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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    Would’ve liked to have Hiura in the last series against the Giants. Impressive swing on that one.
  2. Eye Black
    I keep waiting for the tide to turn in the right direction, but with each game that goes by it seems increasingly less likely this team is going to find the same lightning in a bottle it possessed at the end of last year. With David Stearns repeatedly saying, “the answers must come from within”, I do believe he actually means it, but I just don’t think there are internal options that’ll make some miraculous season saving surge. I obviously hope that sense is wrong, and I hope they surpass the Cubs and the rest of the NL Central to win it all. I’m just not betting on it at this point. It pains me to say it because I’ve watched more Brewers baseball this season than I care to admit. I’ve continued to believe this team was going to be special, but if the team continues to sputter over the next couple of weeks I hope they seriously contemplate trading Moose and Grandal. I think they would need to lose something like 10 out of their next 15 to actually do it, but I’m to the point that I would rather they are realistic about where they’re at near the end of July rather than hold on to a fleeting hope of making the playoffs into August.
  3. Eye Black
  4. Eye Black
    Albers had only thrown 27 pitches since June 30th coming into tonight. I have no idea if he’s rusty, but he doesn’t look especially sharp so far.
  5. Eye Black
    Alright, now let’s go!!!!
  6. Eye Black
    Yelich with a big answer. Just need to a sac fly to score him and keep this one going now.
  7. Eye Black
    The Giants are a very weak offensive team that look to be quite the opposite against the Brewers this season. Sigh.
  8. Eye Black
    Every team has a package of players they could put together that matches in terms of “trade value”, but the fit of the buyer’s assets with the preferences of the seller obviously matters most. In the case of the Blue Jays they are said to want starting pitching prospects. My assumption is if the Blue Jays packaged Stroman and Giles they would want a starting pitcher that projects to have a higher FV than Freddy Peralta (and higher likelihood to remain in as a starter).
  9. Eye Black
    It’s nice to see the offense storm back and take the lead. I don’t know why exactly, but it feels like it’s extra important to win this home game coming out of the break.
  10. Eye Black
    [pre]Giants Lineup Brewers Lineup 1. Brandon Belt (L) 1B 1. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 2. Buster Posey ® C 2. Christian Yelich (L) RF 3. Evan Longoria ® 3B 3. Yasmani Grandal (S) C 4. Alex Dickerson (L) LF 4. Mike Moustakas (L) 3B 5. Kevin Pillar ® CF 5. Ryan Braun ® LF 6. Brandon Crawford (L) SS 6. Eric Thames (L) 1B 7. Austin Slater ® RF 7. Keston Hiura ® 2B 8. Joe Panik (L) 2B 8. Orlando Arcia ® SS 9. Shaun Anderson ® P 9. Chase Anderson ® P[/pre] Chase Anderson: Batter (Giants) vs Pitching Stats
  11. Eye Black
    The innings limit thought makes sense. Putting Woodruff 5th basically guarantees (assuming good health) that he will pitch in the next series they have versus the Cubs later this month (currently set up to be the Saturday starter) as well as the series in early August versus the Cubs. That may not have been an important part of their consideration, but I noticed that’s the case if you extrapolate it out.
  12. Eye Black
    The Brewers have now added both to this year’s Rangers failed starting rotation members in Smyly and Miller. My 2015 self is really excited about having these two in the organization. In Shelby Miller’s case specifically, how sweet would it be to have him to successfully pitch meaningful innings versus the Cardinals at some point. I doubt either one actually pitches out of the rotation at any point this year.
  13. Eye Black
    At the All Star break... The entire NL Central is separate from top-to-bottom by just 4.5 games. In the other 5 divisions across MLB there isn’t a single second place team that is within 5 games of their division lead. Here is how far behind the SECOND PLACE teams are in the other divisions... AL Central - Indians (5.5 GB) NL East - Nationals (6.0 GB) AL East - Rays (6.5 GB) AL West - A’s (7.5 GB) NL West - Diamondbacks (13.5 GB) I don’t know how I didn’t notice it earlier, but the entire NL Central is closer to the division lead than any of the other second place teams in baseball. That seems wild. I think fans of NL Central teams are in for a competitive and stressful last 2.5 months to the season.
