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Warning Track Power

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Everything posted by Warning Track Power

  1. Warning Track Power
    What makes you think the Pirates staff is better than the Brewers? Going #1-#5 based on MLB.com's depth chart: #1 Liriano vs. Lohse #2 Cole vs. Garza #3 Morton vs. Gallardo #4 Locke vs. Peralta #5 Rodriguez vs. Estrada I think the Brewers are better at #3-#5, a push at #1 and worse at #2. Liriano had a good 2010 and 2013 mixed with pretty awful 2009, 2011 & 2012. Cole is going to be a beast no doubt. I'll gladly take Gallardo, Peralta and Estrada over Morton, Locke and Wandy. I think the Pirates in general are worse on paper than the Brewers going into 2014 and I like the Brewers O much better as well. As for the Reds and Cardinals pitching staff, you will find no argument from me there.
  2. Warning Track Power
    http://www.sbnation.com/mlb/2014/3/18/5522420/first-base-available-trade-statz Interesting...and terrifying article about 1B. Could this be our situation for a while?
  3. Warning Track Power
    In this scenario, the Mets would be getting less and less for Ike because he is a player who cannot stay on the field. A core injury last year, a calf injury this year...and now they're making it known he is available? Seems to me like a cut bait and get whatever you can moment for the Mets. You state above that some are excited because his core injury may have led to him being lousy and we are getting the stud hitting 1B prospect. I am excited about the prospect of adding Ike not because of those things, but because I think he is significantly better than Overbay and Francisco at this point in their careers and could turn out to be a perfect change of scenery player and in the best case scenario, maybe even a poor man's Chris Davis.
  4. Warning Track Power
    I'm not sure I'd qualify Pena as a non-prospect, he continually shows flashes of brilliance, though he may ultimately end up in the bullpen, or of course nothing like any prospect. However I've said this before but I like him more as a starting pitcher than I do Hellweg, I just don't see Hellweg starting in the big leagues with his rate stats and relative lack of control. There is still hope for Pena, I'm not sure exactly how much, but I'd much rather move Gagnon than Pena at this time. I feel similarly about Pena as I did Peralta, he's intriguing and a guy you just keep hoping will have a breakout season at the upper levels of the minors. He has a nice K rate and one can always hope that the BB rate falls to reasonable level, otherwise like Hellweg he's destined for relief if anything. I know you really dig into the minors TC07 and I guess I look at Pena and Hellweg in a similar way: electric fastball, very limited control. Neither of those guys are anything close to a sure thing and due to that, if the Mets were to make Ike available in a deal for one or the other I think it behooves the Crew to try to solve an issue at the MLB level with a prospect that is by no means a guarantee. If Thornburg, who I think most rate as an average MLB prospect, was an overpay to get Ike, don't Hellweg and Pena, with their own warts, represent fair value from the Brewers system for Ike?
  5. Warning Track Power
    I agree trwi...I don't dispute your point about potentially being no better than Overbay or Francisco. If we were getting the Overbay of 2006, this is a moot point but I think Overbay is done though and Francisco is just a butcher at 1B and should be no more than a DH, which we obviously don't have in the NL. Looking at the career splits for each against RHP, as the winner will likely platoon with Mark Reynolds: Ike: .256/.356/.471 Juan: .252/.312/.464 Lyle: .273/.364/.451 And following it up with the past two seasons: 2012 Ike: .253/.345/.523 Juan: .245/.291/.477 Lyle: .265/.339/.412 2013 Ike: .222/.356/.371 Juan: .234/.305/.443 Lyle: .258/.317/.432 It does back up the thinking that Ike may be no better than Overbay or Francisco. However, I think the player that has the greatest chance of being more than those stats is Ike, as Overbay is on his last legs of his career and Francisco...I have a Yuni B-type disgust for and think him never playing defense again would benefit him. A change of scenery trade for Ike, if it included a non-prospect like Pena is the route I hope the Brewers take as I just don't see Francisco ever being more than what he currently is. I am biased because of my disgust of Juan Francisco's game. I admit it. But I think Ike is a lottery ticket we should not pass up because of the likely low cost.
  6. Warning Track Power
    I think this will happen and O and Juan Fran will be cut. Actually, I wouldn't be surprised to see Juan Fran shipped to New York with say, Ariel Pena, for Ike. Francisco backs up Wright at 3B and Duda at 1B. I just really like the idea of buying talent, which Ike has, cheap even if it never pans out. Make it happen Doug.
  7. Warning Track Power
    This is an excellent post...
