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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    From Jon Morosi… Pirates All-Star CF Bryan Reynolds is drawing significant interest in the trade market, with the Yankees and Mariners among potential suitors, but the team feels no pressure to move him. He won’t be a free agent until after 2025, and an extension remains possible.
  2. Eye Black
    Sandy Alderson turns 74-years old later this month, it sort of feels like he’s just providing a stopgap until they settle into a more solidified long-term front office structure.
  3. Eye Black
    A few thoughts on Seiya Suzuki… - He’s still young (just turned 27) and has been a top five hitter in NPB for several years while hitting for some serious power. His physique seems to suggest the power isn’t a fluke. - He’s not considered to be great defensively and would be a corner outfielder who could be a candidate to eventually move to DH. - As others have mentioned it’s hard to find perfect comps for Suzuki due to the age and just how good he is at the time of his posting. There are some recent hitters that have struggled, but they also had very different profiles such as Shogo Akiyama who was 32 when he came to MLB, and Yoshi Tsutugo who had a little lower SLG in NPB with a higher strike out rate (21% versus Suzuki’s 16%). - NPB is a very high level of baseball, but probably the biggest difference for hitters is average fastball velocity hovering in the low-90s. That’s a difficult thing to assess the impact of on an individual case-by-case basis until the player enters MLB and makes the necessary adjustments. - Suzuki might have a very different [and possibly larger] free agent market than a lot of players due to age and uncertainty. Even teams that are still in the midst of a rebuild should have interest in signing Suzuki to a multi-year deal. In some ways those teams are even better positioned to take a chance on a player like Suzuki.
  4. Eye Black
    Here’s a link to the article in The Athletic: The Mets’ real target remains David Stearns, whoever they hire as GM this winter: Sources And a similar article from the New York Post: Brewers president David Stearns may be in play for Mets next year
  5. Eye Black
    Michael Conforto is reportedly turning down the qualifying offer according to Jeff Passan (Link)… New York Mets outfielder Michael Conforto will decline the qualifying offer and head to free agency, sources familiar with the situation tell ESPN.
  6. Eye Black
    Via this Link: Andy Martino of SNY.tv reports that Matt Olson "is one of several players" on the Athletics "who will likely be on the move." Martino writes that "multiple league executives in touch with the A’s say that another reset is coming from the franchise." Olson -- who posted a .911 OPS and hit 39 home runs in 2021 -- would seem to be the team's biggest trade chip. The 27-year-old made $5 million this season and is under team control through 2023. Martino mentions the Yankees as a potential landing spot for Olson, and he would certainly be an excellent fit as a left-handed bat with that short porch in right field. There would be numerous suitors if Olson is indeed shopped, however.
  7. Eye Black
    I think Conforto made sense before the Mets slapped a QO on him. I just don't see a team giving him a multi year deal and then losing a draft pick. With the season he had he was looking at a 1-year prove it type of deal. Jim Bowden predicted a 5 year, $90 million deal for Michael Conforto which I think is both too many years and dollars for what Conforto should reasonably expect in free agency coming off such a rough year.
  8. Eye Black
    Jim Bowden wrote this articled for article for The Athletic: Top 25 MLB free agents of 2021-22: Jim Bowden’s rankings, contract predictions and best team fits for a stacked class. He has Suzuki ranked as his 14th best free agent. Based on looking at some of his other predictions, I think Bowden tends to be too high with his estimates for likely total dollar values. Out of the 25 free agents listed, the only one he listed as a “Best Fit” for the Brewers was Brandon Belt, who was ranked his #25 best free agent, and for whom he predicted a 4 year, $79 million contract.
  9. Eye Black
    Jim Bowden […I know, I know] predicted Seiya Suzuki would end up with a 5 year, $101 million contract in his Free Agent signing predictions article for The Athletic, Top 25 MLB free agents of 2021-22: Jim Bowden’s rankings, contract predictions and best team fits for a stacked class. He has Suzuki ranked as his 14th best free agent. Based on looking at some of his other predictions, I think Bowden tends to be too high with his estimates for likely total dollar values.
  10. Eye Black
    Really surprised the Rockies didn’t extend a qualifying offer to Jon Gray. Why didn’t they trade him at the deadline if they weren’t going to offer the QO.
  11. Eye Black
    Final list of qualifying offers per Jeff Passan… Final list of players tendered the qualifying offer, per sources. Freddie Freeman Eduardo Rodriguez Nick Castellanos Trevor Story Carlos Correa Justin Verlander Raisel Iglesias Corey Seager Chris Taylor Michael Conforto Noah Syndergaard Brandon Belt Robbie Ray Marcus Semien
  12. Eye Black
    Per Adam McCalvy… The Brewers will not be extending any qualifying offers at today’s deadline. Avisail García was one possibility after he declined his half of a mutual option, but he remains a free agent free and clear.
