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brewcrewdue80

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Everything posted by brewcrewdue80

  1. This on the outside looks like a steal. 170+IP for KC in his past. Junis fip was reduced his 2 years with SF. I don't feel wrong in saying the Crew found their next Miley. Junis 150+ IP and below 4ERA because of the defense. Maybe teams don't like him not using a FB? Only 15 pitches registered as a fb 93-94. Why would SF not sign this guy? Dumped that FB the last 2 seasons and he's a below 4 fip. Junis may be our best pitcher of record when season ends.
  2. Didn't read the mutual option. If Brewers decline that they are on the hook for 1y 7M just split 4 and 3 when this season is completed.
  3. That Steamer projection is fairly spot on. 123Innings is near 30IP above 2022. You keep him on the 30IP if healthy tracking he's a full time starter in 2026. I've knocked this return in trade as you are taking half his team control before you pencil them in as a full time starter. 3seasons remaining healthy is a big risk. So 1 TJ and you're in their 5th maybe 6th season of control before they provide a seasons full of starts. 32GS imo
  4. The contract is built for a mid-season trade. The return will be based on how he looks the last 2-3 weeks. The whole season up to that trade deadline won't matter as you can write off the 1st month or 2 as returning from injury. The latest and greatest version of Hoskins is what to expect moving forward. You can also look at the timeline nearing deadline of where Black fits, Turang's bat needs to have shown improvement or I option him, and how's Ortiz fitting? Did we trade Adames yet?
  5. Basically being the 2nd worst to 5th worst producing batter is the reason to send him down. The clock rewind just happens as a result. Ortiz, Monasterio, and Black cover his send down.
  6. Since Turang filled up savant 1/2 as worst hitter in 2023 I'd option him to aaa and let ortiz play 2b. It's not like Turang had a small sample size. Maybe monasterio plays 2b and ortiz 3b. You are rolling back some of Turang clock then.
  7. Im still amazed there wasn't a 3rd player thrown in on the deal. Another pitcher that is projected as a RP. You basically took 2 40man spots that were redundant for 1 much needed. So Baltimore can add a player via FA or another trade. We had to dfa Small. Which again right there should have led to the RP in trade.
  8. Mateo sits at exactly 4.000 service time. Ortiz at .030. There may have been some manipulation allowing Mateo to reach 4.0 and keeping Ortiz lower. He is afterall still prospect ranked. As to prospect rankings, 2024 preseason rankings are coming out so 2023 rankings are be altered.
  9. I mentioned this in Burnes thread, but having a piggyback with Hall and Ashby flip flopping 2-4innings would be good use where you limit their innings. I thought Ross. But Ashby gives that game an electric feel.
  10. Finally got through the 13+ pages on this Burnes trade. DL HALL is the make or break stud potential in this trade. I like the Drew Rasmussen comp. Hall can pitch in the bullpen and spot start in 24 while gaining his SP innings limit. Ortiz solves the future SS depth beyond Turang. Plus defensively with a more stable bat/bigger exit velocities than Brice. Was it enough for Burnes? I'd have expected a 3rd piece in their 15-30 rankings. Hall is such a high risk deserved a throw in for. Think there's quite an overreaction. Hoskins signing makes more sense to me. Trade deadline you can move him. Understand he's returning from injury. He looks every bit the 22 Hoskins teams are calling to acquire him. On top of our need for 1b. Do we see a piggyback type of use for Hall? Gasser/Hall? Hall starts followed by Gasser? Ross in this scenario? You'd be looking for 3IP and late season 5ip. If you're not playing for the division, you could deal with the struggled outings keeping Hall in there.
  11. Paxton is championship chasing. Dodgers should win 120+ easy this season. Trying to look at his deal and think Crew could have beat that is missing that factor.
  12. This. Gasser shouldn't have anything left to prove in AAA. There's Ashby. Those 2 along with Burnes, Freddy, and Miley make 5. You still have Rea and Ross. Seems pretty set for Spring Training. You mention Rodriguez and when thinking of Ashby, I'd wonder if getting starts from him til mid-season and then inserting him in bullpen. How many innings or games started would they push on him? So in come Rodriguez mid-season to take over if you don't make a trade instead.
  13. Whoa this guy really thinks they heard another team in on Soler after the 2 teams (it sounds they believed were a fit) signed other players? Well no duh Sherlock, some team is in on Soler. Just one of those conjectures that leaves them an out while likely knowing or hearing nothing suggesting whom. Not what you want your readers to see you say. I have no idea. Lead them on by "hearing" to bring the back on next article or posting. Anyway. Wily Peralta signs a minor league deal with Pittsburgh. Seen success as a RP for Det in 21&22.
  14. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/01/dodgers-discussing-contract-with-james-paxton.html Paxton signed by LA. this is mlb FA thread. Let's post the solano/Soler stuff in rumors. Justin Turner was signed for 13M! +incentives.
