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Cool Hand Lucroy

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Everything posted by Cool Hand Lucroy

  1. Cool Hand Lucroy
    This is excellent. Thanks. I do wonder how much being adjacent to Silicon Valley helps with access, but I'd imagine the Brewers would have plenty of it if they decided to buy in. As to Haines, it was time. As others have said, I don't know how much it matters, but this is one time where I buy the "new voice" theory.
  2. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Matt Norlander @CBS (one of my favorite CBB writers) has the Badgers 53rd in his annual 1-358 rankings. He also called the Gard/personnel/Tucker turmoil "not all that unusual." Tons of error bars around that particular exercise, but it's a useful conjecture from a guy who pays attention. That would put Wisconsin right on the cut line, but the Big Ten Is loaded. I can see the Badgers being relatively high at KenPom and something like 7-13 in league. I'll go on record as saying this team beats expectations. I think it's a tournament team, though maybe in First Four territory.
  3. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Man have there been some good baseball games this October. The Braves have been involved in a few. Albies scores from first on that Riley hit, but no matter. I still love stolen bases in October.
  4. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Good game last night. I don't like these teams very much, but there are enough compelling storylines to make the remaining series interesting, especially considering the quality of baseball so far.
  5. Cool Hand Lucroy
    I can see calling it a "new" team instead of a young one. I think Briggs is right in the sense that it feels different for Wisconsin to be rolling with so many transfers, but you just have to do that these days, and I'm glad they have. I was impressed with Wahl last year as an energy guy. Davis looked like a first year who had loads of athleticism but wasn't really comfortable. If those two can make a leap, this team might surprise some people. Davison needs to make shots and be a glue guy. If the Badgers are deferring to him in late-clock, that's trouble. I'll go with Oxy. I think I'll enjoy the fresh look and low expectations more than watching a team tread water. They got really hot pre-pandemic, but for most of Davison's career, this has been a team that hasn't improved like Badger teams usually do. Very static. Would like to see a bit more change and development over the season.
  6. Cool Hand Lucroy
    He was awesome in 2018 but has a playoff ERA above 6 since then. He definitely choked big in 2019, arguably choked this year as well. That's not to say he will always choke, but recently he has, which is what you were replying to. Using 4 innings to predict future performance isn't much more of a fools errand than using 10 innings from 3 years ago. Yeah, 2019 and this year total about 3 innings. A miniscule sample within a small sample. Pitchers' numbers should look worse in the playoffs. Especially great pitchers. They're asked to do more against better hitters with less rest. It is such a massive leap to argue that Hader "choked." He struggled a bit with control in game 1 after a long layoff and made one bad pitch in an otherwise totally dominant inning in game 4. The guy's a stud. I have never ever felt better with a Brewers closer. And may not again. I hope Josh gets a big raise, and someone else is willing to pay it plus give us bats. Preferably, send him to the AL so I can better appreciate how good he is without him competing against us.
  7. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Just for the record, Brian Galinowski @ FanGraphs feels is with Rick on the Urias play: Https://blogs.fangraphs.com/freddie-freeman-gets-his-moment-pushes-atlanta-into-nlcs/
  8. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Saw the Badger's men's schedule this morning, and it looks pretty decent. Providence and Georgia Tech are good challenge games in the sense that they'll be winnable for a young team but still provide some scheduling cred. The Maui field is similar: good teams and maybe the chance for a marquee game, but nobody who scares you that much. No idea what this year brings. Feels like the basketball program needs to turn the page, and I hope they have more success doing so than the football crew. Gard will likely face pressure from fans, but I doubt he's in any serious jeopardy until next year.
  9. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Why? He's the exact same player that no one was willing to pay big for last offseason when he had three years of control. Now someone is going to pony up the prospects with one less year of control? What changed? What may have changed and we have no idea if its true or not is that teams like San Diego and the White Sox may just be desperate enough to give us what we want. Preller in particular has to be feeling the heat after San Diego collapsed as they did. Yup. Josh Hader is a headline, win-now move in every competitive baseball city out there. Also, what's changed is the economic environment. I think every FO in the league will be planning for a "normal" 2022, at least with regard to the pandemic (the CBA is another story potentially). I just think your financial return on Hader is likely to be much higher in a year where you can be more certain of full attendance. The "buzz" of the winter is more monetizable this coming year. What to do with Hader is going to be one of the bigger decisions of Stearns tenure. Right up there with the Yelich trade and subsequent contract. I'm honestly skeptical the Brewers want to move him, but enough has changed (including Hader having a better year than in 2020) that I think they might be able to get something closer to their own valuation of Josh. I also think now's the time, with loads of pitching depth and a whole lot of guys who can either start or fill longer-relief roles. We'll see. I'm not going to be ticked if they don't make a deal, but it seems like the fastest way to upgrade the offense given payroll constraints.
