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SRB

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Everything posted by SRB

  1. SRB
    I hope a few years from now, when Moncada is wandering around RF as a journeyman fourth OF (because he never learned to play 2B/3B), his team meets the Brewers in the playoffs, and with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, Gilbert Lara steps to the plate as the winning run and hits a long fly ball to RF, and it Canseco-bounces off Moncada's fat head and over the wall, and the Brewers win, and twenty years later it becomes the defining moment of infamous flop Yoan Moncada's career.
  2. SRB
    Yoan Moncada IS DEAD TO ME. Why would you sign with the team that has an MVP 2B, and just signed TWO All-Star 3Bs. What a dunce. I guess he is trade bait now? Because Sandival/Ramirez probably untradeable...
  3. SRB
    Well, we definitely need new outfielders at Colorado Springs. [sarcasm]Sign Mesa, that should knock $10-15M off Moncada's asking price.[/sarcasm]
  4. SRB
    It can't be a major league contract, so my understanding is that he will be signed as an amateur free agent. He will get a huge signing bonus ($20-40M), but then will be on the same timeline as any other drafted player. 6 years of team control once he reaches the majors, including 3-4 arbitration-eligible years. One interesting consideration here is that a huge payroll team like the Yankees doesn't need to spend this much on a prospect, because they can outbid any team when a proven MVP-caliber 2B/3B hits free agency. Even though it's a lot of money, in a way it's a small market team play because the only way a team like the Brewers can get 6 years of an elite talent is to gamble $80M (for a guy who would normally cost $200M if Moncada is as advertised and became a free agent after proving himself).
  5. SRB
    People are really up in arms about an extra 10-15 minutes in average game time versus 10+ years ago? It's another manufactured controversy.
  6. SRB
    Huh? How? Don't the longer games/time between innnings mean more commercials, which equals more $$$? The summary of the change is: "3. Play to resume promptly once broadcast returns from commercial break." Networks can only run a certain number of commercial breaks (typically between half-innings and during pitching changes). When the innings themselves are delayed by batters taking too long or too many seconds between pitches, the networks don't gain any additional ad revenue from the additional game time, and in fact I'm sure the impact on their regular scheduling is a major cost. If you have a game with X pitching changes and 17 commercial breaks between half-innings, the networks are making money off 17 + X commercial breaks. That's a set amount of money for a set viewership that will tune in for (all or part) of the game. It's obviously in their benefit to make that money in 3 hours versus 4 hours of airtime. These "reforms" are all about the $$$, not some imagined fan exodus away from the game because it is too long.
  7. SRB
    Are they still trying to pretend that this alleged crisis over the length of games is coming from a fan outcry, and not the fact that delay/longer games cost TV networks money?
  8. SRB
    If Mark A lands Moncada it will easily be my favorite off-the-field moment in franchise history.
  9. SRB
    I am still praying at my Yoan Moncada altar, but from an idealized armchair-GM prospect Alvarez sort of makes more sense because he adds another pitching prospect to a hitter-heavy draft class currently in the low minors. By 2019 you could be looking at an ideal roster of: C - [Free Agent] 1B - R. Braun 2B - L. Sardinas SS - O. Arcia 3B - J. Gatewood LF - T. Taylor CF - M. Harrison RF - C. Coulter IF - Y. Rivera IF - S. Gennett (maybe a trade/non-tender) OF - K. Davis (maybe a trade/non-tender) OF - V. Roache SP - Y. Alvarez SP - K. Medeiros SP - M. Diplan SP - D. Williams SP - J. Nelson/M. Fiers/T. Jungmann/J. Lopez LHP - W. Wang RHP - T. Thornburg LHP - W. Smith RHP - J. Jeffress CL - C. Knebel Top prospect: G. Lara, though if he's really good he will have forced his way to the majors by age 21, maybe at 2B?
  10. SRB
    I wonder which way the causation flows though, I don't think anyone can say for sure. If the league is full of guys with great plate discipline, and nobody is swinging at certain pitches, it's going to influence whether umpires call those pitches balls. Likewise, if the entire league is more free-swinging and most people swing at a certain pitch, and you don't, the umpire is going to be more likely to call that a strike. I think the league as a whole just has much worse hitters currently.
  11. SRB
    It seems like the "expert" consensus on Moncada is that he would probably be the first overall pick in this year's draft, but factoring in proximity to majors and everything else, would rank in the 5-15 range in terms of overall prospects right now. So there's a lot of boom potential that might make it a fun risk for you in fantasy, but for your purposes it also might be safer to pick someone like Kris Bryant or Bryan Buxton.
  12. SRB
    It was heavily centered in two players though, Ruth and Gehrig. Though they had two other great hitters as well. Interesting to think whether having a balanced lineup with a lower team OPS is better than an unbalanced lineup with a higher team OPS. For one, you could just IBB Ruth and Gehrig every time they stepped to the plate and actually decrease the team OPS (1.000 each).
  13. SRB

