BruisedCrew
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Everything posted by BruisedCrew
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They came up with a good time for a 5 game winning streak, but a 3 game lead can come and go in a hurry.
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I think recent Brewer teams that have a bunch of players who can play multiple positions has lessened that advantage....their roster seems like it's pretty deep with their bench, and they can play platoon advantage with the DH depending on the handedness of the pitcher rather than just run out their everyday DH like most AL teams do now. If Adames and Taylor were available the Brewers would have more opportunities to get a pretty good bat in the DH slot.
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With Adames out this is the best lineup the Brewers can put out there. Here’s hoping the Brewers can get to this mediocre pitcher and start to put a dent in the AL Central hex.
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Well, I'll put it another way then. If Willy Adames did it on October 13th, 2021 in a playoff game, I don't think anyone would have any idea what play we were talking about 5 years later. I agree with you. Also, every one of the thousand or so times I’ve seen that play, I wonder if the out call would have been upheld by replay. Was the tag really applied before the runner’s foot hit the plate?
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I'm 46. I was at game 3 of the 1982 WS. I was 30 and attended all 6 postseason games. That took care of two consecutive weekends.
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I think you might be surprised if you looked at some of the Brewers September weeknight crowds in 1982. Brewers attendance has always been bolstered by things like groups and out of town visitors and those things largely disappear in September when schools and the activities associated with them start. Miller Park helped because it eliminates the weather factor that can also affect attendance. The Brewers have also made major inroads in marketing the team since then, and the improvement in the quality of the team that began in the mid 2000’s and has been fueled by playoff appearances has added even more. They also have sold a lot of tickets in the form of 10, 20, and 40 game packages that guarantee a minimum number of tickets sold for almost every game. Years ago it was pretty much full season or nothing.
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We could have a thread about the playoff projection systems and the assumptions they use that go into the simulations they run to produce those probabilities. Some of them provide more details about how they create their models than others, but when you see those assumptions, it helps to explain why I don’t treat a 95% chance produced by these models the same as I might for something for which mathematical probabilities are certain, like tossing a coin, rolling a pair of dice, picking a card out of a deck, spinning a roulette wheel, etc. I think all of the models start with some attempt to place a value on the team. The 538 site provides a pretty thorough explanation of how they do that, and they say it is based on just the last 100 games. It also says that they look at things like margin of victory, and that would likely lead to considering the Dodgers the strongest team in MLB based on things like their run differential, not just the won-loss record. They currently have the Giants at 51% to win the division to the Dodgers 49%, essentially a tossup despite the Giants 2 game lead. That probably also reflects a difference in strength of the remaining schedule. There are a lot of things the models can’t account for immediately, like the effect of injuries or teams shedding or obtaining impact players. So, I look at them for information and entertainment, but I wouldn’t assume that the probabilities they produce are that precise.
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I’d be curious what others who were adults in 1982 think, but I think this season is significantly different. For one thing, the teams themselves were quite different. The 82 team, after it’s dreary first two months, won mainly with offense combined with adequate enough pitching. But the biggest difference is that this September is a joyride compared to the emotional roller coaster of September 1982 as the Brewers tried to hold off the hard charging Orioles. As late as two outs in the last of the 8th in game 162, the outcome was in doubt. Not until Ben Oglivie’s sliding catch that might have prevented the 3 tying runs, followed by 5 two out runs in the top of the ninth, could most Brewers fans exhale. Anyone who lived through that, and has no desire to repeat it, should understand why some of us weren’t resting easy with a 7 game lead in mid August. This is much more fun.
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If you use Chrome, right click is your friend NOTE: I didn't actually try that on the Sheffield image, and now that I have I don't condone whatever interweb journey that leads you to...lol I’m almost always on an iPad.
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Hader didn’t fool anybody but the job got done.
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You guys need to put labels, or at least hints, on some of these pictures.
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Magic Number down to Davey May.
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Those wasted opportunities are really looking big now.
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Another less than satisfying inning despite the run.
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Good base running by Peralta, but I hate seeing a pitcher sliding into the plate.
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Have to bury this guy now. At least get the two runners in.
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Let Gibson off the hook.
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Bradley really needs to learn how to take HBPs.
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Cain has to take one of those outside pitches to right center. Or just wave at it helplessly.
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Some of those pitches weren’t missing by much but the last one did.
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Five straight balls to Narvaez and the count is 3-2. Then he delivers a double on ball 6.
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Ouch. Yelich swinging at ball four.
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Took Houser two starts before he got back to form. If Peralta isn't back to full form tonight I wouldn't panic. Houser had Covid, or at least a positive test. Peralta had “shoulder soreness” and apparently didn’t say anything about it until after he had to exit the game in St. Louis. You have to wonder if there is more to his problems than just being rusty.
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Guessing the White Sox would be the AL team to cause price to go way up, simply due to opposing team interest. Not sure any other team is likely to really travel to Milwaukee, the rest are a ways away. Earlier series tickets usually cost less, but since any fan not fossilizing hasn't seen a Brewers World Series I am guessing that will fuel any early games they hold. $800 might not be a bad guess. The Indians would have been a decent price comp had they not played the Cubs, who caused their home games to be way inflated cost wise. On the flip side I would bet NLDS/NLCS tickets if/when they happen will be much cheaper than past postseason runs. I resent the comment about fossilizing fans.