As the second half of the minor league season is underway (the official start was a few weeks ago, the unofficial post ASG just started), here are some things I look forward to, and also in keeping with the articles posted earlier this week for the Major League club, here are prospects that have exceeded expectations, and those who have underwhelmed in my opinion (and happy for others to chime in with their thoughts as well)
First 5 prospects who have underwhelmed so far
1. Eric Brown Jr - his first half has been terrible. Last season was chalked up to first full pro season and injuries. This year he doesn't have those excuses. Granted the timing of this is odd given his hot bat the past few weeks, but overall his first half has been poor and he fell down rankings quite a bit.
2. Daniel Guilarte - part of that teenage infield group at Carolina last year (along with Areinamo, Barrios, Adams, and O'Rae) he was the only one to repeat low A and hasn't been lighting it up offensively. From a consensus top 20-30 prospect last year to likely falling off most lists this year (also due to some playing well and new players added).
3. Matt Wood - last year he looked like the legit 2nd catcher prospect in the system, but also stalled out at high A. Again timing is not great since he has been hot the past few weeks but overall his defense has not improved a lot (from reports here and the few games I watched), and offensively he is about average on the club, and above league average.
4. Pedro Ibarguen - he had a break out DSL campaign, and much was expected. Even in the offensively oriented ACL he is not hitting. Time is on his side, but he has not been able to continue any success from last year.
5. Luis Lara - look I am big supporter of his and he is incredibly young at age 19 in high A. And we cannot expect a Chourio type of ascent for most of our international signees. But he has not had the success at the plate and not developed much power. Time is on his side as well. And this is not a statement of anything poor about the prospect but just comparing to expectations (mine and I assume several of you as well) coming into the year.
HM - Quero due to the injury. Not his fault but missing this season has been a disappointment. Also the entire ACL pitching staff (sans Hayden Robinson) who have been the worst in the ACL. Expectations were unknown, but I don't think we ever expected one of the organization's pitching staffs to rank this low given the track history of pitching success. Lastly, Tyler Black. Still a good prospect but from being expected to be on the big league club to now a likely trade candidate in a deadline deal his stock has come down a bit.
5 Prospects who have exceeded expectations
1. Craig Yoho - there were several of you very high on this guy, and most (including me and the prospect list creators as well) who were not. A "senior" signing who pitched little and did not have great numbers in college seemed like he was just there to make sure we signed Pratt/Bitonti. But wow, he is in AA and looks like a MLBer already, and is on at least Baseball America list despite being a reliever. Lots of upward momentum here.
2. In keeping with this theme - Brett Wichrowski - who I had as #3/4 on the list, but bumped him up after last nights performance (OK I am not being consistent here I acknowledge) but this keeps him with his fellow draftee. I had no expectations on him, and he looked like a college pitcher depth signing. I remember watching him in the Prospect game against KC and was like "wait, who is this pitching?". He dominated high A and has struggled in AA, but settling in during the past month. Despite that he is 21, drafted last year and is already in AA and profiles as a starter, with some reliever risk, but a lot of helium for him in 1 year.
3. Mike Boeve - coming in he was looked at as a poor man's Tyler Black, and he has just hit and hit, and also another 2023 draftee in AA already (Wilken, Boeve, Yoho and Wichrowski and that's impressive to have 4 draftees in AA less than a year after being drafted). He cooled a litte and is injured now, but he has just hit.
4. Jadher Areinamo - for all that Guilarte did not do, Jadher has. He has continued excellent defense at 2B/SS in high A and is hitting well. Power still lags, but a defensively solid MIF who can hit for average is a good commodity to have and his stock is going up.
5. The DSL hitters - Pena, Made, Anderson, Ortuno. Expectations were high that one or some could be high end prospects (like Chourio, then Lara, then Y Rodriguez before them). But this group is making a mockery of the league with their hitting prowess. I didn't expect that so they have exceeded what I think was a realistic expectation for them.
HM - Gasser, he is now on the shelf, but showed that he can be a reliable middle rotation starter. Pratt has jumped up a lot, but I think he was a 1st round talent and is doing well to look that part.
Things to look for
1. Biloxi's second half. With a rotation that is all prospects and mostly all homegrown (Misiorowski, Henderson, Wichrowski, S. Smith and Blalock) and an offense that is starting to hit with prior top draft picks (Brown despite his struggles, O'Rae, Wilken and Boeve) there is a lot to hopefully watch for this team.
2. Promotions - Pratt and Bitonti lead this list of players destined to move up. But other will potentially see a move in the next few weeks as well.
3. Draft signings - the top selections are in and hopefully all of the top 10 round players will sign, and hopefully more than half of the day 3 picks will as well. Plus no UDFAs signed yet, but the Brewers MO is to sign a few of them, so still waiting for that to occur.
Long winded, sorry. But I am so excited to continue watching the rest of the minor league season.