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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Yeah, you could be right. Clearly Perkins is a fringe major leaguer so playing once a week isn’t going to make much impact. If the organization still views black as someone who might be a regular contributor in the future, they probably want him to play every day than be a soft platoon getting at bats here and there. Time will tell.
  2. Jopal78
    It’s too bad Black isn’t viable at 3B, he’d already have gotten his shot to be a regular. But he’s not going to play regularly over Chourio, Mitchell, Frelick, Yelich and Vaughn once(if) they’re all healthy. So then they probably ship him back to AAA to play everyday instead of pinch hitting and spot starts. Maybe if Vaughn lays an egg this year and gets non-tendered that would open up a spot for Black. Otherwise his best path is taking over the Jake Bauers role next year 1B and OF reserve
  3. Jopal78
    Pratt has a whopping 3 extra base hits against AAA pitching where there isn’t a Skenes, a Mitch Keller, a Edwin Cabrera, a Chase Burns, Yamamoto, Sale, Elder, etc etc. I’m not defending Ortiz but there’s really not many replacements who are likely to be significantly better despite how low the bar is.
  4. Jopal78
    But they didn’t pay Jordan Montgomery $22 million. The season was 66% over when he was acquired an it was absorbing approx 7 million dollars of his reming salary to acquire Shelby Miller without having to ship out talent in exchange. It’s creative it just doesn’t change the premise that they are not going to have much interest in trading for veterans with hefty contracts/commitments. Arnold as GM just hasn’t taken on a big contracts in trades, and it’s not really in the brewers history overall to carry a stack of big contracts/commitments. The last 15 years it’s been Braun on a market rate deal and one or two other players, then Yelich on a market rate deal and one or two other players. I don’t expect that to change before 2029 unfortunately.
  5. Jopal78
    No. It’s not like the Brewers are tanking where losing is tolerated as part of the bigger picture. They’re trying to win as many as possible. They’re not going to call up Pratt to be overmatched at the major league level just for the sake of making a change at SS. They’ll call him up when they believe the totality of his game is superior to what Ortiz offers. It could happen this year, but early indications are Pratt is going to need significant playing time to develop against advanced minor league pitching let alone major league pitching.
  6. Jopal78
    Other than one of the points of the extension was to unburden Pratt’s development. Calling him up to the major leagues when he’s currently overmatched in AAA is exactly the opposite of their initial intent. Ortiz is awful with the bat, no argument there, but they’re short on pragmatic alternatives so he’ll continue to get ABs until someone else’s performance takes his job away.
  7. Jopal78
    You might want to check Williams and Pratt’s numbers in AAA this year. Neither of them are going to force the Brewers hand anytime soon. Leonard isn’t on the 40 man roster which means his path is more complicated. Where Joey is at with the bat and what would be acceptable for a strong defensive SS is t that wide of a chasm. He’ll keep getting chances until somebody takes his job from him, but without someone breathing down his neck they’re not going to make a change for change’s sake.
  8. Jopal78
    Really? Define all the time. Yelich and Woodruff 2 out of 26 making 12 million or more (7% of the players on the 26 man roster). Last year it was Yelich and Hoskins. In ‘24 it was 3 of 26 (Yelich, Hoskins and Adames). In ‘22,’ 23 it was just Yelich and in ‘21 it was Yelich and Cain. So no, they’re not likely going to trade for some expensive veteran player, it’s not their way. They are who they are at this point, in July if they’re a playoff contender they’ll add some pieces on the edge of the roster like they always do. Who those players are depends on what teams are finished by July
  9. Jopal78
    With their dire need for offense they’d probably send him to get some hacks in Appleton to see how the hand feels then rejoin the team in Washington if he recovers well. There’s not much point to continue with the three headed monster of Perkins, Jones and Lockridge if they’re sure his hand is healed. Chourio rusty > that triumvirate
  10. Jopal78
  11. Jopal78
    Zerpa has been about a replacement level pitcher for his career, so it looks like the mythical Brewers magic hasn’t worked because he’s still that guy. Being a hard throwing lefty on a bargain basement contract, if he was DFA’d he would likely be claimed. Likewise if there were other pitchers on the 40 man roster they liked more they’d likely be up already. So to answer the question the leash appears to be lengthy for several reasons .
