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CheeseheadInQC

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Everything posted by CheeseheadInQC

  1. CheeseheadInQC
    Unless the MLB was trying to fold in the older foreign professionals, I thought what you were talking about was eliminated in the last CBA in favor of a hard-capped system, albeit one where you could trade some of the money to a different team (I believe international draft picks could be traded under the proposal I heard, which would be analogous). From the stories you hear, the system is clearly broken and I think this is the best solution, but the owners waiting to toss this potentially contentious issue out there until this close to the deadline also almost seems like a concerted effort to "beat" the union or blow things up.
  2. CheeseheadInQC
    Most of these assumptions are based on just the players currently in the union going away and all the top prospects being just fine with the union being broken. That's not happening. Excluding a couple of long past their prime veterans looking for a way back into the league, the replacement players during the last strike were hardly the creme de la creme of baseball prospectdom. Guys like Kevin Millar and Damien Miller were about as good as it got for their future careers. I enjoy watching minor league baseball games at the ballpark, but I've been to games where a pitcher threw four or five straight in the dirt to a catcher so immobile that he had to just lunge backward to smother the ball after it bounced off the backstop and rolled back to him. Let's not pretend the product wouldn't suffer a great deal to the point where attendance and viewership would be significantly affected. It's not about it being THESE players, it's about the overall caliber of play.
  3. CheeseheadInQC
    I still say tie revenue sharing dollars to payroll. If more is going to the small market teams that are actually spending it would also break down the players’ argument against it.
  4. CheeseheadInQC
    When they offer to move 35% from their position and the owners move 5% then they are "giving up" more than the owners. What the owners have offered/agreed to is a $150,000 raise to minimum wage and $25M for a bonus pool. If 10 players per roster are on minimum and the bonus pool went through that's roughly $2.3M committed (per team) more salary, let's round up to $75M for all teams. Where else have the owners promised? $10M in the luxury tax cap that about 8 teams might use? another $80M? So the total payroll for baseball was about ~$3.57B last year compared to a high of ~$4.0B in 2017. That's a $155M commitment of more salary while salaries have gone down $430M. Yep, those are pretty equal. I truly feel a lot of that 430million in reduced salaries has a lot more to do the the new way of evaluating player worth in free agency, than in just general cheapness of the powners The problem with that line of thinking is you are both acknowledging that there have been fundamental changes that involve salary while still arguing that the baseline should be a CBA agreed to under a previous set of assumptions. I can understand the owners not wanting to make fundamental changes to the current system given it would be tough for them to reach consensus among themselves let alone with the players, but you can look at not getting the kind of structural changes that would account for the new status quo as what the players are giving up.
  5. CheeseheadInQC
    Funny thing about that is, the Angels, Diamondbacks and Tigers are all bigger markets. You'd think teams like the Royals, Rays, A's and Brewers would be the ones who opposed it. Looks like the guys who don't want to see extra spending are teams that are poorly managed. This is the same assumption that a number of the MLB radio hosts made when it came out four teams were opposed, assuming that it would be the small markets and going on an extended rant about the Pirates. The problem with this is that I think it overlooks the true purpose of the CBT. It isn't really to reign in the spending of the top-top teams, and it isn't to make things better for the small market teams. It is to give the middle and upper middle revenue teams a built-in excuse not to spend more. It was always going to be the teams in this category that were going to oppose its rise. It is just like Manfred wanting to have the ability to further limit the number of minor league players, which only makes sense (since there is nothing saying they need to have a second complex league team, and many don't) if you look at it through the lens of forcing something to protect the owners from looking cheap.
  6. CheeseheadInQC
    The irony of this is, to me, the current stripped down look is great for mobile browsing for me because it satisfies my two criteria 1) No functionality lost and 2) It doesn't burn through my battery at breakneck speed (there are a couple of sports forums/sites that I basically can't look at if I'm not somewhere I can charge my phone immediately after). Anytime a site changes its look to seem prettier on mobile devices, it usually only succeeds in breaking one or the other.
  7. CheeseheadInQC
    I've seen a lot of guys like Quero come and go at this point. My opinion has turned into wake me when their crushing A+ at least. Although now that we have 3 highly rated young intl guys, maybe we'll finally hit with 1 of them. I'm not saying that Quero is the best prospect in the system (I'd have him in the 6-8 range), just that he is among the best positioned to rocket up the type of lists that are being posted here. Premium position, enough hype not to be considered a pop-up prospect, etc.
  8. CheeseheadInQC
    If the players want to decrease revenue sharing because they say the small market owners are pocketing it, why not instead propose to link it to payroll, with teams below it either losing all or a portion on a sliding scale based on amount under of their revenue sharing funds to be distributed to the teams getting revenue sharing funds that spent over it? It would set up a pseudo floor the same way the luxury tax is a pseudo cap.
  9. CheeseheadInQC
    It appears as if one of the bigger knocks on the Brewers' system (along with pitching depth) is the lack of that true No. 1, top 25 overall type prospect. Thinking about who could be that guy if they have one after this coming year, Wiemer and Mitchell seem like the obvious picks, but I wonder if the guy with the clearest path there might not be Quero. A catching prospect who it seems like everyone agrees will stick behind the plate and has no makeup issues. If he can come even close to replicating his complex league stats across the A-ball levels this coming season, I have to think he's the system's biggest riser.
  10. CheeseheadInQC
    Cool to see some of the guys from Stearns & company's increased effort in the international market starting to make their way stateside, get some good reports & hopefully start climbing the ladder. After hitting 296/386/447 with 23 BB / 28 K in the Dominican complex league last summer gotta imagine that Jackson Chourio should be headed for Arizona this summer. It's a bit of a random assemblage of stats, but Chourio was one of five Brewers prospects with a K rate below 15%, a walk rate above 10% and an ISO above .100. It seemed like he started a bit slow, but that was a nice season he had. (The others were Quero, Mendez, Frelick and Valerio.)
