The Brewers have a 12.5 game lead with 16 games remaining. What you are suggesting is not an absolute statistical impossibility, but it is definitely toeing that line. I will get borderline nervous about the division if we don't clinch this weekend AND the cards 4 game sweep us next week. I'll also be incredibly nervous about what we'll do in the playoffs considering that will be pretty embarrassing this close to the playoffs. All that is pretty unlikely though. Most likely people should have their celebratory beer ready for this Sunday or Monday. Cards play the Padres this weekend and I'm kinda expecting SD to get 2 of 3. For the Brewers to clinch this weekend they’d have to get the “preferred” result in 5 of the 6 games (Cubs-Brewers and Padres-Cards). Considering that the Cubs have gotten a little more competitive than when the Brewers played them right after the fire sale (though the Giants disposed of them pretty easily last weekend) I’m really not expecting it to happen on Sunday. But, if they can get just 3 preferred results out of 6, that would set up the first of 4 potential clinchers on Monday. If the Brewers don’t clinch the division during the Cardinals series next week, that would be aggravating on two levels. I don’t think anyone wants to see the Brewers drag this out, and if they don’t clinch by then it would mean that the Cardinals have taken a commanding position in the wild card race. Monday should be an interesting day.