To sort of go off of what JohnBriggs said, the Brewers have to play well, but if they take care of business within the division, that's huge (we gain and they lose). Also the division isn't based on how well we do, but how well we do relative to others. People seem to think that the Reds, Pirates, and Cards are going to continue at their current paces. Remember the '11 Pirates? Weren't they in first place right now? Or I believe the '98 Brewers only a few back in the division entering Sept. How about the Cardinals last year? They played great ball in the second half and still lost ground. Without Votto, expect the Reds to come crashing down a bit. With the Brewers healthy and the rotation doing great, expect us to play better (.600 or .650 ball). The Cards still aren't that deep. The Pirates are the Pirates.