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BruisedCrew

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Everything posted by BruisedCrew

  1. BruisedCrew
    This is the start of a very difficult stretch of 13 games. The Giants park is not a good spot for a team that depends heavily on HRs to score runs as the Brewers have in recent weeks. Then 10 games against playoff teams still playing for position. I want the Brewers to have the division clinched before our next game on Sunday the 22nd..
  2. BruisedCrew
    I think there’s a good chance the Braves would be favored over the Brewers now that some of their injured players are back. I think the Braves superior veteran talent would be the biggest factor.
  3. BruisedCrew
    That doesn’t necessarily follow mathematically. The Brewers have a virtually 100% chance of reaching the playoffs. The Braves and Mets have the additional hurdle of reaching the playoffs which lowers their chances of reaching or winning the World Series. My question is who do we think,would be favored in a series between the Brewers and Mets or Brewers and Braves.
  4. BruisedCrew
    Do you think the Brewers would be betting favorites against any of the likely wild card teams, even with the home field?
  5. BruisedCrew
    Let me be perfectly clear. Just because I am not excited about the playoffs at this point does not mean that I think it would be better if they weren't in the playoffs or that I do not enjoy seasons in which they make the playoffs. But, compared to seasons like 1981, 1982, 2011, 2018, 2019, and 2021, when I thought the Brewers had a real chance to make a deep run in the playoffs, I am not seeing that chance this year. My outlook would change if the Brewers could win the first series instead of bowing out meekly like they have in their last few playoff appearances. Apparently some people think the two are incompatible, but I absolutely can enjoy a ride without expressing some less than rosy expectations for how that ride will end up. BTW, I intentionally left out 2008 above because, while I was very excited about the Brewers making the playoffs for the first time in 26 years, it was apparent the way the Brewers slogged through September that they weren't going far in the playoffs. They were struggling to score runs, were playing so tight that Yost was fired, and squeezed every last ounce of juice out of Sabbathia just to nose into the wild card spot, taking advantage of the Mets collapse in the last week. It was great to be able to accompany my daughters to see their first playoff game (which the Brewers won) but having to use Jeff Suppan in an elimination game against the Phillies pretty much highlights how bad the Brewers situation was after Sheets was injured.
  6. BruisedCrew
    I definitely wouldn’t call it a failure. But I am probably less excited about the Brewers being in the playoffs than I have ever been, not counting 2020, which wasn’t a real season and the Brewers were a pretty bad team.
  7. BruisedCrew
    I remember hearing the same things in 2021 as the Brewers staggered to the finish, losing 12 of their last 18 games. That slump continued right into the playoff series against the Braves. The difficult schedule the next two weeks will be an interesting test.
  8. BruisedCrew
    After sitting through today's snoozefest, I think I should be excused for not having confidence that this Brewers team can score enough runs to win a playoff series. The Brewers now have the distinction of being only the third team this season to lose a home series to the Rockies. I'll bet the other two haven't gone 0-4 in series against the Marlins and Nationals too. This team sure does have a knack for coming up with stinkers against terrible teams. It's surprising they managed to sweep 3 hard fought games against the White Sox
  9. BruisedCrew
    From the trailer, it looks like the documentary is as much about the impact.the team had on the community as it is about the team itself.
  10. BruisedCrew
    I guess it depends on what you expected from the Packers in the first place. For anyone who expected the Packers to go 13-4 there’s probably a lot of #1. But I think #2 is clearly true..Having to go to a backup QB with NfL experience who has been with the team through camp is one thing, But the Packers don’t have that. They have someone who came in late and has to develop chemistry with the team on the fly.
  11. BruisedCrew
    Huge difference between a losing a QB on a team with no credible backup and losing a running back.
  12. BruisedCrew
    Obviously, an MCL sprain is a lot better than an ACL tear, but it’s still probably enough to torpedo this season. The situation would not look quite as dire if the Packers had a real back up quarterback that had worked with them through training camp instead of someone they picked up off the scrap heap just before the season started.
  13. BruisedCrew
    I think no news is no news.
  14. BruisedCrew
    It was a frustrating game with the penalties, red zone failures, and too porous defense. But I also recognize it as a first game on a field that had a significant impact on both teams. So, for me it all comes down to Love’s status. If he has to miss any significant time the Packers aren’t making the playoffs. Period. No medical experience but a lot of time observing sports injuries. The fact that Love was walking after the game gives me no comfort. I’ve seen many players with torn ACL’s walk off the field (Jordy Nelson) or even continue playing (remember Gallardo in 2008?). So, I can’t rule that out, and almost expect it. Best case is probably a ligament strain that keeps him out a few weeks. If it’s no worse than that the season could be saved. If they have to play 4 games without Love they’ll be lucky to win one.
  15. BruisedCrew
    Might not be much more to talk about with the Packers anyway if Love tore his ACL.
  16. BruisedCrew
    There is an “Other Sports” forum on this board where people can (and do) discuss the Packers. (Posted this reply while scrolling and didn’t see that others had pointed this out).
  17. BruisedCrew
    There’s a reason to be tagging, but not running.
  18. BruisedCrew
    Great way to end the game.
  19. BruisedCrew
    Contreras had a brief resurgence but he’s back in the doldrums. 0 for the week with a lot of K’s.
  20. BruisedCrew
    Phillies already up 6-0 on the Marlins. Like the Cubs playoff hopes, the Brewers hopes for getting a bye are looking pretty slim with the schedule they have coming up.
  21. BruisedCrew
    They both have an uphill fight to catch both the Mets and Braves.
  22. BruisedCrew
    Cubs lose to Yankees 3-0. The Cubs playoff hopes have hit a snag the last few days as the Mets hot streak has put both the Mets and Braves 4.5 games ahead.in the race for the last wild card spot. The Cardinals can move into a tie with the Cubs for second in the division with a win tonight.
  23. BruisedCrew
    I was looking at Fangraphs which is what I seem to see cited here most often. It isn’t that I “don’t like” projection systems, but I don’t like it when they are treated as if they are mathematically proveable probabilities instead of the compilation of estimates that they are. Any system that projects the Brewers as the team most likely to win the World Series is inherently suspect given that the Brewers are likely to have an extra round to win than 4 other teams will have.
  24. BruisedCrew
    I only mentioned the position players because you cited the 14 run game.as recent evidence of the Brewers offense. I fully understand that those games are blips in the context of the season. There have been several treatises written here telling me how wrong I am and restating the obvious about how baseball works. If you think my opinion about the Brewers offense is based just on the last 2 games you are missing the point. My broader point is that playoff baseball can be a lot different than regular season baseball, and a team like the Brewers with so many inexperienced players is not, in my opinion, well suited for playoff baseball when the teams with more experience will really be bearing down. Let me ask this. People,like to cite the Fangraphs projections on things like probability of making the playoffs. Why do the Brewers have a lower projected percentage for winning the World Series than teams like the Padres and Diamondbacks that have lower probabilities of making the playoffs in the first place? It must be that the projections view the Brewers as a weaker team than some others that they would be facing in the playoffs.
  25. BruisedCrew
    Not sure who said the sky is falling over the last two games. The concern is whether the offense is likely to produce against the best pitchers on a playoff team. Scoring 10 runs in the ninth inning against a bottom of the bullpen pitcher and a catcher are not very relevant to that.
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