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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    With their dire need for offense they’d probably send him to get some hacks in Appleton to see how the hand feels then rejoin the team in Washington if he recovers well. There’s not much point to continue with the three headed monster of Perkins, Jones and Lockridge if they’re sure his hand is healed. Chourio rusty > that triumvirate
  2. Jopal78
  3. Jopal78
    Zerpa has been about a replacement level pitcher for his career, so it looks like the mythical Brewers magic hasn’t worked because he’s still that guy. Being a hard throwing lefty on a bargain basement contract, if he was DFA’d he would likely be claimed. Likewise if there were other pitchers on the 40 man roster they liked more they’d likely be up already. So to answer the question the leash appears to be lengthy for several reasons .
  4. Jopal78
    No it doesn’t mean a thing. The Packers don’t typically draft players, regardless of round, who they expect to plug in as full time starters from day 1. Plus you’re forgetting. Morgan went on IR with an injury his rookie year after playing in six games.. this last year he played and played all the snaps in most of the games. He was just moved around in a different position every week. Maybe your expectations are too high for an inexperienced guy to come out gangbusters while playing different spots or your memories wrong I don’t know. I do know that where their rushing game finished with one group of lineman in one season and where it finished with a different group of lineman in different season has no bearing on each other and indicates nothing about developing talent. . You know that too. For example, maybe the passer was better in one year and opponents had to play pass coverage more and the running game was better for it, or vice versa. Maybe the running back in one year was not good enough and was tremendous in another. Maybe one year’s slate of opponents were better at defending run than other years’ opponents that’s why I say it’s subjective because you believe it’s true not because there is empirical evidence which says so.
  5. Jopal78
    Quantify it then. That Morgan hasn’t played much in 2 years doesn’t mean a thing. Zero. So why do you say he’s a bad pick? Maybe because you “subjectively” think first round picks should be plug and play (I don’t disagree with you) but frankly that’s never been how the Packers draft so it shouldn’t be a surprise. Again saying one year’s group is better than another and somehow evidences a larger trend is your opinion and is the definition of subjective. Thats okay, but you’re not basing it on anything but your own preference/opinion and thoughts. Even if they scored more points, had more rushing yards, etc with one group than another those aren’t things with a direct cause and effect relationship. If it’s objectively worse tell us why?
  6. Jopal78
    Again, you’re being subjective here and that’s okay. But why were they signing Billy Turner in the first place, unless they didn’t have anyone better? Runyan, Myers, Patrick and Nijman didn’t get second contracts from the Packers after their initial four years. So none of those players are “good to great”. I agree they’re taking a chance with Morgan. He’s got short arms and hasn’t shown much so far moving all over the OL. But Rhyan improved the C position when given a chance after not showing much moving all over , so it’s premature to say Morgan sucks at LT. Belton was fine as a rookie, Tom is fine. Banks was hurt most of the year, maybe he could be a bust but I’ll withhold judgment and see how he plays if/when healthy first.
  7. Jopal78
    I think we agree that strong OLs and DLs makes everyone else on the roster better, but I think your criticism maybe subjective rather than objectively based. The Packers have only drafted 10 lineman since 2020. Of that 10 only 5 of them were taken before the 200th pick overall. Yet in a reality where >50% of all draft picks are misses, 3 of those 10 OL picks received second contracts from the Packers. And out of the 10 drafted since 2020, only Royce Newman is out of football (although admittedly Jacob Monk probably isn’t far behind).
  8. Jopal78
    It’s early but it sure seems they should have just run it back with last year’s group and taken the comp pick when Peralta rejected the QO.
  9. Jopal78
    That’s a big no for me. Although, this is probably the best shot Black has received so far, or is likely going to get. As a first round pick out of college 5 years ago, they should really see if he has what it takes to be a major leaguer and they really could use some consistent offense.
  10. Jopal78
    Well, I’d say Peña’s contract isn’t in the realm of acquiring. It would be at least 12-14 million dollars in 2027, a sum they would not pay, nor would they trade the assets for a player like that merely to flip him for salary relief months later. As for players who can help, the reality is they’re likely going going to stand pat. Maybe comb the waiver wire. If they’re a winning club in July they’ll probably do what they do every year: add some depth pieces in the back of the rotation and/or bullpen, improve the bench players etc. To answer your question, I don’t see them making a transformative trade. They have stockpiled well regarded minor league players for a reason and they’re not going to move away from that concept right before it starts to bare fruit.