  14. Eye Black
    It seems the closest the Brewers ever came under Stearns’ leadership to a acquiring a well regarded starting pitcher near the trade deadline was Jose Quintana back in 2017. At the time it seemed like one of the enticing aspects were his multiple years of control. I think the biggest challenges for the Brewers trying to acquire a mid-to-top rotation starting pitcher this deadline are as follows: 1) Nearly every contending team is in need of another quality starting pitcher. The competition to add starting pitching on the trade market is going to be very high this year. It also doesn’t help that there are also currently more teams still in the playoff hunt than usual. 2) The Brewers have a giant gap between Hiura and their next tier of prospects. I don’t think they’ll be willing to part with Hiura for a starting pitcher (and they shouldn’t), but the next group of prospects aren’t likely valuable enough to headline a trade for an impact starter. I also don’t think many teams trading a quality arm are going to accept a quantity over quality type deal. Even when the Brewers traded a half season of Zack Greinke away they got back a top 50 prospect in return. There are several teams with multiple top prospects that are better positioned to outbid any package the Brewers can put together (sans Hiura).
  15. Eye Black
    According to this Tweet 13th round selection Jackson Gillis has signed, “Jackson Gillis has announced he will turn pro, and sign contract with Milwaukee Brewers organization. He is flying out today for meeting.”
  16. Eye Black
    A relatively newer digital publication came out with their midseason top 100 prospect list (ranked in terms of fantasy baseball value)... Prospects Live: Top 100 Midseason Fantasy Prospects for 2019 This list is written from the lens of fantasy baseball value, but is interesting to read through if you want to learn about a handful of players that haven’t appeared on the other more traditional midseason top 100 list. With the fantasy baseball tie-in the list skews more heavily towards stat based production. It also includes 2019 draftees. They include two players within the Brewers organization... 5. Keston Hiura, 2B (MIL) - Coming into the season many viewed Hiura as possessing one of the best hit tools in the minors, but it’s his power gains that have been the story in 2019. Likely up in Milwaukee for good, Hiura has made loads of hard contact but has also been aggressive at the plate. Previous Rank: 9. 88. Trent Grisham, OF (MIL) - One of 2019’s biggest popup prospects, Grisham is back on the prospect map after his tremendous success in Double-A and now Triple-A. The 22-year-old is hitting .259/.370/.517 on the year and if you remove a very slow April, he’s up to .271/.393/.568. Since May 1 he’s walked more than he’s struck out and has shown great power (.296 ISO and top 10% in AAA flyball distance). If you want to knock him it’s that he’s slightly pull heavy so he’ll have to fight against the shift. But we’re drooling about the thought of a power lefty bat in Miller Park. Go and grab him if he’s available. Previous Rank: None.
  17. Eye Black
    For me to even consider that, the Mets would have to be offering Thor and McNeil The ship has sailed on any chance to acquire Jeff McNeil. I would have loved for the Brewers to make a run at him this past off-season, but with his continued success this year he is going to be a staple of their lineup for years to come. The best chance for an impact bat from the Mets at this point is to target corner IF/OF J.D. Davis, but that is a completely different thread for a different day. The only way I could see the Brewers acquiring Syndergaard without giving up Keston Hiura would be to take on some of the Mets bad contracts. The good news is the Mets have plenty of those to unload. There is no way the Brewers would take on the contract of Robinson Cano, but beyond him they possess overpriced commitments to players such as Yoenis Cespedes, Jeurys Familia, Jed Lowrie, Juan Lagares, and Jason Vargas. If the Mets were financially motivated to move either Cespedes’ contract or a couple of the other contracts combined, and the Brewers were somehow willing to take on the underwater financial commitments then maybe there would be a slim chance you could get Syndergaard for Burnes/Peralta, Turang, Lutz, etc. I would be ecstatic to see the Brewers acquire Thor, but I have a hard time seeing this one as a match.
