided to trade Hardy.
  23. brewerguy71
    I will say again that I would like to see the Brewers get David DeJesus, but it seems like there is a little bit of insanity on this board regarding his value (or lack thereof). DeJesus is a guy who had 23 win shares last year, 96 Runs Created and had a .307/.366/.818 clip last year. That is an upgrade offensively over every single Brewer last year except for Prince Fielder and Ryan Braun. And its not too much lower than either of those guys. He is 29 years old, has an established track record, and comes cheaply for 2 years. He is definitely worth Manny Parra one for one. He is definitely worth a upper level prospect one on one or two to three mid level prospects. I do not think that the Brewers will give up what it would take to get DeJesus and that will be because he is worth more than what the Brewers will want to part with. Teahen is the guy from the Royals to get. Its rumored that the Cubs would give up Marshall and Fontenot to get him, if this is what the Royals are looking for, on the Brewer end I would say that translates into a Villanueva/Gwynn type of deal.
  24. brewerguy71
    Not really. LaPorta is projected as an All Star type bat and that was the case from the moment he was drafted . Gamel has potential, but has had an injury and was not raised to top prospect status until he was in the system for a couple of years. And we sent three mid level guys in addition to LaPorta. DeJesus is a guy who was the 6th best outfielder in the AL last year according to WPA. He is no slouch and is by no means a mini-Cameron. There is tremendous value in this player and it will cost to get him. Maybe Jeffress, LuCroy and Cain/Green is too steep, but two of those 4 would be selling DeJesus wayyyyy to short for the Royals.
  25. brewerguy71
    I would not make this trade either, seeing as how starting pitching depth in the organization is a weak point at present. I do think that DeJesus is worth Parra. I dont understand why people would think this statement is so outrageous. Look at the numbers. DeJesus gets on base, he has speed, can play CF and can hit at the top of the order. These are all things the Brewers need badly. Parra has some upside, but he has an injury history and the only thing he has proven so far is that he will break down without usage limitations. MLB history is filled with guys who had great stuff but have gotten injured or werent able to get control problems inline. I actually predict an injury this year for Parra from being overused last year and a continuation of that into the early part of this year.
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