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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Not a chance. Why is it that other teams can trade low-level minor leaguers for studs, yet any time the Brewers are brought up in a prospective trade for a big name, it's our MLB-ready young studs that are talked about? I think if the team trades prospects, it's either going to be from the glut of outfielders, or it's going to be younger pitchers at lower levels, such as Ortiz, Peralta, Diplan and Susak. Leave Woodruff, Burnes and Hader alone.
  2. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I'm starting to think the Brewers are literally never going to announce the Gallardo signing, so why would they announce Chacin? I'm thinking they must be waiting for something else to happen ... I'm guessing they have one or two trade offers out there that would clear 40-man space, and they are waiting on confirmation from the other team. Hopefully something will happen by the end of the week.
  3. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Well, Briggs will be happy. But really, this guy sucks. I'm more excited about Gallardo. And "excited" is a stretch.
  4. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Personally, I think that the topic subject should be a jumping off point as it relates to the moves the team has made in this particular offseason. Overall I like the direction that Stearns is taking the club. That doesn't mean I'm not a little frustrated with the lack of activity so far, though. Maybe I'm an eternal optimist, but I don't think the Brewers played too far above their heads last year. There is quite a bit of genuine talent on this squad, and they really aren't too many pieces away from being a contender. It all starts in the rotation, and while losing Nelson for a chunk of the year is a big blow, if Anderson and Davies are what their numbers indicated they were last year, the rotation will be solid.
  5. Ron Robinsons Beard
    If Hader stays in the pen, his role will be the same as it was in 2017 and that is going multiple innings every 4th day or so. Do you really trust Barnes in the 8th inning? I don't. He's got value but he's not a top set up guy by any means. He's simply too inconsistent. At best he's a 7th inning option. I see Jeffress taklng over the Jared Hughes/Carlos Torres role getting working anywhere from the 6th though the 8th depending on who needs a day of rest. They need a reliable if not top line 8th inning guy, that's capable of closing if Knebel goes down for any stretch. They had that going into last year with Knebel. If Knebel goes down, my guess is Hader closes, but that takes him away as the multi inning weapon or as an option to transition to start. As of right now, I assume Jeffress is in the driver's seat to take on the set-up role. He has certainly had success as a closer in the past, and did a decent enough job after returning to the Brewers last year. I hope Barnes takes a step and becomes more consistent. My darkhorse candidate for a meaningful late-inning role, though, is Taylor Williams. I doubt he starts the year in that role, but it wouldn't surprise me to see him end it there. That guy's stuff is electric.
  6. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Is Beede too high of an ask for Broxton? Chris Shaw? I'd love to see a Broxton for Will Smith swap, but that probably makes too much sense for it to actually happen. Andrew Suarez? Kyle Crick seems like a nice relief prospect.
  7. Ron Robinsons Beard
    #1 ranked farm system, and a team that wins 57 games. Sign me up!
  8. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I'm not going to lie, losing Swarzak and hearing that they are shopping Santana is a little unnerving. Swarzak was a bulldog in that pen at the end of the year, and I would have felt much more comfortable if he was coming back. And I can understand if they are listening on Santana, but to hear that they are out-and-out shopping him is disappointing. He was one of their only consistent bats last year, and it young and cheap for the next several seasons. Dumping him would seem to go against the "young, controllable talent" mantra Stearns has been preaching. Seeing the Cubs and Cardinals make smart moves sucks. Seeing the Cardinals connected to every big name on the trade or free agent market really sucks. That said, a move could happen at any time that would brighten all of our spirits.
  9. Ron Robinsons Beard
    This is disappointing, as he did a great job fortifying the pen last year. The bullpen dominos are starting to fall, yet the Brewers remain in a holding pattern. I know there is a lot of time yet, but it would be nice to hear some news coming out of the organization this week other than the 600 fan giveaways they have scheduled for this year.
  10. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I fear that competing as a small market team for an 8-10 year window just isn't realistic the way MLB finances are structured. They will never be able to afford top-end free agents, and their studs will walk if given the opportunity to make it to free agency. The Brewers are going to have to follow the format the Royals did ... build the farm system, make a few big deals to fill in the gaps when their top players are in their prime, then begin a rebuild a couple years later when those top players price themselves out of the market. That's loosely that the Brewers have done as well after their playoff seasons.