  18. Eye Black
    With tonight being the All Star Game I have to bring up one of my most memorable July trades. The 2011 All Star Game had ended, my friends had left, Prince Fielder had received his MVP award, and I am sitting by myself when this announcement comes on the screen.... July 12, 2011 Traded players to be named later to the New York Mets. Received Francisco Rodriguez and cash. The Milwaukee Brewers sent Danny Herrera (September 1, 2011) and Adrian Rosario (minors) (September 1, 2011) to the New York Mets to complete the trade. I remember smiling ear-to-ear. It seemed like we were in the midst of charmed year of Brewers baseball (at the time tied with the Cardinals for 1st place), and now they had added a legitimate bullpen piece on the eve of the 2nd half to a club making a run at a championship.
  19. Eye Black
    Jeremy Jeffress, part II
  20. Eye Black
    MLB Stats tweeted this earlier today... Last time the #AllStarGame was in Cleveland, we had ELEVEN future @baseballhall members in the starting lineups. It was 1997 and the Hall of Famers are obviously highlighted in gold. It got me wondering, how many of this year’s starters do you think are either future Hall of Famers or at least currently on a Hall of Fame trajectory? The game’s starters seem to be trending younger than in the past, so it’s sort of a tough question. Verlander and Trout seem like no doubters, but it becomes much tougher after that, in my opinion.
  21. Eye Black
    I think I’m more sentimental about the All Star Game than most. For me watching the All-Star games in the very late 80’s (1989 is the first one I vividly remember) as well as the early-to-mid 1990’s was one of my few opportunities to see the stars of the game as a kid. I pretty much watched it religiously each year from about ages 8 to 14. When youth baseball games got in the way I was still usually able to get home in time to see the Brewers participant enter the game. For me it brings back some positive baseball memories.
  22. Eye Black
    The MLB draft order is finalized by October 1st each year and is set solely based on regular season record. It actually surprises me they don’t take playoff performance into account whatsoever. Two years ago the Brewers missed the playoffs, but got stuck with the #21 pick behind the Minnesota Twins (#20) who had made the playoffs. This was simply because the Brewers had won one more game regardless of missing the playoffs. The team with the best regular season record picks last. I believe playoff accomplishments are taken into account when setting the draft order for most other professional sports. Maybe the Brewers are merely playing a well calculated game of chess with the standings!
  23. Eye Black
    You have to wonder why Supak is not being promoted more aggressively. He's made 34 AA starts. Is it his low K rate? Is he the guy they are using as bait to get an established arm? He's allowed a mere 10 HR in 196 AA innings. You'd think that's a huge plus and that he'd be able to be useful in the big leagues keeping the ball in the park. Just a random guess, but a scouting report from this past off-season indicated he had recently developed a new curveball. If that is indeed the case, it’s possible they want him to master that pitch over a full season before exposing him to the higher altitude environments in the PCL where the pitch won’t likely break the same. Again, that is merely a guess.
  24. Eye Black
    Interesting observations. Below is a passage from that Ken Rosenthal article in The Athletic citing the adjustment he’s made: Execs claiming not to be all that enamored of Bumgarner are citing his hard-hit rate, which is the highest in the National League according to FanGraphs. Their point is not without merit, but Bumgarner recently made an adjustment in which he began using both sides of the plate to a greater extent.
  25. Eye Black
    A team can be both mediocre and a playoff contender in the double-Wild Card era. The 2019 Brewers are both. One of the 5 teams in the NL Central is going to be a mediocre division champion. History suggests that mediocre team could easily go on to win the World Series. One way to look at the current situation is that the Brewers have a golden opportunity to sneak into the playoffs if the right moves present themselves at the deadline. Nobody will remember the 90-win Rays or the 89-win Mariners from 2018 but the 2019 Brewers are in a much different and more enticing situation. Even the single Wild Card era occasionally produced mediocre teams that had things break right for them. The two mediocre teams of that era that I remember best are the 2006 Cardinals and the 2007 Rockies. The 2006 Cardinals finished the regular season 83–78. It’s the second-worst record ever for a league champion and the worst record ever for a World Series champion. Of course it had to be the Cardinals who won a World Series with an 83 win team. The 2007 Rockies were 76-72 on September 16th and went on a crazy hot streak the last two weeks of the season and then won a one game playoff to get in as the Wild Card. They ultimately got swept in the World Series, but the fact they made it that far after producing pedestrian results for the majority of the season was an incredible story.
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