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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    It would be a good move, Greinke has an .828 OPS and 3 home runs this season.
  2. Eye Black
    In Greinke’s last eight starts he has given up 0 earned runs four times and he has given up 4-5 earned runs four times. It’s sort of been feast or famine for opposing teams against him recently.
  3. Eye Black
    That’s fair. I like Freddy Peralta a lot, but his possible range of outcomes over the next few years is pretty wide. Longer term he no doubt has a higher upside than a pitcher like Lugo, but there is also a realistic possibility that he isn’t going to be very good over the course of the near future. Lugo equals more performance certainty over the next 3.5 years, IMO.
  4. Eye Black
    So if the Amaro reports are true who does everyone else think he was possible trying to get a look at on Thursday?
  5. Eye Black
    What players on the Major League roster could Amaro possibly be scouting for a Lugo trade? Freddy Peralta would make the most sense. Their value is pretty similar (maybe a slight edge to Freddy) and Lugo is probably a better bet to be a top end reliever over the next couple of seasons. Lugo is under team control through 2022. Reminder, this is merely a prediction... and probably a wild one at that. Edit: Another player the Mets could possibly have some interest in is Ben Gamel. If the Brewers are a believer in Trent Grisham then maybe his skillset is somewhat redundant with Gamel?
  6. Eye Black
    With the rumors of Ruben Amaro Jr. scouting the Brewers in Phoenix my prediction is the Brewers are showing more interest in reliever Seth Lugo than either Wheeler or Syndergaard.
  7. Eye Black
    A couple additional questions for you, John. 1) You mentioned valuing Comp A and Comp B draft selections. Do you plan to add competitive balance selections as tradable assets for those teams that have them (once they are eligible to be traded in the off-season)? 2) Does your formula for valuing players put much weight on positional flexibility? For example does it adjust Moustakas’ value for having the ability to now play adequately at both 2B and 3B (as opposed to just 3B)? Also, somewhat related, a few years back there was a dearth of offensive production at shortstop. That doesn’t seem to be the case anymore where as catcher appears to be an offensively limited position across baseball. Does scarcity of offensive production at certain positions have a noticeable impact on the values for the top players at those positions?
  8. Eye Black
    The bullpen does have the feel of being held together with baling twine. Ideally the Brewers would find a very good reliever under control for a few years. I know it is so much easier said than done. For example, I would love the Brewers to take a run at making a deal for Giants reliever Reyes Moronta, but I have no idea if the Giants would even entertain it (especially given their recent surge). To get a team to trade a controllable reliever such as Moronta the Brewers would probably have to give up a perceived overpay. Even if the Brewers were going to punt this season (which they aren’t) they still need to build a much better bullpen for next season. I don’t think they can rely on just having Corey Knebel back and adding some fringe bullpen pieces in the off-season. I wonder if the easiest time of year to add good bullpen pieces for the future is actually in July (albeit still expensive) when there are teams out of the race that are motivated to get value for relievers which are often viewed as a risk to regress for a rebuilding team that needs to extract value for the future.
  9. Eye Black
    Yasmani Grandal in his career facing Zack Greinke is 10-for-38 with 3 doubles and 2 home runs. Hopefully tonight Grandal can continue his success versus his ex-batterymate.
  10. Eye Black
    Gio Gonzalez: Batter (Diamondbacks) vs Pitching Stats Zack Greinke: Batter (Brewers) vs Pitching Stats
  11. Eye Black
    Oh, how I wish we still had Will Smith right now. Trading him for Phil Bickford (he of the 7.59 ERA at high A ball, right now) and Andrew Susac (who's in AAA....for the Royals) was a real head scratcher. What? Obvously we'd love to have it back now, but this is total benefit of hindsight. At the time we were in a full tear down rebuild, about to trade Lucroy. Bickford was a recent 1st round pick and top 60 overall prospect, and Susac was still considered a decent prospect and a former top 100. At the time it was considered to be a fantastic return and you'd be hard pressed to find a single individual if you dug up that thread that wasn't thrilled with it. Not to mention that at the time Will Smith had missed part of the season after tearing the LCL in his right knee taking off his cleats in Spring Training. The following year it looked like the Brewers were the ones that had gotten the better end of the deal when he missed the entire 2017 season following Tommy John surgery. It didn’t work out, but at the time it was a fine bet to make.
