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CheeseheadInQC

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Everything posted by CheeseheadInQC

  1. CheeseheadInQC
    It will be interesting, given how few innings he has thrown, if they try to stretch Zhao out or just make him a reliever at this point. They must be impressed if they sent him to the AFL. If it was just about getting more innings, they could have done that in instructs. Otherwise, nothing that stands out too much. Kelly, Hintzen and Floyd seemed like solid bets (building up innings for Kelly and top two AA relievers for the others) and if they decided not to send Small, there was destined to be starter who had a kind of ho-hum season on the list (Jarvis). Uribe being healthy is a nice. Never heard what his injury was and was fearing the worst.
  2. CheeseheadInQC
    It was a lot closer than that by every measure except Baseball Reference WAR. Fangraphs had Verlander, Sale and Porcello between 5.4 and 5.1. Verlander had a slightly better ERA, Porcello had a slightly better FIP. Verlander struck out more but Porcello led the league in K/BB thanks to a low walk rate. I still probably would have leaned Verlander, but I never viewed that one as particularly awful. Back to this year, Urias could factor in, though, as a spoiler if he denies Burnes the sabermetric triple crown, which would be a nice feather in Burnes’ cap.
  3. CheeseheadInQC
    A few of the undrafted guys, including Reifert and Campbell, had solid or better first seasons as well.
  4. CheeseheadInQC
    I can’t say I am familiar with her basketball work, but I thought she did a good job on BTN football broadcasts.
  5. CheeseheadInQC
    Late start kept him from getting a ton of innings, but Lun Zhao has made the most of the ones he has gotten. Will be interesting to see if he starts next year in Carolina.
  6. CheeseheadInQC
    I'd have a hard time giving it to Buehler right now. Pretty much every rate stat, if you rank the four favorites, he is third or fourth. He strikes out the fewest and walks the most. He is third in ERA, third in WHIP, fourth in FIP, fourth in xFIP, fourth in hard hit percentage, third in exit velocity, third in HR/9. Unless the only two things you look at are ERA and innings pitched, it is tough to justify giving it to him. If you place a high value on innings pitched, at this point just give it to Wheeler. By the way, Burnes in the only one of the four who wasn't last in any of those categories. I don't believe he is even third in any of them.
  7. CheeseheadInQC
    I've got a feeling Lujano (final year before minor league free agency I believe, have to push him) and one of the Mitchell, Howell, Lutz group start next season at AAA, and Rodriguez, Gray and Frelick are joined by Campbell and Bello in A+. Ward and Castillo almost have to be moved up because of time in the system (and Castillo, at least, has been putting up good numbers) and Wiemer seems to be forcing his way to Biloxi.
  8. CheeseheadInQC
    I guess I don't understand how it retroactively diminishes Nieves'. Everyone knew that pitchers would be treated even more cautiously this year, especially those like Burnes who don't have a history of piling up innings. Is it as cool as if Burnes had finished it off, no. But it is still pretty cool, especially in the context of how dominating Burnes has been this season.
  9. CheeseheadInQC
    While this will inevitably change with trades, injuries, etc., there is a legitimate chance that next season, for the first time in who knows how long, the opening day lineups for all the full season teams don’t include a minor league free agent and where the only player who has even played for a different organization is Valerio. Big change from recent years. And most have at least some prospect status.
  10. CheeseheadInQC
    It feels tougher to gauge the competition level in the ACL this year because of the combining of the two rookie ball levels, but regardless, Hendry Mendez is having quite the season. Going to be interesting to see if they start him at Carolina next year.
  11. CheeseheadInQC
    Gabe Holt has been at his most Gabe Holt since jumping two levels. Lots of singles, very few strikeouts (2 in 34 plate appearances I think).
  12. CheeseheadInQC
    This is where I'm at too. I think there is a good chance they are in the top 15 as far as bats go (Don't know enough about the other systems to be able to say it definitively). Next year their Carolina pitching staff will likely include some combination of the trio of recent promotions taking their lumps now (Figueroa, Rodriguez, Cornielle), the pair of JUCO picks, a few guys who spent at least part of this year hurt (Ramirez, Puello, Ramey) and maybe Segura or Zhao. They could really use a few of those guys to break through and become legitimate prospects in a way that this year's crop of sleepers like Vassalotti never managed to.
  13. CheeseheadInQC
    It has been nice to see the never officially on the injured list but just not playing Drew Smith in the ACL lineup the last two days.
  14. CheeseheadInQC
    Yah, despite the time missed, it is almost certainly going to be Small. Luna’s season was cut short too, Ashby has probably spent too much time in the majors to win, giving it to Barker would be adding insult to injury, Reifert and Floyd haven’t done quite enough to win it out of the bullpen, and there is no way they dig down to the complex leagues for Segura. I would lean Valerio for player of the year, but there are several other options I would understand too.
