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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Turang will be 30 by the time he’s eligible for free agency too. He’d need to pick up his game even more to be worth an extension into his mid to late 30s.
  2. Jopal78
    Maybe money? Brewers have $3.1 million in bonus money invested in Wilken, $1.3 million in Pratt. Probably makes sense to be a little more deliberate with a college player they have a good chunk of bonus money invested into, than automatically clearing the decks for the 20 year olds.
  3. Jopal78
    Take a look at 2016 then. MLB Pipeline had their system ranked #1 in the mid season rankings. Yet, just 3 players out of their Top 10 went on to become regular contributors for the Brewers (Hader Arcia, and Williams). 2 never saw the major leagues (Gilbert Lara, Kodi Medeiros. Grisham was traded away. The other four were fringey major leaguers who were traded by Milwaukee and subsequently released/put on waivers by their new club, then bounced from organization to organization (Cody Ponce, Brett Phillips, Jorge Lopez and Jacob Nottingham). Prospect love is cool especially to keep hot stove going, but the real probability that more than a couple of the Brewers current crop of heralded prospects pan out as regular contributors in Milwaukee is slim.
  4. Jopal78
    I chose 2020 because that year is mature. We know what happened to those players. 2021 might be the last mature year, and there are six players in the Top 10 who aren’t in the Brewers plan anymore. It’s math 50% or more aren’t going to make it, unless like I said, it’s nice in a lifetime luck and the Brewers are busting at the seams with talent.
  5. Jopal78
    Take a look at the Brewers Top prospect list from 2020. Four of their Top 10 never saw the majors (Tristen Lutz, Antoine Kelly, Eduardo Perez and Herbert Kelly) three made token appearances for the Brewers (Small, Corey Ray, Feliciano), one was traded (Rasmussen) and Turang and Ashby are regulars in Milwaukee. Point being, unless they are once in a lifetime lucky, it is an inevitability that some of these prospects will flame out before Milwaukee and some will be flipped for different players, and who plays where will work itself out that way.
  6. Jopal78
    Maybe you’ve seen him play, I haven’t seen him play. However, Keith Law has seen him play and writes, Pratt needs to develop power and make better quality contact to be more than a soft regular in the major leagues. So there’s someone, certainly with some credibility, who has seen him play that’s questioning the potential of the bat.
  7. Jopal78
    A sub .350 slugging percentage will and should raise questions about the future potential of the bat.
  8. Jopal78
    They’re not going to have their 3rd best prospect (Williams) debut in the majors as bench player. Mitchell and Ortiz are going to get another chance in CF and SS if for no other reason to try to rebuild value before the organization moves on. As such, they’ll likely play Williams in ST everyday then option him to AAA to get regular playing time in CF. Lockridge moves to RF in Nashville
  9. Jopal78
    How about better players. Perkins and Koenig are major leaguers but of the “nice to have” kind and definitely not the type where someone is trading major league assets to get them.
  10. Jopal78
    It could be simply that Montgomery is waiting to see what his last best offer is. He was terrible in 2024 before hurting his elbow in 2025 so the suitors and terms maybe limited. Zack Littel and Chris Bassit would be 2nd tier free agents who could make sense for a veteran starter for the Brewers, but both are probably out of Milwaukee’s price range. They’re probably better off trying to get a veteran bat or two on a one year deal than more starting pitching.
  11. Jopal78
    Fan puffery to the extent of calling one team’s “lab” better than the others or ‘the best’. For example, Seattle has the same type of system and reputation for cranking out quality pitchers and improving pitchers who come to their organization, besides due to bias how can anyone objectively say Milwaukee’s “lab” is better? Which isn’t to say compared to a team like the Angels (who reportedly are less invested in biomechanics and motion capture) the Brewers are cutting edge. And for a franchise that’s not going to have multiple 30 million dollar AAV contracts, the biomechanics/motion capture pitching “lab” is kind of table stakes if the franchise wants to be competitive.
  12. Jopal78
    Right, and pro sports are copy cat leagues. If the Brewers had some sort of culture which was known to give them an edge, teams would identify someone who is a part of that culture, hire them away to build their own culture for a new team. It happens all the time, other teams catch up and you have to find the next angle for that edge.
  13. Jopal78
    If you say so. If there was a “proven method” that the Brewers utilized or had more skilled people in the lab than other team, are you telling us thier lab folks are just plugging away year after year and no attempts have been made to poach them by other teams for more money, professional advancement etc? The more likely is the haves (who have the equipment and know how to use it) and the haves nots, and there isn’t a quantifiable way you can rank the haves.
