On the run scoring, after scoring 87 runs in their unsustainably hot 10-3 start (6.69 RPG) the Brewers have scored 268 in their next 61 games (4.39 RPG).
In June, they have scored 61 runs in 17 games (3.59 RPG).
Given the steady downward trend in scoring over the last two months, a projection of 4.46 RPG the rest of the way doesn’t seem unreasonable.
The pitching has been leading the team for the last few weeks, and apparently the projections don’t expect that to continue. So, they project the Brewers to go about .500 the rest of the way. Unless one of the other teams in the division can put something together, that could easily be good enough to win the division at 88-74.