Ok, let’s unpack this. The Packers are in the bottom third of the league in cap space already. They have Wyatt, Quay Walker, Sean Rhyan, all coming out of contract (Not to mention Rasheed Walker, Enagbare and Doubs), cap space is at a premium Cutting Jacobs saves them 8 million dollars in cap space. I’ll let you put Wyatt, Walker, and Jacobs in order of importance but if you’re being honest he’s 3rd (maybe even 4th depending how they view Rhyan’s solidification of the OL after moving in as a starter at C).
Now turning to production. The Packers have lightened his load this year, and his yard per attempt went down despite being rested more. His yards after contact are down significantly, likewise his broken tackles are way down, both of which also likely explain his lack of long runs. Then you dismiss lack of long runs and bring up touchdowns scored. What relevance do touchdowns scored have, especially when 8 of his 14 were from 3 yards out or less (Unless you think Wilson couldn’t have also barreled in from 3 yards away)?
You’re right, maybe they demand Jacobs take a huge pay cut for ‘26 and he comes back because he estimates he won’t do better as a free agent. Is that a player you really want as a starter?
But objectively, Jacobs is a 28 year old running back, with lots of mileage (more career carries than Saquon, Kamara or McCaffery who are all older), starting to have nagging injuries, his physicality is diminishing statistically, and he’s not a threat to take it to the house. When teams can often find starting tailbacks on the 3rd day of the draft, it’s not really a hard decision on Jacobs.