  10. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Hader threw 59 of the most valuable innings for the Brewers this year. He's got so much value per out because he's always getting the highest leverage outs. That's why I think his value in trade is worth capitalizing on. It's easier to cover 59 innings than the 75-80 he was clocking earlier in his career, with a drop-off, of course, but one less than 1 WAR, and you save up to 7 mil in the process, pending the return. Hader just posted a career best FIP. I have to think teams are going to be willing to pay a lot for a guy who still has two years of control.
  11. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Well said. I'm bummed Freddy only got 50 postseason pitches. I really thought this series was going to be epic. 2011 epic only without the road blowouts. 5 tight games, and I thought the Brewers would win. Having a short postseason experience hurts. BUT This team had an 11-game win streak, and I loved that stretch. They combined for a no-hitter. The pitching staff was unreal all season, and I loved watching Wong play second-base. They owned the Cubs all year, even when the Cubs were good. Big ninth-inning comeback on opening day. An ultimate walk-off grand slam to really crush the Cards title hopes. Some really fun extra innings and late-game wins, including against the Dodgers. I had fun for half a year, and it felt soooo good to have something like normal baseball. Given all that, this will not ever be a forgettable season for me. While a lot of my life is still impacted by the pandemic (I teach, older parents, kids too young for the vaccine, etc.), my baseball life felt like every year before 2020, only with a division title at the end of it. That's not going to be forgettable for me. Go Brewers. World Champs someday. Sooner than we think.
  12. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Good luck out West. Hoping for a good series. As many on here have said, Braves we're the better team in these 4 games. I'm hoping for the Giants tomorrow. They seem more fun to me than the Dodgers.
  13. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Yeah, for sure. There are no easy solutions in a small market. I think this: we build a bullpen where everyone is basically a starter. 9 guys who can get multiple innings. Maybe Williams and two other additional one-inning types. But, otherwise, you go full-on piggyback mode. Let's innovate. Make it fun.
  14. Cool Hand Lucroy
    I think "once-in-a-generation" is overused, but Hader's there. The combo of his talent, how the Brewers deployed him, and general baseball trends as he was starting his career will make him a pivot point guy in baseball history. New-breed HOF pitcher. We've been lucky to have him. I was wrong about trading Josh last winter. But now I'll double down on it. It's time. We just need the prospect/offensive capital, and he's not as valuable to us as a one-inning guy. The White Sox have to drooling at the prospect of pairing Hader with Hendricks in their bullpen, especially given their pitching woes this season and postseason. Conveniently, they're loaded with offensive talent. It might be a good match.
  15. Cool Hand Lucroy
    The new CBA is a big factor for me going into next year. I really think the Brewers are the Rays of the NL...with way better fan support. Stearns and co will adjust to whatever new rules get put in play, and probably faster than anyone else. These last five years have been the best stretch in my Brewers life. 2 division titles. 4 playoff appearances. Meaningful baseball and fun young players. These last two, though, I will admit have been less aesthetically pleasing to me just based on the team's offensive approach. It's a league-wide thing, but it seems to hit the Crew hard. I hope that can be corrected to some extent this off-season. I think a Hader trade to a big market team (Yankees, Mets, Dodgers, Astros, even White Sox as an under the radar option) is likely. I think the strategy is to pitch guys who mostly go multiple innings. Have 7 starters and 5 long men in the pen. We've got the arms to do it. Beyond that, I know where I'll be this winter. Right here. Waiting for April, talking the occasional hoops and Packers. Big thanks to the mods and all of you. This is my favorite place on the internet, and there's no one, save maybe my dad, I'd rather talk baseball with. Eye Black, your game threads are the log lines of my summer. Big thanks to you especially.
  16. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Love it.
  17. Cool Hand Lucroy
    I like coming here for Brewers baseball. When does the hot stove start? I'm ready for a vacation, but I'll miss the sheer terror of playoff baseball until (hopefully) next October.
  18. Cool Hand Lucroy
    It's been fun watching these games with all of you. We'll believe together again next year. The good news is: these pitchers are very good.
  19. Cool Hand Lucroy
    That bad strike call makes Wily swing.... Not our night.
  20. Cool Hand Lucroy
    I have no idea what Wong is doing. If he did that on his own.....it's Cardinals voodoo... If he didn't....I cannot defend it on any level.
  21. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Escobar has been better than Schoop.
  22. Cool Hand Lucroy
    I mean, Freeman was due up third. Woody was never going to face him. Never. Nobody gives Freeman the platoon advantage in that situation. No manager would've. Now, the pitch selection, the no double-switch, that I'll go with. Do not understand either.
  23. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Yeah, Taylor's getting an AB to lead off the ninth. Hope it's in a tie.
  24. Cool Hand Lucroy
    I think it's a tough call, but you do not want to let your team fall behind with Hader on the bench.
  25. Cool Hand Lucroy
    Yeah, it's like having the third catcher is a new toy that must be played with....even though it sucks.
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