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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. From The Athletic, Non-tender is the night: Notable candidates, from the expected to the shocking Some of the categories and notable players discussed are listed below. Decent players who might be cut loose Eddie Rosario, 29, OF José Martínez, 32, OF/1B Hansel Robles, 30, RHP Travis Shaw, 30, 1B/3B Corey Knebel, 29, RHP Keep an eye on … Tyler Anderson, 30, LHP Jesús Aguilar, 30, 1B Matt Barnes, 30, RHP Ji-Man Choi, 29, 1B Alex Claudio, 28, LHP Vince Velasquez, 28, RHP Jon Gray, 29, RHP Carlos Rodón, 27, LHP Tony Kemp, 29, OF/2B Sound the alarm if … Tommy Pham, 32, OF Kris Bryant, 28, 3B Kyle Schwarber, 27, OF Gary Sánchez, 28, C Anyway, the deadline is tonight at 7:00pm so I guess we will find out soon enough.
  2. Medina was considered a slightly better prospect by some at the time of the signings, but as often happens with teenage international prospects things can change quickly. Hedbert Perez is now ranked the 3rd best prospect in the Brewers system according to Baseball America (behind only Turang and Mitchell), and has reportedly shown impact hitting skills ever since he was signed. He was the youngest player at any MLB team alternate site this past summer, his trajectory as a prospect has sky rocketed since his signing back in 2019.
  3. It seems like a safe bet that at least one of them is getting non-tendered tomorrow.
  4. Well he's likely a lot cheaper.
  5. A major league deal, so that seemingly signals what could be coming next for Pina and/or Narvaez on the eve of the non-tender deadline.
  6. I’ve always been high on Eddie Rosario’s talent, all the way back to his days patrolling both the infield (2B) and outfield at Pohlman Field in Beloit. For mostly selfish reasons I’d really enjoy watching him play for the Brewers.
  7. From Bob Nightengale of USA Today: These 17 arbitration-eligible players could soon join full and frozen free agent market
  8. Yikes. Also not a fan. Looks like something the Greece National Team would wear.
  9. Perez’s swing is insanely compact with premium bat speed. It’s built to spray the ball with authority to all fields. That is tough not to get really excited about. Lutz has elite bat speed as well, but he is much more of a prototypical pull-side power hitter.
  10. His transformation occurred when he went from a piggyback starter to a reliever (and became “Dave”). Developing into a bullpen pitcher appears to have had a huge positive impact on him and contributed to his significant increase in velocity, so it would be risky to revert back to the role he was previously scuffling in.
  11. The FanGraphs' ZiPS 2021 Projections: Cincinnati Reds have been released. A few quick takeaways: - Reds are in the market for a shortstop for next season, and that seems like the most likely area they will make a splash. It's the biggest hole on their current roster. They are a dark horse to make a run at trading for Francisco Lindor which would sort of fit their recent MO of trying to piece together and add immediate impact talent each season. - Mike Moustakas currently projects to be their second most impactful hitter (in terms of WAR) behind Eugenio Suarez. - ZiPS doesn't appear to think much of the defensive abilities for a lot of the Reds' fielders. The Brewers have plenty of reason to root for the DH to remain in the National League, but so do the Reds it would appear. - ZiPS is down on Nick Castellanos more than I am, but it appears a lot of what hurts his value is perceived defensive deficiencies. Edit: According to these ZiPS projections this Reds team as currently constructed projects to be around a 78 win team.
  12. LHP Mike Minor signed a 2 year, $7.25 million deal with the Royals. I thought he was someone the Brewers might be in on since they discussed a trade for him a couple of years ago and his peripherals were better than his results last season. Still, can’t really blame other teams for not wanting to commit to two years with Minor.
  13. I saw a proposal elsewhere that featured a Luke Voit for Josh Hader swap. Regardless of whether you think that’s even a realistic idea for either side, I am curious if others would be happy with that sort of trade from the Brewers’ perspective? For the most part we’ve been thinking “years of control” as being younger players. Voit, who will be 30 just before the start of next season, is actually under team control one year longer than Hader (four more seasons through 2024).
  14. MLB Trade Rumors: 2020 Non-Tender Candidates
  15. Have heard speculation the draft will likely be 20 rounds going forward.
  16. The Non-Tender deadline is now less then a week away (Wednesday, December 2nd). Let me ask this, assuming Longenhagen is correct that one of Piña or Narvaez is going to be non-tendered, who would you prefer the Brewers keep between the two? As bad as he was in the abbreviated 2020 season, I think Narvaez is probably the more likely choice to stick around. He is nearly 5 years younger, a left handed bat to use in a catching platoon, and he showed significant improvement in his defense and framing. I could also see a scenario where one of them is non-tendered and brought back on a contract (i.e. Claudio last offseason). I also understand being skeptical either will be non-tendered since neither is projected to make more than $3 million in arbitration.
