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SRB

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Everything posted by SRB

  1. Bases loaded in key situation, worst hitter in baseball at the plate.
  2. Trading for Parra was a good solid move. They tried to trade for Morneau Going into the season with Reynolds/Overbay at 1B was asinine. Parra was a good move and he made some good moves last offseason, but Mark A needs to send a message. You can't just sit on your hands and coast on the fact that the team had a hot start and that players you know are horrible had been somewhat decent for a couple months. Melvin should have known this would happen. Seems like a lot of people were afraid of all season of when the bottom would drop out, and yet Melvin just squandered a miraculous first month by letting the team flounder.
  3. Melvin should probably be canned in all honesty. The Brewers haven't been caught by an impressive Cardinals team, they've been passed by a mediocre Cardinals team that hasn't even been playing that great. The Brewers were in a position to walk away with the division simply by being semi-competent, and yet Melvin did almost nothing to address key areas of need. Melvin's job should be on the line for letting this happen, when his "big" move was trading for Broxton on the eve of September to pitch like 5.0 IP the rest of the way.
  4. This might be the worst season in Brewers history, for lots of reasons.
  5. They should fire Roenicke now to try and spark something. I don't think he's a bad manager, but he's not that great either and could easily be replaced. This season is turning into a complete disaster.
  6. So you're willing to assume that Cincy isn't picking up any money because you have seen no suggestion that's the case despite the fact that all we've heard is we're getting Broxton, they get two PTBNL, yet you're also going to assume that the players we traded are good prospects as well? As far as I'm concerned, a RH'ed reliever was an absolute must if we had any chance to win big games. With all our lefties we can let RR do his TLR imitation and play the R/L matchup to death. So paying a guy 9 million next year when he was probably worth 6 really isn't the worst thing in the world to me if it helps them get to and do some damage in the playoffs. Broxton is worth $0M, he could very well be below replacement level the rest of this season and next season. Let's put it this way: I don't know the details of the deal. If Cincinnati is eating almost all of his salary and got nobodies in return, it's a fine gamble. If Milwaukee is paying all or most of the rest of his contract (they almost surely are) and/or giving up anybody remotely resembling a prospect, it's a horrible desperation move.
  7. It's a horrible move before knowing exactly what we gave up and how much of his salary we'll be taking on? For a seasoned late inning reliever who can still throw 94-95 and has an ERA under 2.00 despite playing in Cincy half the time. I think that's a bit of a rush to judgement. Attanasio said they had put in waiver claims on 25 guys a couple weeks ago and that everyone was trying to add BP arms. We added a pretty good one. We desperately needed another right handed reliever. We have three good left handed relievers, but not one proven right handed reliever. I do think Papelbon would have made more sense, but obviously there was some stumbling block to that trade. If Cincinnati is eating his salary then yeah it's a totally different situation, but I haven't seen any suggestion that's the case. Broxton at $9M in 2015 plus a $2M mutual option is a terrible pick-up.
  8. [sarcasm]Don't worry, we'll be way better next year when we're spending all of our money on Jonathan Broxton rather than a 1B.[/sarcasm]
  9. Season is completely falling off the rails. Evidently the entire pitching staff is tired, because they currently suck, and Melvin's big move was a horrible RP overpay. Great going, Doug.
  10. Ugh... Horrible move even without knowing the two PTBNL. Broxton doesn't strike anybody out anymore (huge red flag) and his peripherals are consistently mediocre. It's like we went out and signed Kintzler (bad pitcher with a shiny ERA) for $10M... Figures they probably gave up some decent prospects to boot.
  11. We have a pretty good one keeping CF warm for Harrison in Milwaukee
  12. I was debating whether he warrants a separate thread, but on Friday there is going to be a showcase of a couple Cuban defectors including Yozzen Cuesta (aka Jozzen Cuesta), who is a 25-year-old (or younger? seeing conflicting ages given) 1B and might be of interest to the Brewers. I can't find any information on him other than the fact that he is 6'2" 220 lb and has "some power." The lack of internet buzz doesn't mean he's a non-prospect though - just look at the Yasiel Puig signing. Considering the Brewers were one of the top bidders on Jose Abreau, I'm hoping they will at least be scouting Cuesta. Getting a young 1B with upside would be huge given the pretty dismal free agent market.
