https://www.theringer.com/platform/amp/mlb/2018/10/26/18026098/world-series-dave-roberts-pitcher-hitter-matchup-decisions?__twitter_impression=true This article is an interesting read about the knowledge problem for observers of baseball these days. I thought about this as I started getting caught up on this board so far. I, like most people here, assumed that DJ was a driving force behind the unexpected success of the pitching staff as a whole. The general notion that pitching coaches make a huge impact has been a major narrative in baseball for a while (and one that I’ve personally been a believer in since watching the Cardinals pitchers seemingly be transmutated into gold by Dave Duncan). But what if that narrative, like the “pitching staffs need starters to go deep all the time” narrative, is wrong? And either way, how would we be able to tell? Can we, as fans, tell the difference between coaching-based improvements and analytics-based improvements? And in a situation like this, where a coach has departed for another team, how can we tell if the reasons were personal, professional, monetary, strategic, none of the above, or some combination? As the Bard wrote, “men may construe things after their fashion,” and we all may as well be reading entrails here. For what it’s worth, someone with a much deeper connection to the figures involved than any of us (Tom Haudricourt) seems to believe the offer from Cincinnati was just head and shoulders above where the Brewers wanted to go, and at some point, the Brewers probably had to have a ceiling, which these negotiations may very well have exceeded. What if it’s that simple? At the end of the day, our knowledge problem still exists. The people with the most information and the most skin in the game made a decision. Because it wasn’t what outsiders like us necessarily expected, we instinctively fear the worst, but I’m not sure we have much reason to be worried at this point. After all, many people worried when we only added Chacín and Miley to the rotation last off-season, and look who was left standing at the biggest moments of the NLCS? Long story short: is DJ leaving bad news for the Brewers? Maybe: http://gemsofknowledge.com/parables/maybe-taoist-story/