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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Adrian Houser has been tough on these Padres hitters over their 39 plate appearances facing him. He has a .409 OPS against with 10 strikeouts while allowing just 5 hits and 3 walks. This is the first time the Brewers have faced Ryan Weathers, but he appears to be a difficult southpaw to muster offense against. He’s gone more than 4.0 IP just once this season.
  2. Adrian Houser: Batter (Padres) vs Pitching Stats Statcast Game Preview for Padres-Brewers Statcast Game Feed for Padres-Brewers
  3. I think that’s a totally fair and valid point, but do we think Counsell would’ve actually saved Hader for the 10th even if the caliber of batters due up in each of those innings was completely flipped? I believe the only time Hader has pitched the 10th this year was when the Brewers were trailing headed into the 9th, but tied the game in the bottom of the 9th.
  4. While I certainly don’t disagree, I’m not sure baseball on the whole is a very good product right now. It’s sort of amazing that we’re going to go through this dead ball situation coming off a year of pandemic-ball, and then we’ll get to follow contentious labor negotiations next offseason that will include the players being locked out in December and probably worse come the spring. If you wanted to write a textbook on how to kill a sport I would recommend asking Rob Manfred to pen the foreword.
  5. Interesting to see Tim Dillard call Hiura out for his indecision in the 10th. Also sort of an indictment on the coaching if Hiura wasn’t sure what he was supposed to do in that situation.
  6. I haven’t said much negative about Counsell to this point and I typically don’t even think managers make much of a difference, but he’s routinely getting out managed this season.
  7. That seemed like really poor base running contributed to making it an easy out. Maybe he’s out regardless, but he didn’t even give himself a chance.
  8. I like Brent Suter just fine, but he is a bad option for this new extra inning rule. [Yes I know there aren’t many good options at this point]
  9. If the Brewers do hold the Padres scoreless in the 10th it’s Travis Shaw as the extra runner on 2nd.
  10. Haters going to hate I guess. Vogelbach has been their best OBP player for the last 15 games He’s gotten on base lately, which is great. The problem is he’s one of the slowest players on the field and I’d trade some of that OBP for a little extra slugging.
  11. From @MLBRandomStats: Brewers pitchers have more home runs than Indians and Rays first basemen combined
  12. Trent Grisham home runs against the Brewers: 0 Luis Urias / Eric Lauer home runs against the Padres: 2 ...I’m just saying...
  13. Sometimes I say to myself, “give these guys a break, hitting major league pitching is really, really hard to do.” Then I watch Eric Lauer hit a home run and I’m like, “ahh, forget it.”
  14. The expected batting average on that Willy Adames line out was .820. It was a bullet off the bat, thought it was going to be an RBI base hit.
  15. Agreed. The addition of any high school aged soon to be DSL minor leaguer is completely worthless. (Could actually argue that they provide negative value in that it costs money to field DSL teams and they have produced almost no big leaguers for the Brewers over the last decade or so) #8 - Eduardo Garcia #9 Hedbert Perez #12 Luis Medina #13 Carlos Rodriguez #16 Jeferson Quero #20 Jesus Parra #29 Pablo Abreu Nearly 25% of our current Top 30 play or have played for the DSL Brewers. Thank god for wasting all that money, imagine our system if we stopped spending money down there. The Orioles for several years (prior to their current front office regime) basically punted on the International market and it didn’t work out so well for them. Another name to mention is RHP Abner Uribe who the Brewers signed for $85,000 in 2018. Uribe is ranked as the Brewers #22 prospect by Baseball America and he reportedly has a 101-mph fastball now at age-20. While the likelihood of any given low bonus International signee making an impact at the major league level is minuscule, it certainly does happen. Some of the more notable past low bonus signings include: Jose Ramirez ($50,000, Indians, 2009) Nelson Cruz ($15,000, Mets, 1998) Teoscar Hernandez ($20,000, Astros, 2011) Salvador Perez ($65,000, Royals, 2006) Marcell Ozuna ($49,000, Marlins, 2008) Some current top 100 prospects with very low signing bonuses include Sixto Sánchez ($35,000, Phillies, 2015) and Rays middle infielder Vidal Brujan ($15,000, 2014). So there are some outlier success stories, but obviously the odds aren’t very good in any specific case.
  16. The previously discussed Willy Adames home/road splits were a Stat Blast segment at the end of the Effectively Wild podcast today, and apparently it’s the largest reverse split (with road OPS > home OPS) in MLB history for any player with more than 1,000 plate appearances with a single team. The discussion begins at 1 hour, 25 minute mark of this podcast (01:25:00): Effectively Wild Episode 1698: The Smoking Theragun The biggest difference between Adames and some of the other comparable players they mention is that several of those other players went to different teams later in their career than Adames, who is swapping teams at just 25 years old. Here is the Google Sheets chart displaying their research results for the greatest reverse home/road splits of all-time: Link to Stat Blast home/road splits data
  17. Eric Lauer: Batter (Padres) vs Pitching Stats Chris Paddack: Batter (Brewers) vs Pitching Stats Statcast Game Preview for Padres-Brewers Statcast Game Feed for Padres-Brewers
  18. I’ll give today’s crazy rant, feel free to mock me as you see fit... It annoys me when base cloggers like Vogelbach (11th percentile sprint speed), Shaw (10th percentile sprint speed), and Narvaez (12th percentile sprint speed) all bat immediately in front of a much faster player, in this case Yelich (82nd percentile sprint speed), Adames (75th percentile sprint speed), and Cain (83rd percentile sprint speed). I know you aren’t ever going to be able to completely avoid it, but often times it looks like they go out of their way to set the lineup in that manner. Admittedly, the bigger gripe should probably be the fact Vogelbach is batting second in this lineup.
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