  13. By "convenient" I just mean you're lumping together a bunch of seasons and comparing it against (basically, since 2013 was shortened) this season by itself, which obscures the fact that Braun's ISO has been up and down throughout his career, including a full-season mark lower than 2014 when Braun wasn't injured (as far as I remember). Obviously I am slightly concerned too, but I don't think we are anywhere near definitive evidence that Braun is in decline or that his thumb is that big of a problem.
  14. That is pretty remarkable. Innings 7-9 might be influenced by our horrendous bench (at least for most of the season), but it still seems like they are inordinately good the first time through the order.
  15. Had no idea it was a day game today. Fiers is incredible.
  16. That's a convenient way of framing it. If you break his ISO out year-by-year, then it's clear that he's had down years in the past with even lower ISO than in 2014. ISO 2007: .310 (492 PA) 2008: .268 2009: .231 2010: .197 2011: .265 2012: .276 2013: .200 (253 PA) 2014: .209 In your splits, the first number if brought up by Braun's insane 2007 season, and the second number is brought down by his injuries in 2013-14. But going forward (beyond this season) I see no reason not to expect his ISO to bounce around his career mark of .247
  17. Not that complicated. If your bullpen strikes a lot of guys out, doesn't walk very many guys, and doesn't give up all fly balls, you're going to have a good bullpen over time.
  18. What's the scouting buzz on Tyler Wagner? Pretty surprised he is #5.
  19. Nobody on the Brewers has thrown an inordinate number of innings though. K-Rod has the most (57.0 IP) and that only ranks 27th in MLB. Will Smith is at 55.1 IP, and everybody else in the bullpen is below 50 IP. Don't see how Wang-related overuse could possibly be an issue. The Brewers bullpen as a whole has actually thrown the fifth fewest innings of any bullpen in baseball, and the third lowest in the NL. *Edit* Didn't realize this, but on the season the Brewers bullpen as a whole has the best xFIP of any bullpen in baseball (3.33), even including Wang's innings and some other outliers. Seems like a pretty promising sign going forward.
  20. He's also had a full season (2010) with a worse ISO than he has this season, so the argument that this is just "Braun without PEDs" makes no sense. He's having a down year, probably due to lingering injuries, and is still doing pretty darn good minus the defensive metrics. No reason to panic.
  21. I hate this argument because we can't pay the market rate for WAR. Our margin of error is still smaller than other teams' so spending $18 million for a 3 WAR player is different here than it is in LA, Philly, Chicago or even St. Louis. That's not exactly true though. Any free agent we sign is going to be close to the perceived market value for his services. It's not like Doug Melvin has some magic to make people sign here for less than they are valued on the market. The issue with being a small market (not entirely clear that Milwaukee has a small market payroll anymore though) is that we can't pay market value for superstar players, because it's tying too much money up in one guy. But the market value for superstar players now and in coming years is like $30M/season, not $19M. Paying market value for 3 WAR or so is perfectly fine. Heck, even without factoring in option guarantees A-Ram is making $16M and Garza/Gallardo are going to be making $13M. I fail to see how the extra $3-5M (which prevents you from signing what, a Todd Coffey or a Tom Gorzelanny?) is a disastrous contract for the Brewers. It's a pretty reasonable contract for a former MVP. And $19M is the peak, it's not backloaded at the tail end of his career. When Braun is A-Ram's current age (36), he will actually be making the same as A-Ram is making in 2014 ($16M).
  22. $19M is far from "devastating" over the next few years. What is the market rate for WAR now, $6-7M/WAR? His defense is the main culprit (according to UZR). I still think moving him to 1B makes a lot of sense. Reduces wear and tear and hopefully keeps him healthier too.
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