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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Ok, but you miss the point. At a time when salaries continue to explode, why would Contreras sign an extension with Milwaukee giving away his best earning years to make less on average than the top catchers in the game make now? They play for money; and he’d be making a boneheaded financial decision which neither helps him in the short run or the long run.
  2. Jopal78
    I thought the Brewers were going to have SP issues this year, but good golly the Mets SP wasn’t hot and now Paddack with nearly 50 pitches through 2 innings, Varland played in traffic all day yesterday and lasted 4 innings, I’m starting to think Milwaukee just might be okay in the SP department
  3. Jopal78
    Willson Contreras was 30 when he signed his 5 year deal. Murphy was 28 when he signed his six year deal. A 6 or 7 year deal now would leave Contreras coming out of contract at 33 or 34 having signed away the best earning years of his career for just 15 million AAV. (Realmuto 23 mil. AAV, Salvador Perez 20 mil. AAV, Wilson Contreras 18 mil. AAV) The Dodgers contract with Smith is unique because he has a guarantee for what is almost certainly the rest of his career, plus its front loaded as he gets 30 mil of the 140 mil up front as a signing bonus. Like any player, if the Brewers were willing to pay market rate prices they likely could sign Contreras to an extension tomorrow. However, Wm. Contreras has no logical reason to sign an extension like the proposals above. It would be for less AAV than the best catchers in the game get, and would end at the exact time most catchers experience a drop off in play
  4. Jopal78
    Look at Pudge Rodriguez; he was washed up as a hitter after age 32. Piazza was done behind the plate at 35, DH’d for a year and was out of the game at 36. Buster Posey retired at 34. All three are HoF or likely HoF catchers. It would be dumb to sign Contreras, or any catcher, into their mid-30s. The Dodgers have the luxury to eat the back end of that Will Smith extension or pay most of his salary in order to trade him to another team.
  5. Jopal78
    After his initial call up he didn’t really drive the ball much last year. Too early to say, I thought Turang wouldn’t hit enough and at the outset he’s made improvements this year.
  6. Jopal78
    Part of it might be besides Hoskins who do they have with some experience at first base? I don’t think they call up Black to play a couple times a week.
  7. Jopal78
    I don’t get it with Bauers, doesn’t really give them good at bats, hasn’t been good in his career. Can’t believe he’s still surviving on prospect hype.
  8. Jopal78
    Absolutely! But he only did the 1st and 2nd innings so far.
  9. Jopal78
    Morbid but the life expectancy for a 90 year old American male is 4+ years. In Bob’s case it’s probably more relevant that Vin Scully (another one of the all time greats) retired at 89. Ernie Harwell retired at 84, etc. It could simply be his desire to spend two months worth of summer nights calling games is waning.
  10. Jopal78
    Seems to me the lines to get to a QR code will make it just as time consuming as the queue to get into the lots was. Like most things this smells like nothing more than a way to maximize revenue by eliminating the cost of many of the paid parking staff, and potential revenue losses from any cash thefts by the attendants, discounts given or freebies.
  11. Jopal78
    Partial dislocation of the shoulder (subluxation) won’t know more until inflammation subsides. Reportedly had same injury previously and underwent surgery for it. Not a good sign.
  12. Jopal78
    Is Rickie Weeks with the team? In dugout shots I’ve seen injured Devin Williams and Woodruff yet haven’t seen Weeks
  13. Jopal78
    I saw Hall‘S final Cactus League start and his velocity was the same 92-93 which the D’Backs didn’t have problems getting the bat on. Then he started landing 76 mph breaking balls for called strikes and pitched well.
