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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. What about Addison Russell? Yes, he plays for a Division rival, and yes he has some personal baggage. However, the Cubs just optioned him to AAA despite not having a replacement at 2B. I assume they are done with the Russell and if they can't trade him he will be non-tendered after the season. Despite the fact the Brewers are a division rival, perhaps Cubs management would prefer to get something for Russell than drop him for nothing in the off-season. Russell remains a solid defender at shortstop and second base. He hasn't hit much the last two plus seasons, but his .733 OPS this year is better than Arcia, Perez, Saladino, etc., and his career marks top those players as well. Russell is arbitration eligible for two more seasons.
  2. The team has played just poorly enough to be on the cusp of not controlling their own path to the post season. Therefore, I don’t think they are going to go “all in” on the 31st. Stroman, Bumgarner, Wheeler etc if they switch teams they won’t be coming to Milwaukee. I think we’ll see Matt Harvey or Shelby Miller pitching for the Brewers before any of them
  3. With injuries to Woodruff and Chacin; I wouldn’t be surprised if the Brewers traded for Leake. Cardinals paying contract down to 11 million per year, so he’d be owed roughly 5 million this year and 11 next year. Brewers could probably have him for next to nothing talent wise if they absorb the contract.
  4. Surprisingly, you have to go back pretty far to find some outfielders for the Brewers that they went with for years without any real productivity. For example the primary starters for the last 25+ years: LF: Greg Vaughn '90-'96 Geoff Jenkins '98-'04, '07 Carlos Lee '05-'06, Braun '08-'13 Khris Davis '14-'15 Braun '16-current CF: After Yount they basically cycled through CFers every other year until Mike Cameron, Gomez '10-'15, more journeymen, then Cain '18-current RF: Matt Mieske '93-'97 Jeromy Burnitz '98-'01, Jenkins '05-06, Hart '07-'11 Aoki '12-'13 Braun '14-'15, Santana '16-'17, Yelich '18-current
  5. The subject is "failed expectations". You can't possibly suggest that Burnes and Peralta haven't failed their expectations in a major way? The front office carried out their offseason plan expecting Burnes and Peralta to step into the rotation. That is why they didn't resign Miley, that is why they didn't try to acquire any starting pitching in the off season. Their inability to pitch effectively in the rotation resulted in a chain reaction and is certainly one reason the team is where it is right now. In terms of being an "All Time Failure", the 2019 Brewers are the defending Division Champions and had the best record in their league last season. Even if they suddenly and magically started winning again at a .589 clip, that would put them around 87-88 wins. The reality is they'll more likely than not finish around 83-79, an incredible tumble from 2018 and despite returning almost every key contributor from the 96 win team. With Peralta and Burnes' struggles being one of the main components of this collapse, I would say that is an all time failure even for this team which is mostly known for futility.
  6. I wasn't denigrating Chase Anderson. Rather he was acquired to fill a hole in the rotation as a result of Bradley and Jungmann being busts. If those pitchers would have advanced to the major leagues and pitched meaningful innings for the Brewers, they wouldn't have needed to acquire Anderson or sign Garza, etc.
  7. Chase Anderson is the best starting pitcher acquired by David Stearns. 100 starts, 35 wins vs. 25 losses, 1.25 WHIP, 3.89 ERA, 4.59 FIP, 7.5 WAR as a Brewer. The Brewers are never going to have a top of the rotation starter unless they develop it from their own farm system. Teams don't typically trade minor league pitchers who project as top of the rotation arms very often, and the Brewers have never got into a bidding war for the 30+ million dollar a year starting pitcher. I think Stearns would love to sign a top of the rotation free agent pitcher, or trade for the next Lucas Giolito. However, being a Realist, Stearns has to come up with a philosophy to filed a competitive team without elite starting pitching talent, which I think is what we saw last year. They tried to go that route again this year but the starters have not been as good as last year, and the bullpen had a couple of key injuries and lack of quality depth.