  15. CheeseheadInQC
    I mean if you're saying more physically talented, maybe, but has EQ really shown enough that we can say he's a better receiver? What exactly is his game? He's fast, but not consistently flat-out outrun corners fast like MVS. He's big, but doesn't seem skilled at playing receiver bully-ball like Lazard. I don't know that he's quick enough to really be a top-tier route runner. Has he really shown a plus skill other than having a big catch radius? The guy was a sixth-round pick for a reason, and it wasn't just his dad. He was more of a project than the pre-draft hype suggested, and be it the injuries or whatever, he hasn't seemed to develop enough to push his way onto the field in what is now a decidedly more crowded receiver room. Honestly, if the early camp hype on Winfree is accurate, it wouldn't shock me if EQ is eighth on the depth chart once both are healthy.
  16. CheeseheadInQC
    The offensive numbers for Miller were solid even before tonight. I wonder how his defense has been. Haven’t seen a scouting report since the draft.
  17. CheeseheadInQC
    Not really surprised by Cornielle or Montero, but I figured Rodriguez would be a “If he impresses in instructs he’ll start 2022 at Carolina” guy. He has improved as the season has gone on, though, and the Brewers have had him starting from Day 1, so hopefully there is something there they like.
  18. CheeseheadInQC
    No clue if he is a good prospect or not, but Miguel Segura continues to have one heck of a debut season. 4 innings, one hit, one walk, seven strikeouts.
  19. CheeseheadInQC
    Prior to this season, Felix Valerio had three home runs as a pro. He now has four in less than eight games for the Timber Rattlers. Man he is on some kind of roll.
  20. CheeseheadInQC
    Most teams use it to fill holes because those are usually the only types of players available, and two of the few hitters picked in the top 15 last year I don't believe had cracked full season ball yet. If I remember correctly last year the Brewers protected everyone except two pitchers who I don't believe had thrown a pitch in at least two seasons and the since released Bubba Derby. Even leaving eight spots for early minor league free agent signings and possibly picking a player themselves, do you honestly see 30 players on that list worth protecting more than Martinez? Some team would see the power-speed combo and say, given the price, why not.
  21. CheeseheadInQC
    It does feel like Zamora and Martinez are the most likely ones left to be promoted. Excluding guys who have been promoted in the last month and the complex league, the next two are probably older or more experienced relievers in Hasler and Chirino. Reifert has been dominant, but without the age (Hasler) or fast approaching minor league free agency (I think Chirino only one season left) issues, I don’t know that the Brewers have a major impetus to move him up. Similarly, it is seeming more and more likely, despite his success, that Fry will finish the year with Biloxi. Everyone else is probably a fringy promotion candidate with something working against them, be it age for level/position (Miller), the fact everyone is hitting in Carolina (Campbell) or the Brewers traditionally high bar for promoting relievers from AA to AAA (Hintzen).
  22. CheeseheadInQC
    I have been as big of a Brown fan as anyone, but if he didn’t go the last two years, I can’t see him being taken this year. Also, that is a bit of hyperbole on Martinez. I’m not even that bullish on him because of the swing and the strikeouts, but there is a better chance he goes #1 in the minor league phase than not get picked. I believe the last two guys the Brewers picked in the Rule 5 draft posted OPS’s in the .600 range the year before they were chosen. Unless someone like Barker asks to be exposed and the Brewers grant him it like I believe happened with a couple of guys (Halton and Gindl maybe) a number of years ago, the best prospect I could see them leaving available in the minor league phase is Jesus Lujano (position of organizational depth, one year left).
  23. CheeseheadInQC
    While there are a few people on this list who I am guessing the team might look to bring back on minor league deals, and there is always a chance that the Brewers either think by season's end they have fixed whatever plagued Dahl the last two years or become convinced that Westbrook's play on either side of his Olympic stint represents a legitimate breakout, the biggest questions about adding guys to the 40-man probably surround a pair of pitchers. The first is Perdomo, assuming he didn't sign a two-year minor league deal and his rehab is going well. The second is, of course, a contender for the organization's pitcher of the year award despite not being with the organization when the year started, Carlos Luna. Much will depend on Perdomo's rehab and if the Brewers think Luna has big league caliber stuff. I'd put both at 50/50.
  24. CheeseheadInQC
    Nice first stateside outing for Miguel Segura. 3 1/3 scoreless innings with two hits, one walk and four K's is a pretty solid way to start things.
  25. CheeseheadInQC
    I'll take a crack at this one. There's a decent chance I'm forgetting someone. Also, I'm going off of the rule of just including everyone whose careers started at or before 2015. There is a chance there is an indy ball player who just signed a one-year deal and would have to be reupped like I believe Cousins initially did or that someone like Luis Perdomo actually signed a two-year deal. None of that is covered here. (List since edited to match Baseball America's official list...) Nashville R.J. Alvarez, RHP Blaine Hardy, RHP Chad Sobotka, RHP Patrick Weigel, RHP Christian Kelley, C Zach Green, 3B Tim Lopes, INF Daniel Robertson, INF Keon Broxton, OF Derek Fisher, OF Matt Lipka, OF Eric Yardley, RHP Biloxi Jesus Castillo, RHP Leo Crawford, LHP Brooks Hall, RHP Alexander Palma, OF Mitch Longo, OF
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