  17. Per Jon Morosi... NEWS: Ha-seong Kim, one of the top position players in Korea, will be posted tomorrow. The Blue Jays are among the teams that have evaluated him closely prior to the posting process, source says.
  18. Death, Taxes, and the Rays trading their stars for surplus value. Via MLB Trade Rumors: Rays Reportedly Open To Blake Snell Trade To be fair, the report is actually just that they’re open to discussing him in a trade, no indication that they are likely to trade him.
  19. It said that Ashby scuffled a bit at the alternate site in Appleton (he was a late arrival), but at instructs he was the Brewers best pitcher. It said his fastball was 95 mph and both of his breaking pitches earned plus grades. Also said he threw enough strikes that he's projected to be an impact lefthander who could move through the system quickly next season.
  20. Here’s the link: Milwaukee’s Makeover Is Complete. Now Comes the $230 Million Question. The first plan didn’t go so well, but the Bucks still managed to overhaul their roster. Are the changes enough to get Giannis Antetokounmpo to commit to a supermax extension?
  21. MLB Trade Rumors takes a look at decisions facing the Brewers this offseason in this article, Offseason Outlook: Milwaukee Brewers
  22. Pretty scathing take on the Bucks mismanagement of their cap this weekend (from The Athletic):
  23. I admittedly haven’t followed the NBA closely for a long time, however I have followed this NBA offseason. For college basketball I follow Ken Pom, and was wondering if there is a similar resource for the NBA. I know in the past publicly available analytics and efficiency data for NBA players was somewhat difficult to come by since the teams hired those people and kept the information proprietary. My question for this group is whether there are any reliable sources you use for evaluating player value (such as value above replacement)? One of the reasons I am asking is I read through John Hollinger’s free agent material, and he was using a player ranking/valuation system he named “BORG”. He says BORG is a player value ranking (value above replacement) which he says is a combination of the following three systems: 1) The multiyear version of Jacob Goldstein’s PI-PM method; 2) Nate Silver’s Raptor; 3) Hollinger’s own Player Efficiency Rating (PER) over the previous two seasons, weighted by minutes and weighing 2019-20 twice as much. He then used his BORG above replacement values to transform into assigning salary dollar value to members of this year’s free agent class. For Bogdan Bogdanovic for instance he assigned $13.482 million as his current per season value. The next closest shooting guard after Bogdan was Evan Fournier at $13 million. Anyway, I was sort of fascinated with understanding more, but unfortunately Hollinger hasn’t shared the full database of his information. He did however make reference to his BORG system in an article immediately after it appeared the Bogdan trade was going to move forward earlier this week: I thought that was curious at least since the general sentiment seems to be that Bogdanovic is the far superior player to Donte. I don’t know enough about the inputs into Hollinger’s player value system to know if it has any merits at all, but would enjoy learning more about other sources of NBA player values if they exist.
  24. Most people seem to agree that the Brewers can’t afford to pay the high cost to acquire certainty on the free agent market this offseason, and beyond Josh Hader or else moving someone from the team’s core (Woodruff, Burnes, Hiura) there aren’t a lot of trade options that are going to bring back certainty. At this point it’s likely the team is going to need to throw more spaghetti at the wall to solve the corner infield conundrum. Sometimes that strategy works for stretches (Shaw, Aguilar, Gyorko, Vogelbach, etc.) and other times it doesn’t work out (Smoak, Morrison, Sogard, Holt, etc.). It would obviously be helpful to know the status of the DH in the National League first (how in the world are we a week from December without knowing that answer). Still, bringing in a 26 year old that slugged nearly .500 this season and plays the corner infield positions where there is currently a dearth of talent seems worth considering. Obviously you wouldn’t want to invest a large financial commitment into this profile, but taking a chance on getting a career year out of a player approaching the typical peak of the aging curve is worth taking a closer look into.
  25. Something I did a poor job of highlighting in the OP is this article also provides a look at the non-tender candidates on other teams, so players that eventually could eventually be added to the free agent pool. Some of the players listed as non-tender candidates were already designated for assignment and could be of interest to other teams including: Renato Núñez, Hunter Renfroe, and Trevor Williams. I was surprised to see Renato Núñez get DFA’d by the Orioles, he seems like someone the Brewers should take a closer look at since he could provide a little pop to the corner infield spots.
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