  11. CheeseheadInQC
    Maybe I'm wrong, but I question if sometimes the hype overstates how easy it is to win a lot of skiing medals. I remember Bode Miller's career being vaguely underwhelming given the hype and yet I looked yesterday and he is tied for second all-time among Olympic skiers in total medals won. The aforementioned Mancuso is tied for fifth among women. Michael Phelps won as many medals at one Olympics as the all time leader in skiing medals, Kjetil André Aamodt, won in his entire career.
  12. CheeseheadInQC
    Long overdue for Butler. Interesting class without an offensive skill position player or high-profile edge rusher.
  13. CheeseheadInQC
    I guess some of this is your definition of "buying low." I know Pham was mentioned earlier, and I think the best bet for a cheaper bat would be the bottom falling out of the market for him or one of the Atlanta reclamation projects. A lot of the others seem like $10 million+ even if that they get less than expected.
  14. CheeseheadInQC
    Yah, there is a difference between not doing everything to win (playing young players over veterans to get them experience, roster construction, etc.) and playing to lose.
  15. CheeseheadInQC
    Janis was on the Packers in 2017, so it hasn't been that long. But I think not employing those proven vet special teamers the last few years is more of a problem than the roster construction issues you mentioned earlier. Carrying five tight ends is no different than carrying three tight ends and two fullbacks like they used to, and the developmental offensive linemen didn't occupy a space on the gameday roster (usually 7-8 active regardless of how many are on the roster) and the poster child for developmental offensive linemen ended up being pretty crucial this year.
  16. CheeseheadInQC
    The commissioner's office gave the writers such a blatant out on Ortiz's test it almost felt like Manfred was campaigning for him as well.
  17. CheeseheadInQC
    While I agree relievers are undervalued prospect-wise, I don't know that pitchers who come up as relievers are necessarily "safer" because as soon as these prospects reach the level of "safe," they are up in the majors as they aren't generally fully blocked or held back for service time reasons. Cousins progressed from indy signing to surprise NRI to the big league roster so fast (allowing for COVID year) that even Fangraphs, the outlet that had Uribe 12th, Topa 28th and judging by his ranking at midseason probably would have had Reifert in the top 30 as well, ended up issuing a little mea culpa for not mentioning him last year. With Barker, the fact that the Brewers haven't really treated him like a prospect certainly should be taken into account in considering his likelihood of contributing in Milwaukee, although I would like to see him get a shot in the majors somewhere, even if it isn't with the Brewers.
  18. CheeseheadInQC
    For all the heat the writers take, put some on the Hall itself. Some writers asked for guidance on dealing with PEDs and apparently got crickets until the Joe Morgan letter.
  19. CheeseheadInQC
    Don't mean to look ahead too quickly, but unless I am missing a potential first-timer next season, it really does seem like Rolen or bust in 2023. I can't see Helton or Wagner making up that much ground and none of the other returners were even over 50%.
  20. CheeseheadInQC
    I’m not exactly a fan of his, but reaching two AFC title games with Mark Sanchez as your QB is about as impressive a resume opener as you can get.
  21. CheeseheadInQC
    Some of this I imagine is because the Brewers are one of the organizations that has the maximum number of complex teams. Also, while 33 represents a bigger signing class than usual for Milwaukee, I wonder if it is partially a case of semantics. The number of hitters is pretty consistent with, if not slightly lower than, the last two years (especially in the outfield). The big difference is in the number of pitchers, and while I believe it would have been slightly higher than last year regardless, it might have been made larger by announcing a lot of the signings of "older" pitchers along with the rest instead of having word of those signings trickle in throughout the offseason as I think they have in the past.
  22. CheeseheadInQC
    I'm kind of of the mind to just give it to Kupp this year. As good as Rodgers and Brady have been (and I'd put Rodgers above Brady in that discussion), neither really felt like an sure-fire MVP season as much as just the year's best quarterback seasons. It would be the worst of Rodgers' MVP seasons, and I'm not sure it is all that close. I know the offensive player of the year award exists, but if there was ever a year to show that the MVP can still go to a position other than QB, this feels like it should be it.
  23. CheeseheadInQC
    Not to mention Favre's recent issues, but I digress ... My biggest problem with this article isn't him not voting for Rodgers, it's not weighing the off the field stuff. I honestly don't have an issue with either of those things. It's the fact that the language used makes it very apparent that this was written with the express purpose of Hub making Hub the story. If he had written a measured piece that had forgone the hyperbolic language and simply said something like "In a year of great performances and several worthy candidates, it is impossible not to consider the totality of Rodgers' year when deciding who I choose to single out and celebrate with my vote, therefore I will be voting for (insert Taylor or Kupp here)" it probably wouldn't have caused such a ruckus. I do think the way the NFL does the MVP voting (pick one rather than a ranked list like baseball) works to Rodgers' advantage, but I expect all four of the main candidates to get at least five votes.
  24. CheeseheadInQC
    While I’m not a racing fan, Indianapolis Motor Speedway probably deserves to be on the list. I’d second the Coliseum as well.
  25. CheeseheadInQC
    Between the lack of data he cited and the lack of instructs, it does feel a lot less interesting than Fangraphs' ones have in the past and in some instances predictable (he's going to be lower on Perez than most, higher on Lazar than most, and there will be a Cam Robinson mention), but you still see at least a sentence on a lot of guys that seem unlikely to be in any of the other system overviews (an Alexander Cornielle note!). And he is not averse to including bullpen prospects.
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