Jopal78
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Everything posted by Jopal78
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For transparency's sake, the donations this sight is now soliciting is for the ACLU of Wisconsin. Their organizational agenda extends far beyond women's reproductive rights and includes: prisoner's rights, police reform, immigrants rights, LGBTQIA rights el al. In truth, your site is soliciting donations for an advocacy and lobbying organization with a very broad left of center agenda. I'm just a visitor to a website, if the content or website sucks, I'll just stop surfing in here a couple times a day; moreover I don't make these type of donations, so raising awareness isn't going to make a difference to me. But, I'm all for transparency in what you're actually suggesting people send their money to.
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See the first line in your own post. There's a new sheriff in town, if you don't like the way he runs his town, give your revenue generating clicks and views to another website.
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The Brewers Are Mishandling Keston Hiura
Jopal78 replied to Cole McCormack's topic in Brewer Fanatic Front Page News
The same manager who used matchups and analytics to steer his team to the playoffs in '18 and '19 is somehow blind to those same matchups/analytics with Keston Hiura? That doesn't seem logical. Second, Hiura's splits against RHP look amazing this year because 5 of his 13 hits against RHP went over the fence. In other words, 38% of his hits have gone for homeruns. He would be a first ballot Hall of Famer if he could somehow keep that rate up, because not even Babe Ruth had that percentage of his hits go for homeruns (24.8%). Hiura's splits against RHP in 2020 and 2021 can be described as below average (.203/.284/.429 in '20) and awful (.184/.279/.345 in '21). In reality, Hiura's numbers are driven by an excellent 2019 season, and he's been a below average to awful hitter ever since. It is not because the manager or GM overlook obvious statistical tendencies; rather it is because opponents learned how to attack him at the plate, and he has been unable to find a counter adjustment. -
Yep, you can find a stat to say just about anything. In June Hiura also has struck out 22 times in 39 PAs, he has 5 hits and 4 walks with a homerun and a double (.147/.230/.272) It's definitely not hate, he's just another crappy hitter on a team full of them.
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I don't know if the stat exists, but over the last 5 years or so, the Brewers have to be amongst the worst teams in the league in scoring runs with the bases loaded and nobody out, or runner on 3rd with less than two outs.
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Only 23 games left against Pittsburgh (13) and Cincinnati (10) too. Brewers are 13-2 against those two teams and 26-31 against everyone else.
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Ouch. A run prevention team that doesn't play defense makes for a loooooong agonizing year.
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There's also the possibility the Brewers fall off the pace in the next 5 weeks, and end up being soft sellers at the deadline: Boxberger, Narvaez, Peterson, etc. For that contingency plan, they probably won't be too quick to cut bait on Severino.
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Yep, and when 5 of 13 hits go over the fence hitting numbers will look great. Maybe he sold his soul to the devil to get a little Babe Ruth's mojo, otherwise he's not going to continue having 38% of his hits go for homers all year long. Hiura has K'd in 43% of his PAs against RHP, we can be sure, given his career numbers, that ratio will most likely continue all year long. The manager was just talking about how they had 13 outs last night to get something going against the Cardinals pen and didn't. With Hiura playing its like having 11- 12 because of his inability to put the ball in play.
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Don't confuse a hot streak for something its not. Admittedly, Albert Almora has 120 PAs this year slightly above average results. However, his stat line in the 1282 MLB PAs before this year: .274/.311/.403. In other words he's Tyrone Taylor with slightly less power, which is also why he's taken non-roster minor league deals the last two years first with the Mets and now with the Reds.
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With Cabrera and Gallegos next
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It’s super boring, a bunch of ground outs and strike outs. The pitching has to be near perfect for them to have a chance.
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His Kryptonite is pitching. The 2nd time he struck out they simply went up in the zone and he missed it.
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Typical night at the office for Hiura; 3 PAs and 2Ks
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4.50 ERA since April
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What’s Lauer’s ERA and WHIP since April? Got to be 5.00 and 1.5
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I agree with you rental players don't bring back the caliber of talent at the deadline they did 20 years ago; BUT you're kind of denigrating Bell and he's been nothing short of terrific for the Nationals (.294/.377/.472 and an OPS+ of 145). He's 10th in the NL in Hits and OBP; he's 6th in the NL Adjusted OPS+. He's a better player this year than Benintendi and Mancini and its not even debatable, and since his contract is expiring, the Nationals are certain to trade him. Like I said earlier, every contending team in both leagues will have some degree of interest in adding a hitter with an .850 OPS who already has been worth 2 WAR. Contrary to your statement, the market will most likely be vast and Washington will do well in selling him off. Bell would be a difference maker for Milwaukee, Mancini and Benintendi not so much. Moreover, they need offense period, whether it is guys getting on base or more balls going over the fence.
