Jopal78
-
Posts
4,777 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Jopal78
-
What are the odds the Brewers are waiting on Gyorko to accept a NRI? Shaw doesn’t hit lefties, Hiura hasn’t hit lefties so far. It seems there is a fit there for a bench player who has a history of hitting left handed pitching and can play all over the infield. Maybe Gyorko is holding out for a guarantee from a club, or a situation where he has a chance to start.
-
We're not sure, but the mere fact that he was tendered a contract would suggest it. Manny is an elite defender, and Nottinghams decent-looking offensive numbers so far are basically all due to a good HR rate, but one that based on his minor league numbers, HR/FB rate and statcast data seems unsustainable. Add to that a 35% strikeout rate. Basically, I think Piña offers both better defense and offense. But I also think they'll not make their decision until they've seen what they look like in spring; it could still be Nottingham. I suspect they'd want to keep both though. I think they'll try to sneak Nottingham through waivers at the end of ST. All 3 of their catchers would probably catch a major league deal somewhere else if dropped by Milwaukee. Thus, the Brewers are likely taking a wait and see approach. If one of their catchers is injured in Spring Training they're covered. If another club has a major injury at the catcher position the Brewers would be in a good position to get something in return for a catcher they'd otherwise have to drop for nothing. When the Brewers traded off Martin Maldonado who would've thought that he'd go on to be in his 11th year in the major leagues. If you catch and play defense (Pina) or can hit a little bit and play catcher (Narvaez and Nottingham) you can play forever in the major leagues.
-
Obviously Hiura, Wong and Urias are locks. Arcia and Robertson are probably close to it. If they keep 13 position players, it will probably be 4-5 outfielders, 5-6 infielders and the two catchers. That means Vogelbach and Shaw may be competing for one spot. I suppose they could keep both, but then that means only 4 OFers. Travis Shaw is the only true third baseman right now slated to be at big league camp next week. I think he'd have to either get injured or go hitless in the spring to not break camp with the major league team. Daniel Robertson is essentially a younger right handed version of Jace Peterson, but he hasn't played as much corner outfield. Both of those facts work against him. Vogelbach's chances of making the roster indeed take a hit with Shaw as Vogelbach is now redundant now as a LH back up first baseman. I don't think Urias is a lock because he has an option remaining, and the Brewers still have a need for a player who can play first and also hit left handed pitching a little. -
If the Brewers can get league average offense from Shaw and a $3 million dollar contract; they will have done very well
-
Really the dominos are starting to fall. I’m sure the Brewers have had these offers out there for sometime and with camp but a few days away, players without deals are starting to accept the best that’s out there. I wouldn’t be totally surprised if Gyorko is back on a lesser contract. Great utility player not totally inept with the bat.
-
This was my original point when people bring up Jeimar Candelario. Simply because Detroit is rebuilding doesn’t mean they are going to trade away young cost controlled players for a quantity of mediocre prospects from a system like Milwaukee’s.
-
Yeah, Devers! A pre-arbitration eligible 23 year old starting 3B with a career OPS of .830. The Brewers should send Corbin Burnes, Devin Williams and a throw in lien Corey Ray and get him today. If that fails I’d pivot to Candelario. They could probably get him for just Garett Mitchell and Ethan Small
-
10 million per year is right in line with what is the going rate. Kluber got $11 million. JA Happ got 8 million. Chris Archer and Jake Arrieta each got 6 million per year and have more question marks than Walker. The sticking point is likely wanting a multi-year deal, but $10 million per season for a 28 year old starting pitcher with his track record is reasonable.
-
I prefer he stick around for trade scenario throw-ins. 1. Nobody is going to trade for Ray even as a flyer. At least Fisher tore the cover off the ball in the minors, to justify a team taking a flyer. Corey Ray has been hurt all the time, and his statistics from when he has played are not good, and this from an advanced college player. Which leads to “figuring out what to do with Ray”. It’s easy they don’t have to do anything. This is because Ray hasn’t done a thing to earn a promotion to the majors, and barely has gotten his feet wet in AAA in the five years since he was drafted. 3. As for Fisher, he’s just a depth guy. Better numbers than McKinney who also is a lefty and out of options. Those two guys are likely vying for a 5th outfielder spot after Tyrone Taylor.
