They believed the same thing last year and how did that turn out? There is no reason to think the bullpen is in good shape. To the contrary there's no reason to believe the bullpen is in bad shape heading into the season, either. The Brewers got rid of practically everybody except Axford, and added pitchers that are better than the pitchers they were replacing, and who have more experience to boot. If anything it's likely they will be better, but how much better is up for debate. Plus, you just never know what you are going to get in a bullpen, because player performances very quite a bit year to year. Instead of declaring it a good or bad bullpen which you and me really have no clue, because the season hasn't even started yet, it's wiser to take the wait and see approach. Let this "new" bullpen prove itself. That's what I do every year.