    Oscars - 2015

    SRB replied to RobertR's topic in Off-Topic Forum

    No movie in which this scene made the cut should be nominated for Best Picture. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fLwAcU0bYl0
  14. SRB
    I think Medeiros should be the top prospect in the system, based on upside. ([sarcasm]Until we sign Moncada, of course[/sarcasm])
  15. SRB
    Rankings are silly, as always, but it's nice at least that with 7 in the top 200 the Brewers are tied for 11th most, putting our farm system right about in the middle of MLB. And that's not even including Gatewood (embarrassing that he is being written off because of a small sample size debut) or Sardinas (ineligible).
  16. SRB
    Interesting that basically every contender for best offense from the last 20 years had either Manny Ramirez (Indians, Red Sox), or A-Rod (Mariners, Yankees).
  17. SRB
    Best I've Seen 2003 Red Sox CF Johnny Damon (LHB) 12 HR, 30 SB, .273/.345/.405/.750 2B Todd Walker (LHB) 13 HR, 1 SB, .283/.333/.428/.760 SS Nomar Garciaparra (RHB) 28 HR, 19 SB, .301/.345/.524/.870 LF Manny Ramirez (RHB) 37 HR, 3 SB, .325/.427/.587/1.014 DH David Ortiz (LHB) 31 HR, 0 SB, .288/.369/.592/.961 1B Kevin Millar (RHB) 25 HR, 3 SB, .276/.348/.472/.820 RF Trot Nixon (LHB) 28 HR, 4 SB, .306/.396/.578/.975 3B Bill Mueller (SHB) 19 HR, 1 SB, .326/.398/.540/.938 C Jason Varitek (SHB) 25 HR, 3 SB, .273/.351/.512/.863 Good luck pitching to that lineup in the postseason. Of course, it was still the era where boneheaded managerial decisions held sway, and you put the two worst hitters at the top of the lineup and the guy with the best OBP in the eight-hole solely because of the positions they played (CF/2B guys are speedy, they hit first! 3B/C hit low in the order!). Greatest of all time is the 1927 Yankees, with Ruth/Gehrig hitting 3-4 with an incredible 1.258/1.240 OPS combo. Then you had a couple of .900+ OPS guys (Earle Combs and Bob Meusel) and some .800+ OPS guys (Pat Collins and Tony Lazzeri).
  18. SRB
    I don't think 18 G from Taylor's first year are all that indicative of anything. Harrison has higher upside, in my opinion. Taylor is a better prospect right now because he is further along in his development.
  19. SRB
    If you look at the Zone% stat on Fangraphs which measures the percentage of strikes within the strike zone (Pitches in the strike zone/total pitches) since the start of the Pitch f/x era (going back to 2002), one of the clearest trends is that the percentage within the zone has been consistently decreasing over the years. 2005: 55.1% 2002: 54.6% 2005: 53.8% 2006: 52.6% 2003: 51.4% 2008: 51.1% 2007: 50.3% 2009: 49.3% 2010: 46.5% 2011: 45.3% 2014: 44.9% 2012: 44.9% 2013: 44.7% Am I missing something? Doesn't that imply the strike zone has already been shrinking, and that isn't the "problem" with decreasing offense? The other clear trend is that the O-Swing% (percentage of pitches outside the zone that batters swing at) has consistently increased dramatically, from a low in 2004 of 16.6% to a high in 2013 of 31.3%. Batters are swinging at almost twice as many pitches outside the strike zone as they were ten years ago, that is a huge increase. How does this rule change help?
  20. SRB
    I think Weeks refusing to play anywhere other than 2B was an ego/pride thing, especially after the Brewers (understandably) maneuvered his playing time to ensure that he lost out on a sizable vesting option. For a former elite prospect who for a while was one of the best starting 2B in the world, it's difficult to admit that you were bumped by a non-prospect (Gennett) into a utility role. I understand it from his perspective to a certain extent, but he could have really helped the Brewers if he had played (for example) 1B/3B on occasion.
  21. SRB
    Even as a non-scout, Alvarez looks really good on the mound. Maybe we can sell that Bud Selig hologram technology to the military and sign both Alvarez and Moncada.
  22. SRB
    If we go with their B-Ref pages but substitute the video's statement that Harrison weighs 220, they are actually both identical: 6'3" 220lb. Harrison is great. Work ethic + raw tools is how you become an All-Star. [sarcasm]Can't wait until we trade him for Jonathan Papelbon.[/sarcasm]
  23. SRB
    Any team looks bad if you take out their hot streaks. They went 20-8 with basically no contribution from the best player on the team (Ryan Braun), with a journeyman platoon at 1B, and with a black hole at SS. It's a solid roster that can easily compete. Can't predict anything else in the preseason.
  24. SRB
    Another guy who we haven't heard much about is 1B/3B Yosvani Bell, who's scheduled to do a showcase later this month. Apparently his trainer is Robinson Cano's dad. He's certainly got a hitter's build. Question that would make the Brewers extremely interested is whether he can actually play 3B.
  25. SRB
    2015 MLB Season AL East New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays AL Central Chicago White Sox Cleveland Indians Kansas City Royals Minnesota Twins Detroit Tigers AL West Los Angeles Angels Seattle Mariners Houston Astros Texas Rangers Oakland Athletics NL East Washington Nationals Miami Marlins New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves NL Central Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds NL West Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks AL Wild Card Cleveland Indians def. Baltimore Orioles NL Wild Card St. Louis Cardinals def. San Francisco Giants ALDS Chicago White Sox def. New York Yankees Los Angeles Angels def. Cleveland Indians NLDS Milwaukee Brewers def. Los Angeles Dodgers Washington Nationals def. St. Louis Cardinals ALCS Chicago White Sox def. Los Angeles Angels NLCS Milwaukee Brewers def. Washington Nationals 2015 World Series Milwaukee Brewers def. Chicago White Sox (4-3)
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