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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Partial dislocation of the shoulder (subluxation) won’t know more until inflammation subsides. Reportedly had same injury previously and underwent surgery for it. Not a good sign.
  2. Jopal78
    Is Rickie Weeks with the team? In dugout shots I’ve seen injured Devin Williams and Woodruff yet haven’t seen Weeks
  3. Jopal78
    I saw Hall‘S final Cactus League start and his velocity was the same 92-93 which the D’Backs didn’t have problems getting the bat on. Then he started landing 76 mph breaking balls for called strikes and pitched well.
  4. Jopal78
    I was in Arizona last week, and after observing Hoskins play thought he was the textbook definition of someone who lumbers,
  5. Jopal78
    Sure, there is no more Uecker doing the pregame show in Montreal as a disgruntled French Canadian, or a multi inning story about the Furry Convention in San Diego at the Brewers’ hotel, BUT even 90 year old Uecker mistaking a player for someone else beats the other three bozos (who seemingly spend the broadcast dropping pop culture references) every single time
  6. Jopal78
    Mitchell won’t ever amount to anything as a major leaguer; too many injuries. Has yet to play in more than 68 games in a season since turning pro. No way to know for sure if his Type 1 diabetes plays a role in his injuries, but folks with Type 1 are more prone to fractures than the general population
  7. Jopal78
    You may have a point with the Acuna’s and Peralta’s who are signed as kids in the islands. But Corey Ray got nearly 5 million dollars, just to sign after being drafted, Hiura got 4 million, Frelick got 4 million dollars etc. The thought that even a 100K automobile would break those guys or the purchase of a luxury car being indicative of wasting their fortunes is kind of silly. Which also omits the likelihood that many of the cars players tool around with in Milwaukee are leases (I’m sure Turang packs his gloves and spikes into the Bentley and drives from Southern California to Arizona, then on to Milwaukee).
  8. Jopal78
    Look at the other active pitchers with 2 or more Cy Young awards and their AAV: Verlander—- $43 million AAV Scherzer—- $43 million AAV deGrom—- $37 million AAV Even Kershaw got a 10 million dollar guarantee and he might miss all of ‘24 and retire. If those are the comps, you might think Snell/Boras have egg on their faces, but why would Snell even consider signing a deal which would lock in his compensation for years at a rate so much less than his peers?
  9. Jopal78
    Tough world, Boras apparently mucked it up, AND got his guy $30 million dollars for ‘24 at the same time. Not to mention agents get paid by taking a percentage so it’s actually against his own financial interest for his clients to take one year high AAV deals. You’re right, Snell could be fizzled out in a year or two, OR he could win his 3rd Cy Young which would punch his ticket to Cooperstown. What’s Boras to do when teams that can afford 30 million AAV are risk averse or well into the luxury tax? All of his clients have extreme competitive drives or they wouldn’t be in the majors, so arguing to bet against themselves is something that’s likely given much thought. So they wait until the last minute hoping someone panics then choose the top AAV and try again next winter.
  10. Jopal78
    Snell has 2 Cy Young Awards, and throws with his left hand. His agent got him AAV of $30 million dollars for ‘24 (and the chance to try again next year without a QO attached) which places him Top 10 amongst starting pitcher salaries. Same situation with Bellinger and the Cubs. It’s trendy to torch Boras this off season, for not getting the 10 year mega deals. But why would a quality agent attempt to sell his clients short on AAV? Taking a larger guarantee in favor of a smaller AAV in reality is asking a player to bet against themselves. Taking the AAV in the short run is exactly how the Brewers wound up with Yasmani Grandal, and it worked out fine for him and the Brewers.
  11. Jopal78
    Look at the symptoms: “my back hurts when throwing”. Real general and non-specific. Those symptoms could be regular soreness, strain, or something else anll together etc. Then, once the season ended who knows if he kept in contact with team doctors on the status of his back. We do know when he reported back pain this spring that wasn’t just usual soreness from ramping up again, they had him get a MRI. Purportedly, stress fractures cannot really be diagnosed absent an MRI and they don’t appear that different on the scan from soft tissue swelling (which would also cause back pain and would be expected in ramping up after a long time off), hence Williams went to a specialist for a 2nd opinion. I don’t know how the Brewers and especially their medical team can be criticized under the circumstances
  12. Jopal78
    It’s also 7 million dollars, which will turn off a lot of teams
  13. Jopal78
    I’d put in a claim on him, but only if he’s got the chops to hack it everyday at 3B. Then Ortiz starts at 2B and can punt two of Miller, Turang and Monasterio to AAA
  14. Jopal78
    …. But I never said “only” so I guess we’re not really in disagreement
  15. Jopal78
    I did say American born players don’t do them “very often”. You cited 15 out of how many pre-arbitration players? Hundreds? More anecdotal than anything, but ok fair point. But why do you assume the Brewers are dumb and haven’t determined which players it makes sense to extend? It seems to me they would not be doing their due diligence if they DIDN’T routinely make those type of overtures to players they like. Therefore, the lack of such extensions being completed, more probably true than not, reflects the overwhelming disinclination of players to do contract extensions where they’re giving up free agency years .