  15. This pretty much works both ways. Start the season then be sent down when it's clear Gasser's stuff isn't ML ready. Ashby-Gasser mixed with Ross. Burnes-Freddy-Miley-Rea. Gasser is a #4/5 expectation. All I care about is that he gets 5innings. Gives up 4runs? So be it. Just give me a guy who can go 5innings at the end of rotation consistently and pitches in the 6th on rare occasions. He appears to be just that in the minors each of last 2seasons. He's left handed and that as we know is a weapon vs some lineups. Rodriquez looks headed the Gasser route but a year behind and RH. That makes it unlikely to see him this season without being forced to use him due to multiple injuries. It's not the highest ceiling rotation, but there's always the trade deadline to get that 3rd SP you want in the playoffs. So looking forward to the season.
  16. 2 games for SF the opposing coaches helping them by going for 4th downs vs kicking FGs and 3pts. This version of NFL coaches blows and exactly why Reid is running through it. By not putting the kicker in to do what he's paid for, you give them freedom from succeeding or failing. Which takes away whether they should be on a NFL team or not. It's one thing of they guy has a 50-54yd leg overall and the kick is 48+. It's just another to not even trot them out there for 35-45yd FGs and take the 3pts. Oh gotta love a 15play drive before half filled with running plays. And the drive on 1 of the non fg attempts, successful pass play 10+yes. Successful run play 10+yes. 1/4 passing 7yards. Turnover on downs. About reason to fire the HC for that drive right there.
  17. Ragans was traded for half a season of Chapman and a lotto ticket. Savant shows for whatever reason moving from Texas to KC he threw nearly 6 MPH faster with all his pitches. At cost of straighter. His heat zones are very down the middle portions of plate aside from his slider which he threw the least but still over 10pct for 5pitches. Anyway, Royals would likely be thrilled getting Williams turning 80games of Chapman to 2years of Williams to trade away within a few months.
  18. The option for 3rd year is 4m. So it's still 2/34 in that instance only 4 is on the hook that 3rd yr if both sides don't agree.
  19. Why are 100+loss teams trading for a closer with 2years of team control?
  20. Awesome. So 1/16. 2/34 or a chance for 3/48. It'd be great for him to be worth right around 20M a season to not have him opt out and just accept a chance at 3years now. 12M for this season gives that 6-8Mil signing a chance if we're looking at Turner.(though I want Black to be on this team majority of season). Just saying 12M vs 17M leaves that wiggle room.
  21. Come on already with the details on the contract! 4 days is it since announced?
  22. Very below average. Just had a really good contact season in 2022. Definitely an outlier. Type of deal for injury depth as Opening day approaches. You hope he doesn't see any ML time for the Brewers.
  23. The part about 2025 payroll commitments does need to consider the rare Accepts a QO payroll addition. Burnes is 100pct no concerns. Adames though? And now say Hoskins if he did opt out after a 4+war top 20MVP season. It used to be Woodruff now insert Hoskins. Kinda gotta earmark some salary off to the side just in case as the season progresses or 1 or more is traded. We remember the horrible FA/trade outcomes but there was the good year by Renfroe. Good year by Wong. Grandal. Pre-2020 Cain. Those 1st 2 seasons paid his contract until those last seasons took money back. Hoskins is on the good side of things for the 2yr contract. Will be 31&32 for the 2 seasons. Above league average via Savant in 2022 in the categories that you want. Far more consistent than Winker ever was yearly. The contract would have looked really bad had it gone 4 years or more. The gamble he'd be good in 2024 returning from his ACL and instead he's no longer the player he was? Wow doubling down with the Yelich contract extension. The opt out just may be the reason Hopkins agreed to a 2yr deal for 34M with Milw. Versus say signing a 1 or 2yr deal with another team. The kind of things that when Milw doesn't sign with a FA it is reasonable it's not always just money offered. We'll get an update here on the contract I imagine before the weekend so today or during day Friday. Is a holdup due to 40man? Where there needs to be a corresponding move so they can't finish the signing til that's squared away?
  24. It is the NL East. Miami/NY/Atl/Was. While 2 are neutral I believe, 2 are more difficult. Titanrick said with you but apparently, we are in the minority. It scares me to think we will lose Burnes for nothing more than a comp pick compared to what we could have landed by trading him. And it seems like a lesson was learned in the Hader trade that you can't deal core guys when you're still in the hunt. If we win the WS this year, great and gutsy move. If we don't, then we missed out on significant talent that could have helped us get there. With now the 2 large international signings- success with Chourio-Quero-Mitchell-Frelick-Wiemer-etc. You are getting stretched with so much ML and milb talent arriving at same time. The idea is they take QO picks because that's 2 or 3 besides the normal selections you're adding. It's a 40man collection over 6+years of team control. Without FA signings. So slow it down from this period. This current crop can add via trade in 2-4years. Heck next year Freddy/Devin can add via trade.
  25. Waiting. The 2nd year would need to make him feel he couldn't exceed that to opt out. It's part of the idea on a 14/20 with 3mil going to Hoskins in 2025 of he opts out. So it'd be 17Mil overall for 1yr. If he did have the 2/36 projection maybe it's 15 and 19 with 3mil if opt out? So he got 18 yr 1 like a 2/36. And he's only gambling a loss of 1mil 2nd yr from 18M. While trying to earn more than 18M. Of course what are the deferrals they inject in these contracts. Lol.
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