Completely minor nitpick but Phi probably could be moved in the ATL/LAD tier. If I had to pick which one to put them in. Oddly, could probably argue they're in a separate tier on account of ATL/LAD being so good. So something like LAD/ATL big gap, Phi, big gap, everyone else, gap, trash teams. To keep it simple I'd probably just put them up with the top tier.
While I'd agree 23 is probably low and his write up probably too harsh I certainly get it. Our O has been bad for years, and we're banking on rookies and a guy who hasn't played in a year to improve it. Pitching lost two aces and replaced with youth/scrap heaps. On paper we have one reliable starting P and he normally is a 5 inning guy. One proven guy but he's old af. Then a bunch of guys who last year we'd have all mocked/rolled our eyes at as 'bullpen/punt days'. I get this site is gonna skew homer and we're all digging up ways to thinking folks like Collin Rea can ever be more than just mediocre filler guys. But from an outsiders view, they look at our rotation and see nothing to bank on (while having had a trash O for years).
So I get it. But following as close as people like us do along with the the homerism I said above there is a real justification behind trusting the management in regards to pitching, so like many of you I do expect them to do better than what it looks like on paper to an outsider. They've been doing this for years and keep producing results, so I give the benefit of the doubt and do think they'll be competitive and basically have as good a chance at the division as the other 3. Especially have to give them credit in regards to bullpen, which for hot take national writers that's hard to quantify since they're not as close to it as us. I guess in summary, I'm probably more pessimistic than the avg joe here, but more optimistic due to their P development track record than a writer like that. If Hall and Ashby prove to be our next Burnes/Woodruff all of a sudden we're onto something potentially big. But from a national writer, I get when he quickly looks at it goes well this uh doesn't look too hot.