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For what it's worth Mancini's career OBP is .335, McCutchen's post Pirates OBP ('18-'22) is .353, he's not a difference making bat for an offensively challenged team, but then again you may be right because he's the acquisition cost for a middling hitter on an expiring contract won't be much. I wouldn't anticipate the Brewers acquiring Josh Bell, he's having a huge year and every contender in both leagues can use an .850 OPS bat. As for Cooper, he's got a year of team control remaining. If he's the real deal (jury's out on that), the Marlins have no reason to trade a 119 OPS+/.812 OPS hitter unless blown away by an offer. The more I think about it, Benintendi sounds like the type of player the Brewers would acquire. Regarded as a good defender, I can almost envision them acquiring him, plugging him into LF every day, moving Yelich to DH and claiming they've improved their outfield defense and fixed the DH spot in one move.
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That's the million dollar question isn't it? Renfroe, Adames, Wong and Tellez are playing exactly at his career norms; Peterson, Narvaez and Caratini have played better than their career marks. I don't think there is anything more that can realistically be expected from those players. Therefore the question becomes: of the players who have been major disappointments at the plate (Yelich, McCutchen and Urias) is there an extended hot streak in them where they can be an offensive catalyst? I have no idea, but my gut seems to doubt it. However, with 18 of the 32 games remaining before the deadline being against playoff contending teams (St. Louis, Tampa, Minnesota, San Francisco, and Boston), the Brewers either get it done with who they have on hand, or they'll likely fade from the race and either stand pat at the deadline or perhaps do a soft sell.
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Going by run differential the Brewers are nearer to the bottom third of the NL, than the top of the league LAD +120 NYM +66 SD +66 St.L +63 SF +44 ATL + 44 PHI +29 MIA (!!) +24 MIL +14. Maybe they sneak into the postseason as a WC by getting fat on the cream puffs in their Division, but without the pitching going into another gear, or finding some consistent offense this team is only masquerading as a big boy this season. On a side note, as illustrative of the offensive doldrums even the Ryan Braun of '18-'20 (.266/.323/.488) would be a the best offensive player on this year's team.
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The Reds will definitely be sellers, and if Pham continues to produce he will be a nice asset for them to sell off. If the Brewers stay in the hunt, he would actually be a pretty good fit for their lineup. His current OPS of .781 would place him 2nd on the Brewers and his OPS+ of 109 would place him 4th on the Brewers ahead of Yelich, Wong, Cutch, Taylor, Urias etc. No real difference in his splits between RHP and LHP, Milwaukee could plug him in as the primary DH, and move McCutchen to a 4th OF spot. The only drawback is Pham has hit much better at GABP than on the road this season. Moreover, its about winning games, any nuttiness from Pham would likely be overshadowed by the hunt for the playoffs, and he'd be on to a different club next year anyhow.
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You could be right regarding Wong and injuries. However, Jace Peterson is also a free agent, and as a 1.5 WAR utility player so far this year (and nice overall numbers with Milwaukee), he's likely going to be looking for a multi-year guarantee somewhere, which doesn't rule out anything of course, but does make it less likely he'll be back next year.
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I wouldn't read too much into the article, seems like somebody's speculative piece to fill up space in the Globe. To be sure, JBJ's numbers on the season are still terrible (.228/.277/.326). He's been awful against lefties (.167/.231/.278) and is not given much playing time against LHP (39 PAs). His slash line away from Fenway is also atrocious (.151/.210./.183) He was bad at the plate in April (.458 OPS), decent in May (.737 OPS) and awful again so far in June (.569 OPS) That he has glasses to correct astigmatism would have no causal link to his inability to hit lefties, on the road, nor explain why he has been bad two out of the three months this season.
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I don't know homie, there was someone who posted just three hours ago, about trading Wong and promoting Turang. Kinda sounds like 2022, but whatever if attacks make you feel like a real man, go for it.
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Not to quibble because I don't necessarily disagree with your premise, but Renfroe is already surpassing his career slash line. I don't know how much "more" there potentially is to be expected from him. Cain hadn't been playing much this month anyways, so unless Mickey Mantle rises from the dead and steps in to soaks up the 10-12 at bats per week Cain was getting, its likely irrelevant.
