Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

BruisedCrew

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,192

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by BruisedCrew

  1. BruisedCrew
    I “literally” only brought up the Angels when you said it would be very hard to come up with an example. Then you got upset when I immediately gave you one. The reality and cold hard evidence is that a 95% chance of success means a 5% chance of something that most fans (most likely including you) would find very upsetting. So they don’t like to get too far ahead of themselves. I have a pretty good idea what a 95% probability is. It’s about the same as the probability that any of my posts will receive one of those cute little thumbs down comments that you are so fond of.
  2. BruisedCrew
    There you go again with the hyperbole. Saying in mid August that a race is not over does not mean that someone is tied up in knots over doomsday scenarios. It is simply a recognition that stuff happens and many of us have seen stuff happen to teams we root for. Maybe you should just let people feel how they feel and express their thoughts instead of going outof your way to try to convince them they shouldn’t feel that way.
  3. BruisedCrew
    Did the projections not recognize and account for that?
  4. BruisedCrew
    I have not ignored anything. As usual, you, and several others, are completely missing the main point I have always made about this. That is that 95% is not 100%. So, even if we accept that these percentages (made by the same people who projected the Brewers to win less than 80 games) are perfectly, mathematically accurate, having a 95% chance of winning a division or making the playoffs does not mean, as one poster on this board put it a few years ago, that the race is “statistically over”. That seemed to be a bastardization of the concept of margin of error in a statistical sampling. I think the difference here is in how comfortable people are with a 5% chance of something they want very badly going haywire. The reason I hoped Brock would weigh in is to get a first hand perspective on how it feels to see a 95% chance drop to 60% in about 2 weeks. I suspect several of you would not be feeling that great if it was the Brewers in this position.
  5. BruisedCrew
    Now that the Brewers have mathematically clinched the division, maybe I can bring this up without the usual suspects concluding that I am "scared" of another team catching the Brewers. Maybe Brock can comment on how secure a fan should feel when the projection sites give his favorite team a 95% chance of making the playoffs. Fangraphs had the Twins playoff probability at 95.4% as recently as September 2. Now the Twins are holding on to the final AL playoff spot by a half game over the Tigers, whose playoff percentage in mid August was 0.2%. Even if the Tigers late surge falls short, it is another reminder that big turnarounds happen in baseball quite often.
  6. BruisedCrew
    At least play through the weekend and see where you are. They also kind of owe it to the league to not hand wins to the DBacks. In 2021 they muddled through the last couple,of weeks and it continued into the playoffs.
  7. BruisedCrew
    There were streamers and fireworks.
  8. BruisedCrew
    Did they assign someone to watch Williams so he doesn’t punch any walls?
  9. BruisedCrew
    Great way to end the day.
  10. BruisedCrew
    Out
  11. BruisedCrew
    Please don’t talk about Castellanos struggling.
  12. BruisedCrew
    I’m a little nervous about Megill , throwing straight fast balls to some of these hitters.
  13. BruisedCrew
    Have any of the Brewers strikeouts come on pitches within a foot of the strike zone?
  14. BruisedCrew
    I’m not sure why anyone would care what Kato Kaylin says or thinks or who he roots for.
  15. BruisedCrew
    Brewers hitters look more interested in getting to the post game champagne than battling Nola tonight.
  16. BruisedCrew
    A lot of Brewers looked overmatched tonight. So nice to have one of those horses that you can count on for 7 solid innings more often than not.
  17. BruisedCrew
    Happ’s second HR of the night pulls the Cubs to within a run. Now 2 outs.
  18. BruisedCrew
    Adames has suddenly fallen into one of those ruts where he’s pulling off of everything
  19. BruisedCrew
    I was cringing last night when the announcers were talking about how much Castellanos has struggled since being put into the cleanup spot.
  20. BruisedCrew
    Rea only went 2.2 but he got the save because the tying run was on deck when he came in.
  21. BruisedCrew
    Very solid win.
  22. BruisedCrew
    Turner yes, but I wouldn’t call Stephenson trying to get to third with one out boneheaded.
  23. BruisedCrew
    Doesn’t look,like the A’s will be helping to lower the magic number tonight. Cubs 6-0 in the second.
  24. BruisedCrew
    With Bohm back, this might be the first time in quite awhile that the Phillies have had their full everyday lineup available.
  25. BruisedCrew
    And the Brewers still haven’t won a game this year after trailing by 5 runs.
×
×
  • Create New...