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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Some Davenport and Steamer projections among free agent corner outfielders that can play right field… Seiya Suzuki Davenport: .303 / .386 / .489 (.875 OPS) Steamer: N/A Michael Conforto Davenport: .268 / .361 / .424 (.785 OPS) Steamer: .254 / .358 / .453 (.811 OPS) Nick Castellanos Davenport: .295 / .354 / .506 (.860 OPS) Steamer: .270 / .330 / .485 (.815 OPS) Avisail Garcia Davenport: .275 / .343 / .449 (.792 OPS) Steamer: .266 / .331 / .456 (.787 OPS) Jorge Soler Davenport: .257 / .346 / .464 (.810 OPS) Steamer: .239 / .332 / .470 (.802 OPS) Joc Pederson Davenport: .254 / .328 / .435 (.763 OPS) Steamer: .236 / .316 / .449 (.765 OPS) Eddie Rosario Davenport: .275 / .309 / .473 (.782 OPS) Steamer: .264 / .309 / .466 (.775 OPS) Odubel Herrera Davenport: .280 / .338/ .423 (.761 OPS) Steamer: .270 / .326 / .437 (.763 OPS) As well as some potential corner/right field trade candidates… Bryan Reynolds Davenport: .294 / .374 / .478 (.852 OPS) Steamer: .279 / .364 / .471 (.835 OPS) Trey Mancini Davenport: .271 / .345 / .489 (.834 OPS) Steamer: .257 / .332 / .453 (.785 OPS) Joey Gallo Davenport: .222 / .351 / .494 (.845 OPS) Steamer: .208 / .342 / .481 (.823 OPS) Mitch Haniger Davenport: .267 / .348 / .471 (.819 OPS) Steamer: .245 / .321 / .457 (.778 OPS) Max Kepler Davenport: .242 / .331 / .477 (.808 OPS) Steamer: .234 / .328 / .444 (.772 OPS) Adam Duvall Davenport: .236 / .298 / .492 (.790 OPS) Steamer: .226 / .288 / .458 (.746 OPS)
  2. The individual player projections are available on Clay Davenport’s website, but you have to view each player’s page individually to see them. For example here is Rowdy Tellez’s page, 2022 projections are the last line of the top grouping of player stats: Rowdy Tellez projection on Clay Davenport An easy way to navigate among player pages for those that were members of the 2021 Brewers is by clicking their name/player page using this link (again, 2022 projections are available once you click their individual player page): 2021 Brewers players on Clay Davenport
  3. Mets complete the free agent trifecta today by reportedly signing Starling Marte as well. I would’ve been pretty happy with the Brewers signing just one of the three players the Mets just added. Looks like the Mets want to get their free agent shopping done before the impending lockout.
  4. The Mets signing of Mark Canha stings a bit, he seemed like the perfect Brewers target this off-season.
  5. From Ken Rosenthal for The Athletic: The Oakland A’s are prepared to tear down. Here’s how they could rebuild without tanking
  6. From Mets owner Steve Cohen: I’m not happy this morning . I’ve never seen such unprofessional behavior exhibited by a player’s agent.I guess words and promises don’t matter. From Jon Heyman: Mets are upset about the Matz situation and his last minute call to Cardinals. They had the impression he was going to come back to them for a final chance. Sources say Mets would have gone to that level ($44M, 4 years) Steven Matz is represented by Icon Sports Management. Also, add this to the pile of reasons a lot of sensible front office folks wouldn’t want to work for Steve Cohen.
  7. One thing tempering my excitement slightly about the Brewers possibly turning Mejia into a stud on the mound is the fact that Cleveland was sort of the OG’s of this current wave of improved pitching development around baseball. The point being, I can’t imagine they would’ve moved on from him if they believed they could turn him into an above average reliever. Hopefully the move to the bullpen full-time will alone cause some improvement, but I’ll be curious to see if the Brewers change his pitch usage or come up with something else that significantly improves his results. Maybe Mejia will prove to be for the Brewers what Phil Bickford ended up being for the Dodgers last season.
  8. LHP Steven Matz signing with the Cardinals for 4 years and $44 million seems like a sneaky good deal for them. Matz seemed to turn a corner last year after leaving Queens.
  9. I’m very interested to see if his defense improves. The Brewers staff seem like defensive catching savants, but this will certainly provide another challenge/case study. In terms of defensive runs saved Severino’s -9 mark over 883 innings was nearly on par with Gary Sanchez’s -10 over 879 defensive innings.
  10. That’s an interesting one, I like it from the Brewers perspective. I wonder what Twins fans would think of it? I am not certain if the Twins are a team expecting to win again as soon as this season, or if they are going to undergo a minor reset for a year or two. In other words, does Houser interest them in the near term, or are they more likely to seek close to the big leagues type prospects in trades.
