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Playing Catch

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Everything posted by Playing Catch

  1. Playing Catch
    As it is, the Brewers are needing a lot of things to go right if the rotation is going to be league average, and it's absolutely possible that things end up going really poorly. Even if everyone stays healthy, there's no sure things after Freddy. I mean, I guess I'd be surprised if a healthy Miley was really poor, but dude is 37. Rea was solid last season, but there's a good chance that will end up being his best MLB season, being he's 33. If the Brewers don't improve the rotation through either trade or free agency, even if it's just to add another unproven prospect or aging vet, it will be hard for them to convince me that they are trying to win the division this season. I'm very very hopeful about Gasser and Rodriguez, but it's often true that good MLB pitchers struggle as rookies. It's important to give them innings this year to continue to develop, but that's different than expecting them to take the ball every fifth day.
  2. Playing Catch
    I love that both Hall and Ortiz are high-floor MLB-ready guys. It about as close to a guarantee as you can get for getting long-term MLB production in exchange for Burnes. Add to the fact that both players -- especially Hall -- still have significant ceilings to reach for, and it's easy to feel really good about the trade. Or at least, feel good about the return they got.
  3. Playing Catch
    Tangent: Is there enough longitudinal data from which analysts like KenPom and BartTorvik have modified the home court advantages of teams individually? Or does it remain a generic, +6points for the home team (or whatever)? Think about the Badgers-Nebraska tilt, where Nebraska is way better at home.
  4. Playing Catch
    Sure, but twelve months from now I would expect that one of (two of?) the guys I listed will be featured in threads just like this one, and will be generally regarded as a top 10 prospects in the organization, with a chance of being top 100 prospects in MLB. All of them have enough statistical/scouting profiles to make such jumps. Neither Woodruff or Burnes were consensus top 100 prospects beyond perhaps the last 6 months or so of their minor league development, and they had similar profiles as these guys. I happen to think that there has been enough smoke surrounding the organization in the last few years to believe that they are good at developing pitching, not just lucking into pitching.
  5. Playing Catch
    I agree there's a vacuum left with Burnes and Woody, but there's still lots of hope that one or two of these guys take a big step forward this season, or when they return from injury... Bradley Blalock, Coleman Crow, Edwin Jimenez, Logan Henderson, Josh Knoth, Ryan Birchard, Bishop Letson. Now, obviously some of those guys are more than a year away, but if they end up being good, they probably aren't too much further away than late '26. My point is that the system is deeper than just Misiorowski, Gasser, and Rodriguez.
  6. Playing Catch
    Yeah, the fact the jersey had the wrong number was what made it notable.
  7. Playing Catch
    My buddy said he saw a guy at the gym today wearing a Yount #17 jersey... 'zis one of you guys?? Like you've all said... 1 - Gumby isn't worthy (no disrespect!) 2 - Is #17 retired?? Why not? [We all agree he was average, at best, for a long time] 3 - Okay, but you really liked him as a Brewer icon... but, [go to step 1]
  8. Playing Catch
    I want him on the roster immediately. He's being paid. Even if he's got some re-learning/polishing to do, there's no problem having him at the end of the pen as a multi-inning lefty.
  9. Playing Catch
    Totally agree. It worked with Johan Santana, Burnes, Woodruff and Ashby... that's enough evidence for me. Now, for a multi-pitch hurler like Carlos Rodriguez, who relies on mixing things up, then I would prefer he just keep starting.
  10. Playing Catch
    It's actually what gives me hope that the Badgers defense is better than everyone thinks.
  11. Playing Catch
    I think what they were doing at that point was trying to shrink the game; still get good shots, but take 20-25 seconds. I actually think this is coached deliberately, and has been for years. I believe the staff has a ratio of point-spread vs. minutes remaining (probably controlling for a turnover or two), where the team is taught to use clock. Perhaps that's obvious, but it absolutely can explain how blowouts become "close[r]".
  12. Playing Catch
    Their defensive efficiency numbers are screwy this season. They have games like the last couple of games when they look very good (like top 25 defense in the country-good). But then you look at the PSU game and your eyes bleed. It's hard to not just throw out the Arizona game as an outlier. Then you have games like Indiana and Jax State, where they just took their foots off the gas in blowouts. If their "true" defensive value is top 25, then they are definitely F4 contenders, and if they can avoid a gauntlet like the 2015 team faced, they could win a title. The leaders need to start talking about it, too. Stating their ambitions out loud.