  8. Well, Jed Bradley and Taylor Jungmann we’re first round picks. Teams don’t draft starting pitchers in the top third of the first round with merely the hope they make it to the majors. The expectations are those pitchers will advance to the major leagues and pitch meaningful innings. That Bradley and Jungmann were complete busts resulted in the team making moves like signing Matt Garza and trading for Chase Anderson, for example, to shore up their rotation.
  9. They’re alive for the wild card, and if the team ever gelled (increasingly unlikely) they’re not buried in the division yet. However 100+ Games into 2019 they’re not a dominant club like last year, so I’d expect small additions to the team after the major deals have already gone down. Sergio Romo types on expiring contracts.
  10. Back in May Kirby underwent his third arm operation.
  11. SP: Mark Rogers. 5th overall pick in ‘04. Arm injuries early and often. SP: Taylor Jungmann 12th overall in ‘11. Never developed command. Bust SP: Jed Bradley 15th overall in ‘11. Bust. Never appeared for Brewers (You could certainly put Burnes and Peralta in place of Bradley and Jungmann). C: Andrew Susac. 1st round pedigree. Blocked behind Posey. Bust 1B: Mat Gamel. Top prospect, injured knee, never recovered 2B: Rickie Weeks. Never lived up to star billing but was ok player SS: Jonathon Villar: First season with Brewers was a fluke 3B: Haven’t had an everyday one for more than a couple years since Cirillo so hard to say. LF: Marc Newfield. CF: Marquis Grissom: solid player before and after being a Brewer. 3 of the worst seasons in career occurred as a Brewer. RF: Jeffrey Hammonds. Reliever: Nathan Kirby. First round pick, blew out elbow after just five appearances in minors. Missed all of ‘16, ‘17 and has yet to pitch in ‘19
  12. Yeah because All Star late inning relievers grow on trees. There was/is no replacement for Knebel (they were never going to pay Kimbrel what he got neither). The GM gambled that he could go with the young arms and spend hardly any payroll on his rotation (and thereby acquire Grandal and Moustakas) and it blew up in his face. Further compounded by a poor year from Chacin, and middle relievers like Barnes and Williams being so poor they had to be replaced by journeymen non-40 man roster players.
  13. What contending team needs a catcher? Most the contending teams already have a front line catcher. The ones that don’t aren’t going to assume close to 9 million dollars in salary and give a good prospect. I’m positive the Brewers aren’t going to pay Grandal to play for somebody else. Therefore, regardless of the team’s fortunes I think he’ll stick around. Plus even if the team collapses he’ll be highly Motivated to perform give his contract status. I can see them trading off Moustakas. However, I’m not so sure he isn’t in their long term plans where a trade probably just complicates things to a degree.
  14. A huge series for the Brewers. If they can take two out of three, they'd deliver the knock out punch to the Reds. Cincinnati would then be 10 games under .500 one week out from the trade deadline. They've greatly under performed their Pythagorean so far, so the sooner they start playing for 2020 the better in my opinion.
  15. Supak is not really missing bats in AA, its a very tall order to call up a starting pitcher with one season worth of innings above A ball to pitch on a competitive team in the major leagues, and expect his pitching to keep the team in games. For these reasons it is most logical for Houser to step back into the rotation when needed.
  16. The Diamondbacks Pythagorean is still 56-44, they've been somewhat unlucky as evidenced by their 13-19 record in one run games. But their offense is 4th in runs scored and their pitching staff is 7th in runs allowed. They've scored more runs on offense than the Brewers have, and their pitching staff has allowed fewer runs than the Brewers have. I'm sort of puzzled why they're even rumored to be selling. It seems the most logical move is to stand pat and see if the teams that have outplayed their Pythagorean (like the Brewers, Phillies, Giants) finally falter and collapse. The Diamondbacks also still have 21 games remaining against last place teams: Baltimore, Colorado, Cincinnati, Miami as well as a 4 game set versus the Mets. I don't see them trading Robbie Ray now for a package of minor league players who are years away from the majors. If their GM wants some financial flexibility by unloading Greinke and his contract, it somewhat defeats the point of a trade if gobs of future money are being included, unless of course the talent coming back is that good (Detroit kicked in 17 million to move Verlander's contract but got 2 top 100 prospects in return plus others).
