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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    The Brewers are in an awful market, one that really shouldn’t have an MLB team. Attanasio was a founding member of Crescent Capital, an investment firm, with over $50 billion dollars invested. Attanasio doesn’t need profits from the baseball team to finance his lifestyle. Nor has there been any evidence he hasn’t poured every dollar the Milwaukee market will bear back into baseball operations. Give the guy some credit for trying to come up with new revenue streams in the Milwaukee market to keep his team competitive in a sport where salaries have grown exponentially since the last CBA. The notion that his team “should spend” on these boards usually ignores where that money comes from. As a business owner sticking your own personal money into your business to potentially enhance customer experience and with no guarantee of increased revenue, market growth. equity, etc. makes zero financial sense. Thats why the Brewers are bargain shoppers in free agency.
  2. Jopal78
    Why would any of those teams do that trade? It doesn’t make any of them better in the short run or long run. i suppose the real unsaid premise is moving Yelich’s contract would allow the Brewers to reallocate the salary commitment into different or better players. The Brewers won the NL Central in ‘25 with one of the youngest rosters, and under this proposal they’re to give up “prospects” and Yelich to get Castellanos and “low level prospects”? It doesn’t improve the major league roster, or the future, and Castellanos is essentially deadweight. Trout has a 5 yr/185 million dollar guarantee remaining. Nobody is taking that on when he hasn’t played a full season of games in nearly a decade. Yelich forced his way out of Miami because he thought they weren’t trying to win after dealing Stanton away. Given those facts it seems very unlikely Yelich would consent to go to the Angels perhaps baseball’s most dysfunctional team, that hasn’t been competitive in over a decade and is on their 7th manager in 12 seasons.
  3. Jopal78
    Ortiz had 5 fewer PAs in ‘25 than ‘24. He walked 19 fewer times in ‘25 but also struck out 29 times less. Meaning he put more balls in play. While Ortiz’s ground ball and fly ball tendencies remained static in ‘25 his BABIP dropped from .283 to .260. So he could definitely bounce back. With his defense, if he rebounds back to .329/.398 he’ll play in the majors for a decade: JJ Hardy- 14 years- .305/.408 Villar-10 years- .322/.397 Jean Segura-12 years-.327/.401
  4. Jopal78
    It’s good to be Frankie Montas and get $17,000,000 to not pitch for the Mets in 2026 (DFA’d) Makes Woodruff‘s 22 million seem like a bargain.
  5. Jopal78
    I don’t think anyone is forgetting it. I can’t believe it’s this hard for folks to understand. In February of 2024 Woodruff signed a 2 year contract guaranteeing him 17.5 million dollars. The breakdown was 2.5 million in ‘24, 5 million in ‘25 and a 10 million dollar buy out on a mutual option for ‘26. Thats 17.5 million guaranteed between 24-25. There was no way for the Brewers to pay him a penny less than that for 24-25 and the money was as good as spent when the ink went down on the contract in February of 2024. However the actual payments might be structured is immaterial and really nothing more than speculation.
  6. Jopal78
    I wouldn’t call it being “poached” it’s certainly not a lateral move for Meccage. He probably got a couple hundred thousand dollar raise and is a big league coach now in the Bay Area. Bound to lose lower tier coaches when you’re a successful organization
  7. Jopal78
    Huh, guess i misremembered. Sorry. That’s right he wasn’t going to pitch in his sixth and final year due to the shoulder injury
  8. Jopal78
    Dude. When was Woodruff non-tendered? Let’s put the buyout thing to bed, it doesn’t mean he’s getting extra money. Buyouts on mutual options are nothing more than accounting tricks to push guaranteed money for the current financial year into the next financial year. That’s why Woodruff’s contract for 24-25 was referred to as having a 17.5 million dollar guarantee. He got 2.5 in ‘24, 5 in ‘25 and another 10 when he rejected his half of the mutual option which I’m sure his contract states when and how it’s to be paid. Upon receipt he’s paid in full at that point.
  9. Jopal78
    Are the Brewers a more talented team with Woodruff than without? Of course. Had Woodruff rejected the QO, were the Brewers likely to be more than the usual bargain hunters in free agency? Most likely not. With Peralta potentially being on the trading block, is it strategically a good thing to have veteran arms on the roster and not rely solely on young unproven pitchers? Of course. Whats not to like then about Woodruff being back with the Brewers in ‘26.
  10. Jopal78
    Astros DFA’d the better of the two Urias brothers. Ramon managed to put up a 2.2 WAR last season and would be a definite utility upgrade over Monasterio (plays 1B, 2B and 3B) Probably won’t make it to the Brewers though on waivers
  11. Jopal78
    Wasn’t physicality the knock on Musgrave coming into the draft? Size, speed are terrific, physicality to fight through contact, block and break tackles was lacking. No surprise when he gets to the NFL where every player is physical, when healthy, he has struggled to get on the field as a blocker or pass catcher. i’m sure the Packers thought they could teach some tenacity when he was drafted and it hasn’t worked
  12. Jopal78
    Fixed it for you: Guarantee me that some of the 85 games that Buxton plays in occur in September or the playoffs. If he’s just the annual late-season gut-punch Brewer injury, I don’t need him
  13. Jopal78
    This is the Brewers’ MO the last 6-8 years playing out. They identify and draft/acquire high floor/questionable ceiling players: Collins, Perkins, Frelick. Ortiz, Durbin, Patrick, Myers, etc. However, Durbin, Frelick, Collins, didn’t show a lot of power in the minor leagues so without remodeling their bodies in the gym during the offseason, I wouldn’t expect 10+ homer players to become 20 homerun players, especially when those 3 will all be 26 or older next season. Having gotten his feet wet in ‘25, Durbin may be able to get his BABiP up to league average in ‘26 boosting which theoretically could add 30 points to his OPS. I don’t see a lot of room for realistic improvement for ‘26 on Frelick or Collins’ OBP of .351 and .368 respectively.
