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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Too much? A 15th round pick who is multiple seasons away from the majors and profiles as a DH/LF, and a soon to be 25 year old finesse starting pitcher in AAA. If that’s too much, I would conclude you’re not expecting the Brewers to add much at the deadline as both of those players are what you’d calm 2nd tier prospects.
  2. Jopal78
    He sucks. Change up artist who can’t fool major league hitters.
  3. Jopal78
    Even a .730 OPS is 100 points higher than what they have received now from Hamilton and 200 points above Rengifo and Ortiz. For a low level minor leaguer who probably profiles as DH/LF and and a finesse SP neither of whom were top picks.
  4. Jopal78
    I think the Brewers would do it. A hitter who just landed in AA and a SP in AAA with less than 10k/9 You may be right about Houston though.
  5. Jopal78
    Issac Paredes. Plays 3B, above average hitter, averages 25+ homers a season and comes with a $13M team option for ‘27. Yelich, Chourio, Turang, Paredes. Contreras, Bauers/Vaughn, Frelick/Bauers, Mitchell, Pratt, pretty stacked lineup, and allows Hamilton to be used for defensive replacement, pinch running etc. Hardin and Adamczewski for Paredes. Who says no?
  6. Jopal78
    Cubs placed both Cabrera and Ben Brown on IL. Giving them a whopping six starting pitchers on the IL: Steele, Horton, Taillon, Boyd, Cabrera and Brown. (Though Boyd expected to be activated tomorrow). It’s amazing the Cubs have their head above water when they’re pressing their 8th, 9th, etc. best SPs into service
  7. Jopal78
    The NBA is tough. You're irrelevant as a contender without a superstar, and when the team has a superstar that player has all the leverage and can influence who’s on the team, who’s coaching the team and ultimately how long they stay with the team which makes contending consistently that much more difficult. It is too bad. It ended up this way because the Bucks are entering a lengthy period of rebuilding without the potential of high picks usually necessary to find a superstar, and they’ll kill off their fan base again like in the 90s and early 2000s spinning their wheels with season after season of poor to mediocre play.
  8. Jopal78
    Like I said 5 years is a long time so who knows but not a landslide by any measure. Williams is a .700 OPS 3B in AAA he will have to show significant improvement before even being considered for the major league roster. But equally important with Turang and Chourio with years of control remaining, Pratt and Lara signed longterm and Made hot on his heels there is no regular playing time in Milwaukee in the foreseeable future at 2B, SS, and LF, CF. Certainly not a situation or a statistical profile to date that makes one say his arrow is pointing up. Sproat is the same pitcher he was with the Mets, big arm but lacks command of the fastball and consistency of his secondary pitches. He’s pitching in the Brewers rotation more because he’s been fully healthy than anything else. Could he still figure it out, absolutely; but with an era of nearly 6, a FIP of 5.52 and ERA+ 71 and a HardH% against of 43.3% suggests he probably should be in AAA.
  9. Jopal78
    The second part is the overall talent level flowing into professional baseball will improve as college teams are filled with better players. There probably will be an increased talent in the independent leagues too which would warrant more MLB scouting in those circuits. no matter how they alter the system if someone’s a tremendous amateur baseball player they’ll have a shot to play pro ball.
  10. Jopal78
    Right, but tying draft eligibility to college, gives the teams more leverage over amateur players and more cost controls which is the whole point. (The owners are probably going to have to concede on service time before free agency, so they’re trying to balance that by tamping down amateur talent acquisition costs which does not directly affect current MLBPA members) Since it is a low priority fight for the union it is probably one area where they quickly find an agreement.
  11. Jopal78
    Every team goes into the draft with a fixed total amount of money to spend as bonuses on draftees. So for example, you draft a college player in the first round where the slotted bonus for the pick is $3M knowing going into the draft said player will sign for say $2M which saves $1M of your total draft pool for later use. Then, you draft Cooper Pratt out of high school with a pick that has a slot value of $500k. You also know going in he has a college commitment and is somewhat serious about it, so you offer Pratt $1.5M instead of the slot $500K to dissuade him from honoring his college commitment and turning pro. There are exceptions and nuance but that’s the general concept,
  12. Jopal78
    I assume any high school player skilled enough to be drafted by MLB, would also have a free ride to College for baseball so the debt thing really isn’t an issue. But you hit on the point: the owners want cost certainty they do not want to have to negotiate significantly over slot for high school players, and have the high school player hold out until the 11th hour. Frankly the MLB Players Association does not represent high school kids or college players, so draft eligibility is probably at the bottom of their list of priorities. Neither side cares what’s best for “the kid” it’s a fight over money.
