Thankfully, I don’t live in Chicagoland, but nevertheless still solidly in “Bear country” to the extent that I’ve endured more than enough mouth from the knuckle-dragging majority the last couple of months. After an early childhood of Bear fan obnoxiousness, it has been a rather lovely thirty year silence (Cubs fans notwithstanding, of course) and I’d dearly like it to resume.
Heres how I think this one *should* go:
If (and this is a huge if) Love, Tom, Rhyan, Watson, Reed, and Jacobs all stay upright, there’s more than enough firepower there to put up points against a defense that isn’t a great run D and plays a lot of man coverage. Wind was a worry earlier this week, but if it stays in the forecasted 10-20mph range, I wouldn’t expect a meaningful limiting of the vertical pass game. LaFleur and Love (and Jacobs in the red zone) need to get theirs, and there’s no excuse not to. Score 28+ in regulation and I think it’s probably a done deal.
But this is what I *fear*:
The Bears can win, and it’s not hard to see how. In-game injuries aside, if Love has an off day, if the receivers get focus drops, if a couple fluke turnovers happen—the Packers can certainly beat themselves. But the Bears can also force the issue by using their greatest strength (running) against Green Bay’s most glaring vulnerability (interior defensive line). That may not be enough for the Bears to pull away, but as we know, their formula is to keep it close late and roll the dice.
If it’s a one-score game with under seven to play, and it once again comes down to Johnson can’t hide Williams and Hafley can’t hide his corners—who wins that matchup? First time HC and first time QB in the playoffs probably shouldn’t have an edge, but I wish I could report I was more confident.
Bottom line, I’ve become conditioned to expect maximal pain. What would that look like in this year’s playoffs? I suppose if the Packers somehow made the Super Bowl and lost, I’d be really bummed because of how hard the franchise has been grinding to get back there. But more realistically, losing this game would just hurt more than in Seattle/LA/Philly/SanFran or anywhere else. I want this one bad, so I suspect I’m not going to get it. But then again, I did get to see the Cubs fly the L, so there’s just enough hope there…to make it hurt even more.