-
Trade our comp pick for him. Why would the Dodgers give up a major league player for a Competitive Balance Draft Pick? They’re system is already the best in the game and they’re built to win now.
-
Justin Turner to re-sign with Dodgers
Jopal78 replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Adrian Houser throws hard, strikes out close to a batter an inning, 2.5:1 K:BB ratio. What’s not to like? Linblom struck out more than a batter per inning, 3:1 k:bb ratio, and generally kept the ball in the ballpark, if he could be more efficient with his pitches he could be a real tough customer. I’ll give Lauer a mulligan with a shoulder injury and Covid. Plus they’re still likely to bring in another veteran arm like Zimmerman to push for the 5 spot. -
I’m sure there is a plan B to bring in a veteran free agent third basemen as Robertson and Urias don’t even have 120 games of experience at Third combined. Unfortunately the veteran free agent options aren’t great and most have already been on the Brewers before: Gyorko, Shaw, Brad Miller and Todd Frazier
-
MLB players, especially those as accomplished as Justin Turner, don't do this. They know it is a business. If he signs with the Brewers, it means he wants to be a Brewer. If he re-signs with the Dodgers, it means he wants to remain a Dodger. I do truly think it's as simple as that. Justin Turner has earned more than $62 million in his career. If he is willing to go to a different city he doesn't want to be in over a few million dollars, he's done something seriously wrong with his life. When someone plays baseball games for money, they tend to go wherever the pay is best, simple as that. I’m sure winning is nice but it is a business and for 98% of baseball players money is more important than winning. Moreover, pro baseball players live luxury lifestyle no matter what team they play be it Los Angeles or Milwaukee for further diluting the differences between the teams. Thirdly, the players know their earning potential in the pro game is limited and when the on-field days are over they’re not well suited to transition to other high paying jobs which is why they want to max out. Finally, like real estate comps,, Turner wants to set the value for similarly situated players who come after him.
-
If so, it’s a really poor leverage tool, because I don’t really think the Dodgers are afraid of losing him. If they were afraid of him leaving they would’ve signed him up already. Most likely they made him an offer for less than where he wants to be, and is deciding if he’s going somewhere else or not.
-
Bauer to Dodgers - 3 years/$102 million (w/ opt outs)
Jopal78 replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Maybe teams withhold the commission money just like taxes and social Security? I don’t think a bunch of lawyers would just allow players to “give their word” that they’ll pay the commissions they owe -
Unlike every other Brewer team since the 90s. This teams strength is pitching. Unless their hitting is abysmal they’ll win plenty of games with their pitching
-
Either. Who are they? Player 1 is Mike Moustakas. Player 2 is Makiel Franco. And I wouldn’t want Franco. He’s just a guy, a band aid, a place holder. I hope the Brewers sign Turner even if it takes 3 years I don’t think he’s suddenly going to crater.
-
I don't understand why posters continually point out a possible pick up for the Brewers, than suggest they could get them cheap because said player is either "not that good" or because the player's current team is rebuilding. In the specific case of Candelario, certainly he doesn't look like a cornerstone player, but he did lead the Detroit Tigers in OPS, OPS+ and is penciled in as a starter either at 1B or 3B on what figures to be a non-contending team. Now couple that with their top 3B/1B prospect Torkelson is more likely than not a couple seasons away. Thus, Detroit has a need for Candelario. With mid-tier free agents getting 7-10 million dollars per year, he is a comparable bargain, plus under team control for multiple seasons. He absolutely could be available in a trade, but Detroit has no reason to move him, and therefore isn't going to merely give him away for some low level prospects from a team with one of the worst systems in baseball. Likewise, the Brewers aren't going to trade a couple of players like Aaron Ashby and Ethan Small to get him, which is more likely the true cost.
-
Why would Detroit trade Candelario, if he has some ability, is affordable and under team control long term? Those are they type of players rebuilding clubs like Detroit target, not trade away. In a purse sense, every player in MLB is "available" for a price. However, trading for a player coming off an .872 OPS who has multiple seasons of team control left, etc. etc. means to cost to acquire him from Detroit is probably not worth it to the Brewers, then they could acquire a comparable player as a free agent.