  11. Jopal78
    I kind of wish they had Collins and Mears back instead of Zerpa and Matos/Perkins,/Jones
  12. Jopal78
    Trading veterans for prospects and shuffling major league pieces in lateral moves tends to do it, unless the front office beats the odds and hits way more often than they don’t.
  13. Jopal78
    Bauers is alright as a bench player: has some power, can play a few spots defensively, runs ok. He just shouldn’t be playing everyday. The bigger criticism is the Brewers’ bungled 40 man roster with 11 OFers and no true first basemen outside Bauers. Plus, more than half those outfielders bring the same skill profile.
  14. Jopal78
    Oh gosh, here we go…. Wiemer went 8 for 10 in the first series of the year. He’s 7 for 34 since (.205). Nothing to see here
  15. Jopal78
    Patrick tops out in the lower 90s he’s gotta hit his spots to be effective, just been missing tonight
  16. Jopal78
    I think you’re right. He’s too small and weak to be any good but after last year I was hopeful he was going to prove us wrong
  17. Jopal78
    At least Ortiz didn’t hit last year either. Frelick is easily the biggest disappointment on the team so far.
  18. Jopal78
    For Jeremy Pena? No. The Astros are not motivated to trade him, he already makes 10 million dollars/season and is a free agent after 2027. Those are not the types of players the Brewers historically have traded for. Pratt is going to get every chance to be the longterm SS and soon. Because of that, it seems very unlikely they’d trade minor league depth to acquire a SS to bridge the gap for 5 months or less. Too many teams are playing competitive baseball right now, so the chance somebody trades major league assets away in April or May is nil. Even at the deadline, recent Brewers history suggests they’re most likely to improve the overall talent of their roster by acquiring better players than those who currently occupy the bottom spots of the 26 man roster, than a big swing for the fences move.
  19. Jopal78
    Sure it makes sense that the Brewers have a need at SS but that’s about it. If the Astros flounder and choose to rebuild, they’re not going to include cash to move their valuable players. Secondly, teams simply don’t often trade their top tier prospects anymore, so cash is not likely going to persuade anyone to depart from that path anyways. The other difference is Adames arrived with 3+ years of control. Peña has 1+ season. It looks good in theory, but the teams/situation don’t really match up for this kind of move
  20. Jopal78
    Or an is already making 10 million dollars this season and presumably will get a multi million dollar raise next year in arbitration. I don’t think the Brewers would really be interested in trading some of their minor league depth to add that kind of salary commitment.
  21. Jopal78
    I guess the bullpen struggles were a little overblown 4 IP 1H 2BB 4K
  22. Jopal78
    …. And potentially helps sell tickets to early season games that are normally a tougher sell by having teams like Toronto come to town who don’t play in Milwaukee often.
  23. Jopal78
    There is the problem with Metrics. bWAR has Burnes at 3.9 and Ortiz and Hall combined at 3.9. So by their model it’s been a wash and both Brewers at or near replacement level so far this season. If it was as simple as looking at players who left and ones that arrived and presuming a connection, one could stretch these arguments out infinitum. The point is: a team like Milwaukee is never going to be a player in today’s free agency so the veteran for prospects move is essential, and this one at least is looking like they swapped out their best player and the return didn’t hurt the team, but it didn’t really better them either which when this is the lifeline of your team, kind of sucks.
  24. Jopal78
    No. Just because Steve Cohen is a brash, expects to win and is visible on the socials does not mean he is “meddling” owner. There are not any reports he overrules the GM, dictates who plays and who doesn’t or otherwise micro-manages the team, etc. Further, to have played .318 baseball so far is clearly an anomaly and not reflective of the talent they have in the roster which is quite good (Soto, Bichette, Lindor, Peralta, McLean, etc). In 2024, the Mets went 9-19 on May, spent the entire season out of first place, yet won 89 games and lost the NLCS 4-2. They’re going to be fine. I know as Brewers fans who were spurned by David Stearns for the big market glitzy New York, his quick failure there would be extra sweet, but he’s not getting fired this year short of them losing 100+ games.
  25. Jopal78
    Maybe you’re right (though Bodine was flipped to get Shane Baz). As someone else mentioned, if the best they could get for the final year of team control of a Cy Young winner is DL Hall and Joey Ortiz, then they probably should have kept Burnes and taken the comp pick when he rejected a QO after 2024. Because at this rate, Hall who is arbitration eligible, could be non-tendered after the season, and Ortiz is already a just a place holder for more highly touted talent.
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