BruisedCrew

If he’s lucky.

Just what the Brewers needed...another short start from Peralta.

Do those playoff probabilities take into account player moves made at the deadline? Or do they give greater weight to a team’s more recent performance? And I don’t mean most recent as in the last week or two, but do they at least give the last month or two more weight in projecting future performance than performance in April and May? If not, they are, in my opinion, worthless, just like they were in 2014 when they showed the Brewers with a high playoff probability at the beginning of September when anyone with two eyes and a brain could see that they were falling apart. I’m not expecting an epic collapse like 2014, but I think there are several teams that are better positioned for the stretch run.

The Brewers position is looking very shaky. They are clinging to a playoff spot in the “If the season ended today...” scenario, but there are several factors that I don’t think work in their favor. 1. The Brewers have been treading water for a few months and have lost ground to every one of the other playoff contenders except for the Nationals. The bullpen that was so strong for much of the season is now fading. 2. If you believe the grades that the supposed experts give out, the Brewers did less to improve themselves at the trade deadline than any other playoff contender. So, it may be difficult for the Brewers to stop the downward trend as they play nothing but contenders and the improved Reds the rest of the way. 3. The Diamondbacks and the Dodgers did the most to help themselves, and I think those teams are both likely to pull away from the Brewers. Their starting pitcher rotations are vastly superior to the Brewers, and now that the Brewers bullpen is fading those 5 inning starts aren’t going to cut it. The Hamels acquisition may prove to be the move that pushes the Cubs to the best record in the league. 4. The Nationals have underperformed all year, but they are showing signs of pulling it together. They and the Phillies and Braves have the advantage of being in the same division as the Mets and Marlins, and they all have multiple series against those teams the rest of the way. 5. My gut feeling is that the best the Brewers can realistically hope for is to pull out the last wild card spot in a battle with the 3 teams from the east and the Rockies. When they first added the second wild card team I said that it hardly feels like your team was in the playoffs if they lose as the road team in the wild card game. I still feel that way: for me the biggest thrill in the Brewers getting to the playoffs comes from being able to attend at least one home playoff game, as I have in each of their other playoff appearances.

JJ only pitched 14. 13 were strikes. 2 Ks. Clearly he could have finished and we wouldnt be in a tie for the wildcard now. But we have seen this before this season with Corey. The silver lining in this is that Counsell will learn from this repeated error and finally allow JJ to finish or close. It chaps my ass when JJ or Hader only pitch 1 inning and yield to knebel or Barnes or anyone else. Makes no sense if the pitch count is less than 15. Im tired of the boys club, obviously Knebel is in it. Sheesh! It will be a lot less gut wrenching to blow the leads earlier in the game.

Now they’re 57-3, giving then a percentage that’s pretty much in line with league averages, especially for teams with winning records.

They won enough games in April and May to fluff up their record. Just like they did in 2007, 2014, and 2017. But for the last 10 weeks they have been a .500 team and are moving in the wrong direction as the bullpen that was the key to the early success is springing leaks all over.

Hard not to think we are seeing the Brewers collapse in front of our eyes. The bullpen has been a little shaky for a while now, and having Hader, Knebel, and Soria all get lit up by the Padres sure doesn’t bode well for the rest of the way.

Would be great to see a three up three down, painless 9th here. Have to wait to have that feeling another day.

Day game on getaway day against a left handed pitcher. Hoping for the Brewers to ride the getaway day lineup to an upset win.

Here come the Padres. Time to get Chacin out.

Yelich must feel like a bum being the only Brewer to make out unintentionally.

Padres have the Brewers right where they want them.

No matter how you slice it this is a terrible loss, especially after jumping to a 4-0 lead. The bullpen is really starting to leak oil.

Brewers really deserve to lose this game with some of the bonehead plays.

Then LePay gets awfully excited about a foul ball.

LePay got awfully excited about a ball that didn’t even reach the warning track.

At this rate 10 won’t be enough.

Hey, Burnes, worry about the hitter, not the big man on first base.

Brewers are looking like they decided after the first inning that they had the game won and could take the rest of the game off.

Looks like no indisputable evidence to overturn. So, they’ll overturn it. Huge blunder.

If there’s such a thing as momentum in a baseball game, the Brewers don’t have it. Not sure Anderson can make it through 5.

There’s a beautiful sight.

It might be just a purely random distribution of wins and losses, but it’s hard not to wonder if the use of “Sunday (or last day of series) lineups” are a factor.

It’s not just Sundays. They have been terrible in the last games of series. By my count, they have lost the last 7, and since June 1 they are 3-14 with one rainout.