  11. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Stage of a the rebuild? They were one game out of playoffs. The farm system is well stocked. The focus has changed from rebuild to how do they get over the finish line while the two main adversaries are still in a bit of a transition and guys like Shaw, Thames and Braun still are productive. Making such a trade takes your farm system from "well stocked" to "eh, it's decent." When Santana/Shaw/Davies/Anderson/Braun/Thames/Knebel/Nelson/maybe Anderson are all going to be gone or nearly gone after 2020, you had better be darn sure that these 2 year guys you trade for give you a shot to win a world series. Because if not, you finish the 2019 season and your outlook is you have a bunch of late-prime players with 1, maybe 2 years left and not a special farm system to replace them or replenish via trade. It will have the feel of 2012 or 2013. Or you have a bunch of high-leverage trade chips (late-prime players) to restock the system via trade. I mean, the whole goal of baseball is to go to the World Series, and the team proved last year that they are probably only a couple pieces away from being a prime playoff contender for the next few seasons. This is EXACTLY why you stack young talent in your farm system ... to use it as leverage to acquire the pieces needed to make a run. I am very excited about what Sterns did in the 2017 draft, and I think he'll be able to keep adding high-end talent to the farm system via the draft, trades and international signings. Having the top farm system in baseball does no good if the team is just outside playoff contention.
  12. Ron Robinsons Beard
    It would have to be centered around one of the Cubs' young MLB players like Baez, Russell, Happ or Schwarber (I don't know if I'd consider him a stud, though). They have absolutely nothing left for prospects. If I'm Tampa, and the Brewers are offering a package with Santana or Brinson at the center of it, I'm taking that over any crap the Cubs could offer.
  13. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I have to say, though, that it's a little unnerving and frustrating to hear the Cardinals attached to every big name free agent and trade target out there, while we hear crickets from the Brewers. Granted its a long offseason, and a big announcement could happen at any time, but it still is kind of a downer to see rivals like the Cubs and Cardinals get better, while the Brewers maintain the status quo.
  14. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Breakout: Bubba Derby - I think he establishes himself as a solid potential rotation piece this year. While his ultimate future may be in the bullpen, I don't think the results he posted last year can be taken for granted. Bounce Back: Bickford and Nottingham - Its time for these once highly thought-of trade acquisitions to put up numbers that their talent levels call for. Bickford was a 1st round pick and the top prospect in the Giants' system for a reason. Nottingham showed some signs of future potential last year, and will likely be starting at Colorado Springs as a 23-year-old this year. If he can't put up numbers there, who knows. Sleeper: Troy Stokes - I think he starts at AAA this year, and proves to be an energetic table-setter with good power. Bust: Freddy Peralta - I guess I just don't see it with him. I hope I'm wrong, but he just doesn't seem like anything special.
  15. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Maybe as AAA depth, but that's it. Minor league deal.
  16. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I agree with you there. There are lots of corner outfield options that should be able to provide production in a 1-3 year until someone like Harrison is ready. Or perhaps they just roll with an outfield of Braun, Broxton, Brinson and Phillips, with perhaps someone like Wren coming up that can play all 3 positions well. Or Thames can likely play a passable corner outfield at likely a similar defensive level as Santana. Yes, you are losing a potent power bat by trading Santana, but if he can be the main piece in a deal for a TOR starter like Archer, Fulmer, Corbin or Stroman, you almost have to do it. Yes, it is possible that we haven't seen Santana's ceiling yet, but it is likely that he is always going to be a high strike-out power bat with marginal defense. If there is a type of player out there who is replaceable at a marginal cost, that is it.
  17. Ron Robinsons Beard
    And here is why people get upset with you. You've done a great job proving everyone's point. But with your point, if they could get him for ultra cheap or an invite to camp... sign me up. Ya just never know with relievers. Yep, perhaps Feliz could be a decent middle-innings reliever. If you strike out with Swarsak or some of the other high-priced relievers out there, why not? It would have to be a minor league deal with Spring Training invite. Same with KRod. Never know when you're going to catch lightning in a bottle ... especially with relievers.