  16. Jopal78
    What’s your point? If Witt holds up his end it will be 377 million across 14 years or roughly 27 million AAV per. Not like he’s taking a discount that is a market rate extension. The two extra years of control the Diamondbacks got on Corbin Carroll are at $28 million average annual value. Another market rate extension. I think listing 12 players as a counter example is statistically insignificant. Buying out arbitration years in exchange for a couple extra years at market rates in the back end is a pretty risky gambit and gives the player really nothing to lose. Look no further than Ashby missed an entire year with a serious shoulder injury, nobody yet knows if he’s going to be effective going forward, and the Brewers would have come out ahead in this instance going, year-to-year with him. Players play for money. If a team wants to pay the going rate for a player, they can sign anybody they want for as long as they want.
  17. Jopal78
    They’ll be alright. The talent level is better than when the rotation was filled with Paul Rigdon, Allen Levrault, Jimmy Haynes and Jamey Wright with pitching prospects Rueben Quevedo and Kyle Peterson knocking on the doors.
  18. Jopal78
    Look around the league at the guarantees players are getting as free agents. You may be able to extend some foreign born pre-arbitration eligible players, but the American born players, and veterans simply don’t do extensions very often anymore unless they’re at “market rate” prices.
  19. Jopal78
    No, Yelich was already under contract through ‘21 with a club option for ‘22. The way he played in ‘20-‘22 along with the injuries, he would not have done better as a free agent. Plus, his AAV at the time he signed his extension in ‘20 (27 mil/season) placed him amongst the highest paid position players. In the hypothetical world of internet arguing had he become a free agent after the ‘20 season he probably would’ve shot the moon. Same deal with Braun, his second extension with Milwaukee paid him 21 million AAV beginning in ‘15 which put him in the top 20 in salary. Ball players are paid to perform, most have careers lasting less than 10 years, and have the right to sell themselves to the highest bidder. With those circumstances it’s is going to be extremely rare when a player does anything but take the largest pay check. Counsell was a ball player too, and was a union rep to IIRC. Those threads run even stronger through him, so it should not be a surprise he took the largest paycheck, then throws some PR spin to not seem like someone who doesn’t care where he plies his trade as long as the dollars are right.
  20. Jopal78
    Oh, so the world of speculation then. Like I said, journalists like to throw other people’s money around but it sure seems Bellinger‘s injury history and metrics from ‘23 probably made a top free agent contract a pipe dream. Nonetheless , Boras got him an AAV of $30 million in ‘24 which places him in the top 25 or so of highest paid players by AAV, and if he plays well and stays healthy he can be a free agent again next winter. If he turns into a pumpkin in ‘24 he still gets another 30 million in ‘25. Good deal for Bellinger
  21. Jopal78
    Bellinger hit 111 homeruns, was a two time all star, won a gold glove and was an MVP before he turned 24. What incentive was there for him to take a long term deal, he looked like a Hall of Fame player his first three years? I doubt many players, “play it safe” and take an extension because they’re afraid of getting hurt, or don’t believe they can keep it up. Bellinger was clearly betting on himself and he rolled snake eyes. I’m not so sure what Boras has to do with that. With his injury history and unflattering metrics in 2023 the journalists who predicted a 200 million dollar contract got it wrong, to the Cubs’ delight.
  22. Jopal78
    Hitting is what got him to the majors, I don’t think playing a different spot in the field is going to change his approach at the plate or his swing, etc.
  23. Jopal78
    The buyout on mutual options are nothing more than a tool to spread a guarantee out over multiple seasons. If Woodruff declines his half of the mutual option he gets $10 million from the Brewers and becomes a free agent. if he accepts his half, and the Brewers decline theirs he gets the 10 mil and is a free agent.
  24. Jopal78
    Aramis Ramirez’s 4th season with the Brewers was a mutual option which both sides exercised.
  25. Jopal78
    The Brewers have Austin Nola on a NRI too,
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