  17. He doesn’t walk anybody and he doesn’t strike many batters out. So basically the ball is put in play against him. Being a fly ball pitcher who pitches to contact; that style of game doesn’t really suit Miller Park. (With three hitters parks in the division explains likely why the Cardinals paid Seattle to take him a year into his contract).
  18. Wheeler is hurt. The Giants are only 2.5 games behind the Brewers and aren’t currently selling. Texas is probably selling but Minor would be the best available arm. If they need a starter it’s likley Houser with Nelson coming back to assume Houser’s bullpen spot
  19. What players on the Major League roster could Amaro possibly be scouting for a Lugo trade? Freddy Peralta would make the most sense. Their value is pretty similar (maybe a slight edge to Freddy) and Lugo is probably a better bet to be a top end reliever over the next couple of seasons. Lugo is under team control through 2022. Reminder, this is merely a prediction... and probably a wild one at that. Edit: Another player the Mets could possibly have some interest in is Ben Gamel. If the Brewers are a believer in Trent Grisham then maybe his skillset is somewhat redundant with Gamel? Would be a huge gamble that Grisham suddenly ready for prime time after 100 at bats in AAA
  20. This is the entire point. Daniel Hudson isn’t a relief ace but based on numbers this year he’d be one the best relief pitchers on the Brewers not named Hader. And this is the important part: for a team on the fence between buying and selling and a GM demanding internal improvement; these are the low risk type of moves the team should be looking for incremental improvement from outside the organization 2019 FIP 4.48. Guerra (who has pitched the most out of the pen) 4.91, Claudio who has the most appearances 5.09. Only Houser and Hader strike out more per 9. Hudson allows fewer homers per 9 than all but Jeffrey’s
  21. I find the pining for Derek Johnson interesting. He couldn’t do anything with Garza who was actually decent before DJ arrived. Ditto, Wily Peralta, Taylor Jungmann and Michael Blazek. If he’s going to get all the credit for having good pitching staffs in 2017, 2018 and 2019 you should also heap the blame on him for failing to get more out of Garza and top rated prospects Wily Peralta and Taylor Jungmann. Or maybe those guys simply weren’t any good and an MLB coach has a limited impact on a player’s success or failure. .
  22. I think it’s harder to get Shaw back on the 25 man roster than it is to get him at bats. Surely Counsell can get regular at bats for Aguilar, Shaw, Hiura and Moustakas. They need someone on the roster that can play short stop besides Arcia and that is Saladino.
  23. I just don’t see the Brewers giving up the prospects likely necessary to land the high leverage relievers like Will Smith, Sam Dyson, Ken Giles etc. Swarzak cost Ryan Cordell Soria cost Medeiros. Neither of whom were amongst the better Brewer minor league players. They picked up Lyles on a waiver claim, and I had never heard of Xavier Cedeno when the Brewers acquired him despite living in Chicago. I think given how the team has played played the likely strategy will be to acquire players with an eye towards improving the rotation and bullpen by replacing the pitchers who have really struggled, as opposed to paying the high cost in talent to acquire front of the rotation starting pitching or late inning relievers.
  24. What about Daniel Hudson? Has the lower profile similar to the moves Stearns makes. Hudson is on a one year 1.5 million dollar deal with the Blue Jays. 9K per 9. 2:1 K:BB ratio. His homer per 9 ratio of 1.1 is better than any Brewer reliever outside Jeffress. Hudson is definitely available and in terms of prospect capital would not require a significant return
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