Brewers and Reds now have 44 games remaining. The Brewers magic number is 37. If the Brewers go .500 over their remaining games (22-22) the Reds would need to go 30-14 over their remaining games to tie the Brewers. If the Brewers are a little better than .500, like say 24-20 over their remaining games, then the Reds would need to go 32-12 to tie the Brewers. As long as the Brewers don’t experience a late season collapse where they play sub-.500 baseball it would be very difficult for the Reds to catch them. Assuming the Brewers stay relatively healthy down the stretch, it’s hard to envision a total collapse.