  14. Jopal78
    This board sucks now. Lack of interesting discussion, and a bunch of dudes arguing about stupid thumbs down buttons as if it even matters.
  15. Jopal78
    Yes it was the translator making bets with Ohtani’s money. If we want to be cynical how does a translator have access to Ohtani’s bank accounts unless it’s with knowledge and consent? As for Clase and Ortiz. I assume they’re about to get lifetime bans like Pete Rose, Joe Jackson etc.
  16. Jopal78
    If I post the link, you don’t bother to read it claiming you remember it and it didn’t say what I said it did. (Contreras extension talk) This time I post text (recent Forbes sports article) and you criticize its authenticity for not having a link. Ok troll.
  17. Jopal78
    I guess I’m in the minority here, but Buxton has played in 852 of a possible 1518 games since becoming a full time regular (56%). I just don’t see overwhelming interest in a player, no matter how talented, who’s guaranteed to miss time with injuries and has missed over 44% of his team’s games since becoming an opening day regular
  18. Jopal78
    As a Twins fan you’re understandably failing to appreciate the scope of Buxton’s unavailability. He’s racked up 500 PAs or more in a season twice. That certainly with the Twins trying to manage his workload, keep him healthy etc. . Then compare him to Yelich with all his injuries since 2019, yet Yelich has failed to get 600 PAs just twice since then. Then to use your point, if theres one team, such as the Dodgers, who doesn’t mind guaranteeing $45,000,000 for, best case scenario, 1500 at bats over 3 years, what do you think the Twins return is going to be with just the one club being interested? Heck if there’s 2-3 teams interested even. It’s a preposterous notion the Twins would get much beyond salary relief in any Buxton trade. Which is in truth why he would be traded in the first place: a 90 loss team looking to trim payroll while rebuilding.
  19. Jopal78
    It doesn’t matter. Does 9 wins above replacement mean anything when it’s the playoffs and he’s already done for the year with injuries? Or if his team misses the playoffs by a game and Buxton missed 30 games that season. How much is a player worth that you can’t count on to be available? It’s not hard to figure out. WAR is nice for fans and all but I can assure you front offices look at more than salary and WAR in forming their opinions of players. Look, if he’s got a 9 WAR the last 2 years and is on a steal of a contract as you say. Why are the Twins considering moving him? His production and guarantee are not the reason the team sucks. Thus, it has to be his unreliability. Unfortunately, it’s the decades worth of unreliability that’s going make him a No to most of the teams; and when nobody’s interested what does that do to the trade value?
  20. Jopal78
    I think his trade value is probably close to zero. A player that while extremely talented has played in more than 92 games just 3 times in 11 years. That sort of unreliability probably makes him a no for the vast majority of teams right off the bat. Then the notion of giving up premium assets to get a player whose availability is a complete mystery… won’t happen. The truth is Buxton’s more likely to miss 35 games in 2026 with injuries than he is to hit another 35 homers next year. I’m sure if the Twins ate most of his contract they could unload him, but outside of Preller I can’t see a GM taking any sort of gamble on Buxton, especially as he enters his mid 30s.
  21. Jopal78
    No, the point is the KBO is a league with inferior talent to MLB and even the NPB for that matter. Thus the correlation between success in the KBO carrying over to success in the major leagues isn’t great. Even recent reclamations like Fedde had one nice season in ‘24, then was figured out again and ended up getting released by 3 different clubs in ‘25.
  22. Jopal78
    Marte has 10/5 rights, probably not being traded and especially Milwaukee without a sweetener.
  23. Jopal78
    Yes, the Woodruff QO is mostly about getting a comp pick. The rest of the above is just an unrealistic take. Starting pitching is expensive. Scherzer and Verlander at 41 and 42 years old respectively each still made 15 million dollars this past season. From of the rotation starters in today’s game make 28-32+ million dollars a year. 22 million dollars for an oft inured front of the rotation starter still in his prime isn’t actually that outrageous in context. Then Logan Henderson is coming off a forearm strain which usually is the forerunner to a torn elbow ligament. Gasser has not really pitched since his own TJ. Ashby might be as injury prone as Woodruff missing an entire season with a shoulder injury, Then multiple months in both ‘24 and ‘25 with additional injuries. The Brewers would truly be operating without a safety net counting on any of those players to make 25+ starts for them in ‘26.
  24. Jopal78
    First of all, Ponce sucked in the majors (2.1 HR/9and 11H/9) in a small sample, but such is life for pitchers who spend six years in the minors before their debut. Ponce didn’t really light it up in Japan either: his hits allowed, walks and strikeout ratios remained the same but he kept the ball in the ballpark more, which isn’t surprising in the NPB where homeruns are more rare than in MLB. Then in the inferior KBO his hits allowed went down and strikeouts went up while other ratios remained similar. Sure looks like another Josh Lindblom to me: a stiff who had a nice year against lower quality hitters than he’d see in the majors. I sure hope the Brewers learned their lesson with Lindblom and stay well away from Korean league reclamation projects.
  25. Jopal78
    Being a crapshoot depends on the team doing the drafting. If there’s one organization that excels at identifying amateurs who may have a floor as being an average major leaguer it’s the Brewers. Moreover, the Brewers have a decent track record of finding players in the 2nd round or later: Misiorowski, Woodruff, Burnes, Williams, Tyrone Taylor etc. Yes, typically those late comp picks don’t amount to much but the Brewers are one of the few teams that have shown proficiency in finding players in those areas of the draft
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