  14. Jopal78
    I was in Arizona last week, and after observing Hoskins play thought he was the textbook definition of someone who lumbers,
  15. Jopal78
    Sure, there is no more Uecker doing the pregame show in Montreal as a disgruntled French Canadian, or a multi inning story about the Furry Convention in San Diego at the Brewers’ hotel, BUT even 90 year old Uecker mistaking a player for someone else beats the other three bozos (who seemingly spend the broadcast dropping pop culture references) every single time
  16. Jopal78
    Mitchell won’t ever amount to anything as a major leaguer; too many injuries. Has yet to play in more than 68 games in a season since turning pro. No way to know for sure if his Type 1 diabetes plays a role in his injuries, but folks with Type 1 are more prone to fractures than the general population
  17. Jopal78
    You may have a point with the Acuna’s and Peralta’s who are signed as kids in the islands. But Corey Ray got nearly 5 million dollars, just to sign after being drafted, Hiura got 4 million, Frelick got 4 million dollars etc. The thought that even a 100K automobile would break those guys or the purchase of a luxury car being indicative of wasting their fortunes is kind of silly. Which also omits the likelihood that many of the cars players tool around with in Milwaukee are leases (I’m sure Turang packs his gloves and spikes into the Bentley and drives from Southern California to Arizona, then on to Milwaukee).
  18. Jopal78
    Look at the other active pitchers with 2 or more Cy Young awards and their AAV: Verlander—- $43 million AAV Scherzer—- $43 million AAV deGrom—- $37 million AAV Even Kershaw got a 10 million dollar guarantee and he might miss all of ‘24 and retire. If those are the comps, you might think Snell/Boras have egg on their faces, but why would Snell even consider signing a deal which would lock in his compensation for years at a rate so much less than his peers?
  19. Jopal78
    Tough world, Boras apparently mucked it up, AND got his guy $30 million dollars for ‘24 at the same time. Not to mention agents get paid by taking a percentage so it’s actually against his own financial interest for his clients to take one year high AAV deals. You’re right, Snell could be fizzled out in a year or two, OR he could win his 3rd Cy Young which would punch his ticket to Cooperstown. What’s Boras to do when teams that can afford 30 million AAV are risk averse or well into the luxury tax? All of his clients have extreme competitive drives or they wouldn’t be in the majors, so arguing to bet against themselves is something that’s likely given much thought. So they wait until the last minute hoping someone panics then choose the top AAV and try again next winter.
  20. Jopal78
    Snell has 2 Cy Young Awards, and throws with his left hand. His agent got him AAV of $30 million dollars for ‘24 (and the chance to try again next year without a QO attached) which places him Top 10 amongst starting pitcher salaries. Same situation with Bellinger and the Cubs. It’s trendy to torch Boras this off season, for not getting the 10 year mega deals. But why would a quality agent attempt to sell his clients short on AAV? Taking a larger guarantee in favor of a smaller AAV in reality is asking a player to bet against themselves. Taking the AAV in the short run is exactly how the Brewers wound up with Yasmani Grandal, and it worked out fine for him and the Brewers.
  21. Jopal78
    Look at the symptoms: “my back hurts when throwing”. Real general and non-specific. Those symptoms could be regular soreness, strain, or something else anll together etc. Then, once the season ended who knows if he kept in contact with team doctors on the status of his back. We do know when he reported back pain this spring that wasn’t just usual soreness from ramping up again, they had him get a MRI. Purportedly, stress fractures cannot really be diagnosed absent an MRI and they don’t appear that different on the scan from soft tissue swelling (which would also cause back pain and would be expected in ramping up after a long time off), hence Williams went to a specialist for a 2nd opinion. I don’t know how the Brewers and especially their medical team can be criticized under the circumstances
  22. Jopal78
    It’s also 7 million dollars, which will turn off a lot of teams
  23. Jopal78
    I’d put in a claim on him, but only if he’s got the chops to hack it everyday at 3B. Then Ortiz starts at 2B and can punt two of Miller, Turang and Monasterio to AAA
  24. Jopal78
    …. But I never said “only” so I guess we’re not really in disagreement
  25. Jopal78
    I did say American born players don’t do them “very often”. You cited 15 out of how many pre-arbitration players? Hundreds? More anecdotal than anything, but ok fair point. But why do you assume the Brewers are dumb and haven’t determined which players it makes sense to extend? It seems to me they would not be doing their due diligence if they DIDN’T routinely make those type of overtures to players they like. Therefore, the lack of such extensions being completed, more probably true than not, reflects the overwhelming disinclination of players to do contract extensions where they’re giving up free agency years .
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