-
Bauer to Dodgers - 3 years/$102 million (w/ opt outs)
Jopal78 replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Which leads me to another sub-question. Do agents lose money when their clients get suspended for PEDs? Don't know for sure, but I would guess agents get their percentage taken out of every paycheck, so they probably don't get paid for years opted out of & their pay was likely also cut during the shortened season in proportion with their clients' salaries. Likewise with PEDs I would imagine, though maybe suspended players still pay their agents out of pocket during that time as kind of a retainer or good faith gesture? It's interesting, I would think the agreement between player and agent calls for a percentage commission to be paid when the contract is entered into, so if the player gets suspended, opts out or the player's pay is pro-rated, the agent doesn't lose compensation. Otherwise, agents would have an incentive to advise their clients to not opt out -
They will trade Bryant for sure, the question is if it is now or at the deadline. From all indications he intends to test free agency. Plus without Jon Lester, Jose Quintana, Yu Darvish, and Jeremy Jeffress their pitching may not be strong enough to keep them in the division race which only makes it more likely they will trade Bryant (and potentially Rizzo, Baez, Davies, and Kimbrel).
-
Bill Plunkett of the OC Register wrote an article today on Turner from the Dodgers perspective, Dodgers’ Andrew Friedman won’t rule out re-signing Justin Turner Here are some of the more relevant quotes attributed to Andrew Friedman: During Bauer’s introductory news conference on Thursday afternoon, Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman was asked if that expenditure means they are out of the running to re-sign Turner. “The simple answer is no,” Friedman said. “We’re committed to doing everything we can to put together the best roster that we can. Obviously, it’s difficult for me to comment on a specific free agent. But I think it’s pretty well documented what we think of JT, what he’s meant to this organization. “As far as how that’s gonna play out, we will see.” Classic front office speak: “Committed to doing everything we can” = last best offer has been made “It’s pretty well documented what we think of JT, what he’s meant to this organization” = the ball is in his Court if he wants to be here.
-
Bauer to Dodgers - 3 years/$102 million (w/ opt outs)
Jopal78 replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If he opts out, does his agent get commission on the entire 100 million or just what he earned? That lead me to a sub-question: when salaries were prorated last year, were the agent commissions also prorated? -
PR The fans are going to be pissed if Turner leaves... Nobody in a front office really cares about making fans happy. According to estimates by Forbes the Dodgers had 556 million dollars of revenue in 2019; no matter what happens with Turner there is zero chance the wheels are going to fall off that revenue train. Rather it will keep on chugging no matter who plays 3B. In fact fan favorites leave for better contract terms elsewhere all the time: Johnny Damon, Pedro Martinez, Tom Glavine,, Jake Arrieta to name a few. With spring training around the corner, Turner likely has teams' so called "last best offers" on the table and has all the leverage. He can sit back and wait until a team blinks, and if not, he can accept whichever one he believes best. Perhaps if Turner was a hall of fame player who spent his career with one team, like Jeter, there maybe a PR component adding value to a contract offer. However, in today's game players go wherever the contract offer is the best 95+% of the time, and every front office knows its about winning not having players the fans like to root for.
-
The Dodgers haven't even made a roster move yet to announce the Bauer signing. They are at the point where they are going to have to drop good, talented players who are on their 40-man in order to fit in any new acquisitions. It makes me think that they are perhaps working on a trade to alleviate the logjam. I'm guessing it will be two players on their 40-man for non 40-man players, which would free up space for Bauer and Turner. I would imagine the Dodgers are looking to trade David Price (who opted out last year), with Bauer, Kershaw, Buehler, May and Urias there isn't a reason to bump one of them from the rotation for David Price. Price's contract calls for 16 million per season in 2021 and 2022 (Red Sox picking up other half of his 32 million/Season contract). I would imagine the Dodgers are attempting to trade him and in order to move 32 million dollars in contract commitments may have to include some of the lower end players on the 40 man like Luke Raley, etc.