  13. Jopal78
    It’s control. Currently, if a high school player gets drafted but doesn’t like the slot money or the organization; he can tell the team he’s going to honor his college commitment and re-enter the draft the next year. The new CBA would eliminate that loophole by making college a prerequisite to being drafted
  14. Jopal78
    The Japanese baseball pipeline is much more controlled than MLBs. Players in Japan, who turn pro are then controlled by their team for up to nine years. The posting fee is to get the team who controls a player’s rights to relinquish them early. MLB doesn’t have the ability to alter that. In addition to unforeseen loopholes with procurement of 16-17 year old Latin players, the current International system rewards information and relationships over payroll. An international draft would move things away from the teams that scout the players best and rewards those who are simply lucky enough to have a top pick. After finding 2 consensus #1 prospects in Latin America (Chourio/Made) in less than 5 years, any Brewer fan should be dead set against an international draft.
  15. Jopal78
  16. Jopal78
    Interestingly, the immediate impact of the Peralta trade for both clubs is negligible. Myers and Sproat have negative WARs, Peralta is 0.1 and Williams has yet to play in the majors. 5 years is a long time, but anyone would be hard pressed to say the arrow is pointing up on either Sproat or Williams right now too.
  17. Jopal78
    The point is an international draft is not going to work. There is no way to bind international players. MLB teams can agree to do whatever they want in terms of procurement of those players, and yes, the major leagues are the highest paid league around, but if their agreement amongst themselves doesn’t bind the players, it’s in the players best interest and those who come after them to find a way to exploit it. It’s not a difficult concept to understand.
  18. Jopal78
    Replace the bottom three hitters in the lineup with guys who can put up at least a .699 OPS? when you’re pitching and defense team, you’re gonna lose some tight ones when the pitching lets you down.
  19. Jopal78
    If you want to be 100% literal, sure you are right. But 95% of those players aren’t going to be selected in an international draft anyways. What I’m talking about (and I know you know despite wanting to be literal) are the premier international players. They either have options besides America (which is leverage) or they know they’re going to get drafted with slot money so they have the ability to tell certain organizations not to draft them (also leverage). Its not a video game, people’s jobs with an organization are on the line and no organization is going to waste a top pick calling an international players bluff, or select a player who has stated they don’t want to be there
  20. Jopal78
    Interesting you mention it; MLB is proposing to eliminate American High Schoolers from being drafted which will eliminate the leverage those kids have.
  21. Jopal78
    He’s James Mouton with marginally better slug (less than 100 PAs difference) yet Mouton was a nobody and bounced around to 4 different clubs while Sal starts most nights.
  22. Jopal78
    It’s unbelievable he and Perkins are both in the major league roster. One should be DFA’d and the other optioned to AAA and it’s making less of a difference which one gets what.
  23. Jopal78
    Depends, there won’t be many worth the slotted pick if the current financial format continues with an international pool. Yet the next Soto or Acuna would know they’re going to get paid when eventually drafted and would hold all the leverage to choose where they go by threatening to sign only if drafted by certain teams.
  24. Jopal78
    An International Draft is worthless. The owners can’t compel foreign players to come to America so draftees would have all the leverage. If the money or organization isn’t right, the foreign player can simply refuse to sign, and no team is going to waste a draft pick for a player. They are uncertain of if they can get in their organization (Similar but different Herb Kohl went all the way to China to talk Yi Jinlian into agreeing to play for the Bucks after being drafted). Further, Japanese teams control players for 8-9 seasons which is why there’s the posting system. MLB can agree to whatever they want with their players but NPB does not have to abide by it.
  25. Jopal78
    12 weeks is the end of the baseball season for 2026. I’m sure he’ll work out generally but amping up without major league facilities isn’t likely to happen (certainly not if there’s a lock out). So he’ll be starting from square 1 in essence in April 2027.
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