  11. Speaking of needle moving, nobody has garnered bigger headlines through player acquisitions than A.J. Preller and the Padres over the past two years, and they just finished below .500. In baseball there is so much more to roster construction than a few splashy moves.
  12. The Brewers currently have the highest number of open 40-man roster spots in the NL, and only trail the A’s overall who have 6 open spots. There are 13 teams with full 40-man rosters. Have to imagine some additions are on the horizon fairly soon.
  13. Reminder that tomorrow [Friday] is the deadline for teams to add Rule 5 eligible players to their 40-man roster. Somewhat surprised the Guardians haven’t made any trades yet, but it seems like a near guarantee they’ll make some moves over the next 36 hours.
  14. [sarcasm]Imagine the farm system the Brewers could accrue if they traded away Burnes, Woodruff, and Peralta![/sarcasm] In all seriousness, if they trade one of their big three starters for a haul, I assume it would be Woodruff. The likelihood of trading any of them is obviously very small.
  15. It doesn’t seem like it should be too difficult for Attanasio to determine Stearns interest and intentions surrounding the Mets President role. Offer him a lucrative multi-year extension, and his acceptance or decline will pretty much tell you everything you need to know.
  16. Piña seemed like the perfect compliment to Narvaez, but I also understand not wanting to commit $8 million to him at this point of his career. With Omar only under contract one more season I am curious to see if the Brewers trade for a young-ish catcher this offseason. I don’t think Feliciano is near ready defensively to adequately fill the backup catcher role. Catcher is such a position of scarcity that their best bet might be just plugging the hole by bringing back someone like Maile. Of course a lot changes with the defensive demands of the catching position if MLB does indeed go to an automated strike zone in the near future.
  17. This might be a stretch, but I wonder if the A’s will consider moving catcher Sean Murphy this offseason.
  18. The part that’s mystifying with Kepler is how low his BABIP has been basically every season of his career. It’s not like he’s ridiculously slow or something. Logic would say his BABIP has to improve, but yet each year he has among the very worst BABIP in baseball. Here are Kepler’s BABIP results by season… [pre]Season BABIP 2015 .250 2016 .261 2017 .276 2018 .236 2019 .244 2020 .236 2021 .225[/pre]
  19. With Brosseau in the mix I think the perfect bench piece to complement him would be free agent Brad Miller. They can both competently play anywhere on the infield (with shortstop being a bit of a stretch if it was more than a few games), and their platoon splits are completely opposite of one another. Brosseau vs. LHP (229 PA’s for career): .277 BA / .336 OBP / .515 SLG / .851 OPS Miller vs. RHP (297 PA’s in 2021): .244 BA / .354 OBP / .488 SLG / .842 OPS With those two as bench options they’d basically be able to give regular rest around the infield while maintaining a >.800 OPS caliber player in your lineup. If they had to cover an injury to Wong or Urias for a short time they could do so without much expected drop-off in offensive production. The Brewers would likely need to stash someone in Triple-A that could fill in longer term if Adames went down.
  20. The positional flexibility combined with a distinct platoon split is why I think this makes a ton of sense. The Brewers now have a player they can stick into their lineup at either 1B or 2B versus LHPs.
  21. This reminds me a little bit of the Rowdy Tellez (age 26) acquisition during the season. Both are players that have had up and down MLB performances, but each had very strong minor league track records. The Brewers are doing exactly what they should by continuing to acquire guys that are in the midst of the expected peak production years for hitters (ages 26-28). They obviously don’t always work out, but when they do they can pay big dividends. Some hitters within their expected peak ages when acquired in relatively low cost transactions during the Stearns era that have gone on to have an impact include Jesús Aguilar (age 27), Travis Shaw (age 26), Omar Narvaez (age 28).
  22. Congrats to those of us that have been hoping for a Brousseau trade for the past year. I like it, I still believe he’s a good player with some defensive versatility.
  23. The Giants received attention for having many additional coaches this past season, looks like maybe the Brewers will be following a similar trend.
  24. From Haudricourt… Stearns on why hitting coach structure is changing: “What we are doing is really a recognition that this has transformed into a very big job. Over last 3-5 years, as information continues to proliferate our game, we're asking more and more of our coaches."
  25. Via Jon Heyman: Reports suggest Mets are leaving open the Baseball President job to wait for Brewers Baseball Prez David Stearns’ contract to expire. “I’m happily employed” by the Brewers, Stearns said. He declined to say if he has 1 or 2 years left (unclear if 2023 option is his or Milwaukee’s).
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