  13. Eye Black
    I think at least part of that reason was having a perennial MVP candidate penciled in at first base for the foreseeable future. I would obviously be ecstatic by a Matt Olson-type upgrade (and would include Tellez in a heartbeat), but I’m not so sure about writing off Rowdy either. He’ll turn just 27 next March, I wouldn’t be surprised if he is an above average offensive player over the next couple of seasons.
  14. Eye Black
    A current NPB star, and just turned 27-year-old right fielder Seiya Suzuki is about to be posted. With Avi Garcia becoming a free agent the Brewers could certainly be one of the teams interested. From MLB Trade Rumors: Hiroshima Carp To Post Outfielder Seiya Suzuki For MLB Teams Full article text inside this spoiler…
  15. Eye Black
    Of course, it’s a 100% certainty they’ll be adding to the catcher position at some point.
  16. Eye Black
    Six other teams (D-Backs, Orioles, Rangers, Pirates, Nationals, Marlins) must’ve passed on claiming him and his $10 million team option before he got to the Cubs. I know there are a lot of good starting pitching options on the free agent market this year, but it seems like the Cubs are getting Miley at a decent value. If he does anything close to what he provided last season they’ll be able to flip him at the deadline for a nice return.
  17. Eye Black
    Less than ten months ago the Brewers had 6 catchers on their 40-man roster (Omar Narvaez, Manny Pina, Jacob Nottingham, Luke Maile, David Freitas, Mario Feliciano). They are now down to just two, Omar Narvaez and Mario Feliciano.
  18. Eye Black
    Castellanos has opted out of his contract with the Reds. From Jon Heyman: Nick Castellanos opts out. Castellanos, 29, had .309/.362/.576 slash line this year. Had $34M and 2 years to go. Now a free agent.
  19. Eye Black
    I’ll actually be surprised if he isn’t a Hall of Famer. He has the 14th highest career WAR for a catcher all-time. Also had a better 7-year career peak than the average HOF catcher. I think opting out of 2020 to be with his young twins (not to mention the fact it was a nearly lost season for everyone anyway), will give him some additional counting stats leeway when it comes time for his ballot consideration.
  20. Eye Black
    Well the good news, at least on the offensive end, is it would be pretty hard to have a worse outcome.
  21. Eye Black
    Back in September Baseball Trade Values founder John Bitzer, a diehard A’s fan, wrote an article titled, The A’s Rebuild Is Coming. Today FanGraphs writer Jake Mailhot followed suit with an article titled, Where Do the Athletics Go From Here? As pointed out in the latter, the A’s are going to lose a significant amount of talent to free agency without any clear replacements waiting in the wings, and more importantly have 10 players likely to command over $57 million in arbitration which would be approximately 2/3rds of what the team spent on payroll in 2021. Here is that list of arbitration eligible players: [pre]Player Position Age Year Estimated Arb Salary Sean Manaea SP 30 Arb 3 $10.2M Chris Bassitt SP 33 Arb 3 $8.8M Chad Pinder IF/OF 30 Arb 3 $2.8M Matt Chapman 3B 29 Arb 2 $9.5M Matt Olson 1B 28 Arb 2 $12.0M Frankie Montas SP 29 Arb 2 $5.2M Tony Kemp 2B 30 Arb 2 $2.2M Lou Trivino RP 31 Arb 2* $2.9M Ramón Laureano CF 27 Arb 1 $2.8M Deolis Guerra RP 33 Arb 1 $0.9M[/pre] *Super Two player So assuming the Athletics do indeed embark upon a rebuild the Brewers almost certainly have to be one of the teams that would be calling. Matt Olson is the most obvious target, but there are some other intriguing players (i.e. Matt Chapman, Ramon Laureano, and Tony Kemp). On the pitching side if the Brewers did make a big move this offseason that includes trading a starting pitcher the A’s could be a good place to look for a replacement starter. Thoughts? Is it Olson or bust, or are there other viable trade options?
  22. Eye Black
    It really feels like the Brewers missed a golden opportunity to make a run this Postseason. I’m fine with Atlanta [likely] winning it all, but it doesn’t make it sting any less.
  23. Eye Black
    The “as many shots at the Postseason as possible” is the right approach. In baseball, more than any other professional sport, the regular season tells you who the true best teams are and the Postseason is a tournament where quite literally any of the participating teams can win it.
  24. Eye Black
    Wasn’t Marte injured in June and then remained out until after the trade deadline? I can’t blame them for not wanting to trade him under those circumstances, I’d assume that’s not a great scenario for extracting maximum trade value.
  25. Eye Black
    That's a good call and potentially a buy-lowish guy because he was hurt last year. Although he still raked over the 90 games he did play. I am quoting from the Bryan Reynolds thread and starting a new one dedicated to Ketel Marte. I think Marte would be the perfect player for the Brewers to target this offseason. Having a switch hitter that has played at an elite level to stick in the top half of the lineup would really make things look better heading into 2022. He also just turned 28 this month. I think I’d be fine with them trading any 3 prospects that have yet to make their major league debut, or maybe any two prospects and Hiura. I think something along the lines of a couple of close to the majors prospects such as Mitchell and Small, and either Hiura or lower level prospect could get it done.
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