  13. Playing Catch
    The 40-man roster is full. I can't imagine that THIS is the roster they go into spring training with. So who are the guys besides Chris Roller (who?) that they will cut/trade?
  14. Playing Catch
    Yes. By 4th of July, the Brewers could have 8 guys on the list.
  15. Playing Catch
    Well, to give you some idea, in comparing Ashby's first 2 seasons to Woodruff's, Ashby pitched about 50 more innings, with more starts, compiling 1.3 fWAR. He had better K%, and better xFIP. Woody's BB% was a little better, compiling 1.0 fWAR. So Ashby's future was looking pretty bright.
  16. Playing Catch
    I think people are getting a big too excited about Hoskins. He's a huge upgrade from what the Brewers got last year, but he's not, and never has been, an all-star. I think why I, and obviously the majority of posters here, wanted him was simply because it made so much sense for a lower payroll team. If Hoskins was really good, the Brewers never would have been able to sign him in the first place.
  17. Playing Catch
    This is silly to say, I know, but in a weird way, I think it would be easier to replace Burnes than Willy. With a Burnes trade, you'll be able to at least cover his innings using a bunch of guys, perhaps MLB-ready guys that would be part of a strong return. But trading Willy means Turang is the only SS that I can see in the organization that can reasonably be expected to be ready to play in MLB this season. If Turang would get hurt in this scenario, who plays short?
  18. Playing Catch
    I think Brewerfan is just saying that yes, we all know he's a troll. Trolls behave EXACTLY like this. Plan (A) move goalposts, plan (B) make strawman arguments, plan (C) make goalposts out of strawman. Then flame. Always pump the bellows just enough so that posters get mad, but that the mods don't ban you. In terms of the risk of the 2nd year, I think it's acceptable risk. I think we have collective trauma after witnessing some truly horrible seasons the last few years, whether it be JBJ, Cain's last season, Tellez last year. If any of those season were merely poor, rather than dreadful, they wouldn't have been so painful.
  19. Playing Catch
    Would this be enough to make him eligible for the whole, opening-day-roster-rookie-of-the-year benefit?
  20. Playing Catch
    I pretty much hated the Avina/Sanchez trade. For those of you who believe I support every move this FO does, I didn't like this one. And I didn't even like Avina that much!
  21. Playing Catch
    I'm not picking on you, titanrick, but the narrative that guys are "lost for nothing," can't end with, "only a comp pick." Guys are KEPT through, what will possibly be their peak career season... the year before they become free agents, in the middle of their peak. That season of production is VERY hard to get back in a trade, ESPECIALLY, if the return is unproven, albeit top-notch, talent from the minor leagues. If Burnes earns 6 WAR this season, it will be very difficult to recoup that, regardless of the return. Without looking it up (thanks, Sveum!), I'm going to put the CAREER WAR over/under on players that were once top 50 prospects at about 1.5. With this said, I totally disagree with those that believe this means the Brewers are "all-in," and that Burnes/Adames are off the market. I believe this particularly shrewd front office is perfectly capable of pulling an Icarus, and trading Burnes for guys that are MLB-ready AND controllable... #havingonescakeandeatingittoo. EDIT TO ADD: Love the Hoskins signing. Love it. let the kids simmer and cook in AAA.
  22. Playing Catch
    I don't think I'm going to forget the PSU loss anytime soon. I like to think that I do a good job of compartmentalizing my irrational fandom, but the PSU game really, really bugs me. If how I feel is indicative of how the Badgers feel, I think Indiana is in trouble.
  23. Playing Catch
    Refs rewarding aggression on both sides. Let's go get it!
  24. Playing Catch
    "Expected" to win and, "I expect this team to beat PSU tonight." are different to me. Sure the oddsmakers have their favorite, therefore the Badgers are "expected" to win, But if I were a coach or player for the Badgers, and the Badgers lose, they failed to meet expectations, and they should be super disappointed. Likewise, "I expect this team to beat PSU tonight." There would be no viable excuse for losing this game. Champions don't lose games like this. (Unless of course we're talking about the 2014-15 B1G Champion Badgers who lost on the road on January 11th to T-Rank's #184 Rutgers squad).
  25. Playing Catch
    I thought Votto has said he will never leave the Reds. That he would choose retirement. Did I just make that up?
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