  14. Jopal78
    It’s fan puffery to an extent. A pitching lab has high speed cameras, biomechanics equipment and software to evaluate spin, axis and movement to help work with a pitcher to develop, refine or discard pitches based on the data captured and recorded. 8-10 teams have one now, and it’s impossible to quantify if one is better than another. (Milwaukee’s lab is better than Seattle’s or Houston’s etc.)
  15. Jopal78
    Mickey Mantle. None of us are privy to what they were offered or by whom or even what teams were truly interested.. If the implication in your question is: this return was the best they were going to do, then making their division winning roster from 2025 worse in the short run for “potential“ gains in the future is a risky move, and perhaps they should have held on to Peralta for awhile longer. But like I said, the Brewers seem to know what they’re doing so they’re gonna get the benefit of the doubt.
  16. Jopal78
    Keyword “potentially”. It’s fine, they got 2 players they really like for their best trade chip They’re not going to say anything other than how excited they are. I think objectively it makes the 2026 team less talented, while it potentially makes the 2027 and beyond teams better. I had hoped they’d get someone for Peralta that was plug and play at a position of need, but the front office seems to know what they’re doing so they get the benefit of the doubt.
  17. Jopal78
    Sproat maybe as a 5th starter. Most of the linked publications in this thread mention he struggles with command. I’d imagine he’ll compete with Gasser, Henderson, Carlos Rodriguez, DL Hall etc. but with the most options remaining will likely windup in AAA to start ‘26. Have yet to see any pundit or writer linked in this thread say Williams is MLB ready now.
  18. Jopal78
    They’re not so hot for Williams: markers suggesting a below average hit tool and utility role
  19. Jopal78
    First it’s the minor leagues, and most of his experience is in the lower levels, it’s not even close to the level of pitching he’d see in Milwaukee. More importantly smaller humans don’t have the same extension and mass as taller players do, and the pitch plane mismatch is more significant. Thus, the margin for error is that much smaller and he’ll need near perfect mechanics. Can a small player hit for power in the major leagues, sure. Is it likely, no. They were always going to trade Peralta, I just would've preferred someone who’s ready to play now at a position of need.
  20. Jopal78
    Maybe that’s the cautionary tale. DL Hall with injuries and diminished velocity is shaping up to be a bust, and almost everyone wants to dump Ortiz after he was the worst hitter in the NL. 2 years later those players haven’t definitively made the Brewers better.
  21. Jopal78
    They traded a player whose absence makes the 2026 team worse, for 2 players who may or may not help them this year.
  22. Jopal78
    He’s got 700 career at bats above A-ball with a sub .800 OPS. Those are facts, you can look it up. I don’t really care what the metrics say for 34 games last summer in AAA, and I would hope the Brewers front office doesn’t draw any conclusions based on it either because it is the definition of a small sample. EDIT: I guess they did…
  23. Jopal78
    It’s playing the percentages. Peralta is the best chip the Brewers have to improve their talent level. Jett Williams hit well in the low level of minor leagues. It’s not known how well he will hit in the upper levels. There are very few MLB players that short who hit for power consistently in the last 40 years. I’d prefer the Brewers to hang on to Peralta unless someone is willing to fork over a blue chipper who is ready for the major leagues.
  24. Jopal78
    Ok, and in 700+ PAs since leaving A ball it’s under .800, so you’ve got some sample size issues there. Like I said, being under 5’9” makes the physics of hitting for power that much harder. Which why in the last 40 years the short guys that have are a class of 2.
  25. Jopal78
    And more starts in AAA than Burnes, Woodruff and Peralta. And all the while toiling away in AAA as the Mets gave 27 starts to pitchers with a collective era over 5.00; so it’s not like Sproat was in AAA for lack of need in New York. As for Williams, the list of 5’9” and shorter MLB hitters with power in the modern era is: Puckett and Altuve, so take Willaims’ mashing in A-ball with a grain of salt. In fact you can already see it playing out that his OPS after leaving A-ball is under .800. A short, speedy contact hitter with defensive versatility….. sounds like Caleb Durbin to me. Plus, as the Mets pay over 40 million dollars (salary + luxury tax) to acquire Luis Robert Jr., Peralta is worth his weight in gold to the big boys paying the CBT because his salary is only 8 million.
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