  12. Jopal78
    No it doesn’t mean a thing. The Packers don’t typically draft players, regardless of round, who they expect to plug in as full time starters from day 1. Plus you’re forgetting. Morgan went on IR with an injury his rookie year after playing in six games.. this last year he played and played all the snaps in most of the games. He was just moved around in a different position every week. Maybe your expectations are too high for an inexperienced guy to come out gangbusters while playing different spots or your memories wrong I don’t know. I do know that where their rushing game finished with one group of lineman in one season and where it finished with a different group of lineman in different season has no bearing on each other and indicates nothing about developing talent. . You know that too. For example, maybe the passer was better in one year and opponents had to play pass coverage more and the running game was better for it, or vice versa. Maybe the running back in one year was not good enough and was tremendous in another. Maybe one year’s slate of opponents were better at defending run than other years’ opponents that’s why I say it’s subjective because you believe it’s true not because there is empirical evidence which says so.
  13. Jopal78
    Quantify it then. That Morgan hasn’t played much in 2 years doesn’t mean a thing. Zero. So why do you say he’s a bad pick? Maybe because you “subjectively” think first round picks should be plug and play (I don’t disagree with you) but frankly that’s never been how the Packers draft so it shouldn’t be a surprise. Again saying one year’s group is better than another and somehow evidences a larger trend is your opinion and is the definition of subjective. Thats okay, but you’re not basing it on anything but your own preference/opinion and thoughts. Even if they scored more points, had more rushing yards, etc with one group than another those aren’t things with a direct cause and effect relationship. If it’s objectively worse tell us why?
  14. Jopal78
    Again, you’re being subjective here and that’s okay. But why were they signing Billy Turner in the first place, unless they didn’t have anyone better? Runyan, Myers, Patrick and Nijman didn’t get second contracts from the Packers after their initial four years. So none of those players are “good to great”. I agree they’re taking a chance with Morgan. He’s got short arms and hasn’t shown much so far moving all over the OL. But Rhyan improved the C position when given a chance after not showing much moving all over , so it’s premature to say Morgan sucks at LT. Belton was fine as a rookie, Tom is fine. Banks was hurt most of the year, maybe he could be a bust but I’ll withhold judgment and see how he plays if/when healthy first.
  15. Jopal78
    I think we agree that strong OLs and DLs makes everyone else on the roster better, but I think your criticism maybe subjective rather than objectively based. The Packers have only drafted 10 lineman since 2020. Of that 10 only 5 of them were taken before the 200th pick overall. Yet in a reality where >50% of all draft picks are misses, 3 of those 10 OL picks received second contracts from the Packers. And out of the 10 drafted since 2020, only Royce Newman is out of football (although admittedly Jacob Monk probably isn’t far behind).
  16. Jopal78
    It’s early but it sure seems they should have just run it back with last year’s group and taken the comp pick when Peralta rejected the QO.
  17. Jopal78
    That’s a big no for me. Although, this is probably the best shot Black has received so far, or is likely going to get. As a first round pick out of college 5 years ago, they should really see if he has what it takes to be a major leaguer and they really could use some consistent offense.
  18. Jopal78
    Well, I’d say Peña’s contract isn’t in the realm of acquiring. It would be at least 12-14 million dollars in 2027, a sum they would not pay, nor would they trade the assets for a player like that merely to flip him for salary relief months later. As for players who can help, the reality is they’re likely going going to stand pat. Maybe comb the waiver wire. If they’re a winning club in July they’ll probably do what they do every year: add some depth pieces in the back of the rotation and/or bullpen, improve the bench players etc. To answer your question, I don’t see them making a transformative trade. They have stockpiled well regarded minor league players for a reason and they’re not going to move away from that concept right before it starts to bare fruit.
  19. Jopal78
    I kind of wish they had Collins and Mears back instead of Zerpa and Matos/Perkins,/Jones
  20. Jopal78
    Trading veterans for prospects and shuffling major league pieces in lateral moves tends to do it, unless the front office beats the odds and hits way more often than they don’t.
  21. Jopal78
    Bauers is alright as a bench player: has some power, can play a few spots defensively, runs ok. He just shouldn’t be playing everyday. The bigger criticism is the Brewers’ bungled 40 man roster with 11 OFers and no true first basemen outside Bauers. Plus, more than half those outfielders bring the same skill profile.
  22. Jopal78
    Oh gosh, here we go…. Wiemer went 8 for 10 in the first series of the year. He’s 7 for 34 since (.205). Nothing to see here
  23. Jopal78
    Patrick tops out in the lower 90s he’s gotta hit his spots to be effective, just been missing tonight
  24. Jopal78
    I think you’re right. He’s too small and weak to be any good but after last year I was hopeful he was going to prove us wrong
  25. Jopal78
    At least Ortiz didn’t hit last year either. Frelick is easily the biggest disappointment on the team so far.
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