  12. Eye Black
    They were 3.5 GB.
  13. Eye Black
    The good news is Taylor Clarke is still on the mound for the Diamondbacks. It feels like one of those nights where the Brewers are going to make a comeback and ultimately lose something like 8-7 or 9-8.
  14. Eye Black
    I’ll always be grateful for Chacín’s effort in game 163 last year, but I am not sure how much longer they can keep running him out there as part of the regular rotation at this point.
  15. Eye Black
    Hiura’s bat just makes this lineup seem so much more dangerous. Exciting positive development for the offense.
  16. Eye Black
    Here is the SNY article on it... Mets sent exec Ruben Amaro Jr. to scout Brewers, who are interested in trading for Zack Wheeler, Noah Syndergaard
  17. Eye Black
    That is what happens when you stare at batting average numbers and ignore everything else in an effort to make a point. Coming into this year he has always posted a better than league average wRC+ and an on-base percentage in the .350 to .360 range. Less encouraging was the fact that his slugging percentage had been sub-.350 every season since A-ball. I think the thing that was easy to forget at times (myself included) is he has been between 2.5 to 3.0 years younger than league average at every stop. I personally wasn’t sure if he’d ever develop enough power to be an MLB regular at a corner outfield spot. That is starting to look like a much sillier view now. I’m happy to wear one in the case of Grisham, I hope someday we have fun at our own expense with a BF.net version of “freezing cold takes” while Grisham rakes as an everyday outfielder at Miller Park.
  18. Eye Black
    Taylor Clarke has given up 8 home runs over his past 5 starts. Over his last 7 starts he hasn’t lasted longer than 5.0 IP (to be exact: 2.0, 5.0, 3.1, 4.2, 3.0, 5.0, 3.2). This is his first start back since going on the IL with inflammation in his back. I fully expect him to pitch 7.0 innings scoreless with 10 strikeouts tonight.
  19. Eye Black
    Jhoulys Chacín: Batter (Diamondbacks) vs Pitching Stats
  20. Eye Black
    Not sure that they have a choice sometimes. I’m sure a lot of teams want to wait to see where there team ends up by July 31st. And hold out to get their best deal. I could see some of the relievers just below the top tier that are on the worst AL teams get traded sooner. Wouldn’t be shocked if guys like Colome or Diekman get traded over the next week.
  21. Eye Black
    This is 100% anecdotal, but it sure seems like this team has hit good pitchers better than average pitchers this season.
  22. Eye Black
    I actually don’t mind hitting Hiura in the 5th or 6th spots, but I hate having him in the 7th spot just ahead of Arcia and the pitcher’s spot. My problem is teams can pitch Hiura up and out of the zone hoping to get him to chase in the 7th spot while knowing that even if they walk him they only have to deal with two weak hitters behind him. The other problem is obviously if he proves to be one of your better bets to get on base multiple times you are decreasing the odds he will get driven in. Seems like seniority is trumping strategy in this instance.
  23. Eye Black
    Then it will be interesting to see if this ends up being the same scenario for Brewers unsigned selection LHP Dan Wirchansky who was a senior from Pace University. It seems like if a senior doesn't have to sign with the team that drafted him even if a full pick value offer is made, and then is eligible to immediately sign with other teams after the signing deadline then it seemingly presents both possible tampering and leverage issues? A team that realizes it is going to be short on it's bonus pool could start reaching out to "advisors" of some of the better seniors drafted in rounds 11-40 and start negotiating an offer for "if they were to go unsigned", wink, wink.
  24. Eye Black
    Zach Davies: Batter (Diamondbacks) vs Pitching Stats
  25. Eye Black
    Apparently the one that got away for the Mets just signed with the Dodgers. I don’t understand how this worked out? The only thing I can think of is the Mets didn’t offer him a contract up to a certain number, but I thought that was only a rule for picks in the first 10 rounds... Dodgers Sign New York Mets 11th Round Pick, Pitcher Jordan Martinson
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