  18. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I disagree. The team does not have the starting pitching depth to justify keeping what is probably their most talented arm in the pen. Having Hader in the pen isn't going to matter if you don't have the starters to get to him. If they acquire a couple good starters, then you can make the argument that Hader should stay in the pen. Just because the team does not have starting pitching does not mean Hader is a starter anymore than Andrew Miller should start in Cleveland if they lose Kluber. Hader does not have the secondary stuff nor the efficiency to be a MLB starter. He is already on the verge of being one of the best relievers in the game. This is 2018 where relievers that can go 2 innings 60 games a year are the most valuable. Making him a starter is such old school thinking. Why not throw him in the rotation to start the year? If he isn't effective, he can go back to the pen. If they are saying Nelson will be throwing by Spring Training, perhaps Hader can be a bridge starter until Nelson returns? I know, best case scenario. I just feel that effective starters have infinitely more value than relievers. Even a league-average young starter is going to have more value than a shut-down reliever, unless that reliever is a closer. Yes, that way of thinking is old school, and the stance has softened in the past few years, but that is still the case. Of course, I always thought that the team should have shifted Will Smith to the rotation, too. I guess I'm old school.
  19. Ron Robinsons Beard
    This is certainly a nice argument to have. A few years ago, it would have been no question that Hader would be starting, because the team simply wouldn't even be close to having better options. And I won't argue that he was downright dominant as a reliever. My argument is simply where he's going to provide the most value, and looking at it very simplistic, quality starting pitching is always more valuable than quality relief pitching.
  20. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I disagree. The team does not have the starting pitching depth to justify keeping what is probably their most talented arm in the pen. Having Hader in the pen isn't going to matter if you don't have the starters to get to him. If they acquire a couple good starters, then you can make the argument that Hader should stay in the pen.
  21. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Just so they can trade him to the highest bidder again in July? Ugh! Personally, I'd rather have Swarzak at that price.
  22. Ron Robinsons Beard
    He's more of a "name" at this point, but the youth and upside are still there, even if they are buried by injury and inconsistency. But if you can get him for a lottery ticket or non-prospect, it's worth a shot.
  23. Ron Robinsons Beard
    You are right. This post is about the prospective 2018 starting rotation. Not debating the merits of Scooter Gennett and Khris Davis for the upteenth time. As for Archer, it depends on if Sterns feels the team is on the cusp of being a contender, or if last year's record was largely smoke and mirrors with a bunch of average players playing over their heads. I guess I would say with most of the team's stalwarts being on the young side, the foundation is there to be a contender for the next 4-5 years. The team built their farm system with the goal of getting to this point, so now would be the time to strike. I think the team can trade off 3-4 of their top prospects, and still have a deep system, especially when you take into account the high-upside pitchers coming off injury (Hauser, Williams, Kirby and Bickford) and the high tool athletic hitters who came into their own this season (Harrison and Gatewood). With that said, though, I would be targeting players that are controllable for the next several years, rather than one-year rental guys.
  24. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Waiving Scooter who would go on to hit 27 HR and knock in 97 runs in under 500 AB was not a "minor blemish". It cost them a playoff berth. But worse was getting 2 nondescript minor leaguers for a guy who would go on to do something no Brewer hitter in history has done, that is hit 40+ HR in back to back seasons. I'm speaking of Krush Davis. It's not that he traded Davis. Eventually that was going to happen. But he jumped the gun and settled for minimal return. Davis was clearly blossoming as a premier power bat at the end of 2015. He just hadn't put it together over a full season due to an injury earlier that year. Stearns has done a lot of good things, but he severely mis-evaluated two players who were already here when he arrived. What really does someone need to do on this board to be banned? I mean, this trolling has gone on for months!
  25. Ron Robinsons Beard
    He was fourth string behind Walker, Sogard and Perez after they acquired Walker. Look Villar has a fairly extensive track record and it's not all that good. 2016 was the anomaly. He strikes out way too much. He makes too many errors, both mental and physical. Anyone who expect him to repeat his 2016 season will be disappointed. Stearns biggest mistake since he became GM was dumping Gennett for nothing and handing his job to Villar. Repeating that move is insane. https://i.ytimg.com/vi/JizzeERcZjg/maxresdefault.jpg
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