  8. Warning Track Power
    Why would you give up on Extra Innings next season if they provide you with MLB.tv as well? Isn't that like getting a 2 for 1 if you are a Directv customer and have access to MLB.tv on your laptop/tablet/phone? To save some money. That's what it all comes down to. No it's a legit question...If Extra Innings is giving you a free MLB.tv package this year and offers you the same thing next season, how will that save you money? Aren't both Extra Innings and MLB.tv the same price? If so, why not just purchase Extra Innings because you get both for the price of one? I am asking because I am moving and am researching which choice is the best for my household as well. Thanks.
  9. Warning Track Power
    Why would you give up on Extra Innings next season if they provide you with MLB.tv as well? Isn't that like getting a 2 for 1 if you are a Directv customer and have access to MLB.tv on your laptop/tablet/phone?
  10. Warning Track Power
    I'm waiting for Jonathan Lucroy to get a boxer's fracture of his right hand when a suitcase falls on him.
  11. Warning Track Power
    I know I am in the minority here, but I would be calling the Mets and seeing if I could buy low on Ike right now. I still think he's a better option than Reynolds/Francisco/Overbay. Maybe they're desperate enough to deal him for a bag of balls... or what most of you think he's worth.
  12. Warning Track Power
    http://www3.jsonline.com/sports/brew/image/2001/may/jb510.jpg I know you can barely see the number, but man I loved that swing!!
  13. Warning Track Power
    UGH...no thank you. He has been awful here in LA after getting paid. I would rather keep Rickie.
  14. Warning Track Power
    http://www.newsday.com/sports/baseball/mets/mets-ike-davis-in-walking-boot-will-miss-a-week-1.7340195 Maybe the Mets will now deal Ike to us for a little less than Tyler Thornburg...
  15. Warning Track Power
    If Reynolds were to simply match his 2012 line, I would be "happy" as I think this is about his ceiling moving forward: .221/.335/.429 23 HR 69 RBI My fear is .200/.290/.400 15 HR 40 RBI
  16. Warning Track Power
    While it won't affect the Cardinals, when the Rams move back here to Los Angeles, as has been rumored, I will personally take great joy in those that are Cardinal/Ram fans and call themselves the "Best Fans in Baseball" losing their NFL team.
  17. Warning Track Power
    I called into MLB Network Radio last week to discuss this very issue. It will be interesting, dare I say hypocritical, when Braun is booed out of the stadium in St. Louis this season, but Jhonny Peralta will not only be cheered, but was also handed a $50 million contract AFTER his PED suspension. Braun wasn't given a contract after his suspension. The Cardinal Way...the most arrogant fan base I have ever seen and it has nothing to do with the Brewers being a rival. I genuinely despise (in a baseball sense) the better than thou attitude of that team.
  18. Warning Track Power
    I know we are only three weeks away from Opening Day, but I still cannot imagine Melvin going into the season with Reynolds and Overbay/Francisco as our 1B options. I don't care what Francisco has done in ST, something has to change. I just have to believe that one of the ugly candidates (Ike, Smoak, Carp etc...) that have constantly mentioned will eventually be had for a low level prospect. Overbay/Francisco just have no business being on the roster come March 31.
  19. Warning Track Power
    Glad I am not the only one...
  20. Warning Track Power
    Please be true...As much as I think Overbay is done, I want no part of Juan Francisco on the Brewers in the present or future.
  21. Warning Track Power
    If Gallardo pitches like he has historically in 2014 & 2015 and proves the 1st half of 2013 was an aberration, I think 4 years $60 million is about the floor of where he will be looking. Brings me back full circle to the premise of the original post, if Gallardo would do a 3 year $39 million extension today, which would include his 2015 option vesting, making it a 4 year $52 million contract, would you do it? Seems like most here would not...I would given what you just said about inflated player salaries and the lack of high end pitching in the Brewers system. Risky on both ends, the Brewers may be paying a ton for another Suppan, and Yo may sign a below market contract if he returns to the pitcher he was in 2008-2012.
  22. Warning Track Power
    Flip Reynolds/Francisco and Davis and I think we have our winner.
  23. Warning Track Power
    I genuinely believe that Sveum not being a member of the coaching staff has had an impact on Rickie more than most. I think Narron has done well especially with the development of Gomez, but I wish Sveum would've been brought back after his firing in Chicago.
  24. Warning Track Power
    I think so. I think Garza's injury history drove his price down, while his lack of a QO drove his price back up. Having said that, I expected Garza to get $15 AAV.
  25. Warning Track Power
    Record: 85 - 77 All Stars: Lucroy, Gomez Biggest Surprise: Weeks Biggest Disappointment: Gennett Playoffs: MAYBE (Braves 1st WC, Giants, Diamondbacks, Reds, Pirates, Brewers all clustered in the mid 80s wins range for 2nd WC) Place in Division: 2nd World Series: Dodgers vs Rays
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